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Conformal prediction is a method of producing prediction sets that can be applied on top of a wide range of prediction algorithms. The method has a guaranteed coverage probability under the standard IID assumption regardless of whether the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-09 Evgeny Burnaev , Vladimir Vovk

This paper provides a comprehensive error analysis of learning with vector-valued random features (RF). The theory is developed for RF ridge regression in a fully general infinite-dimensional input-output setting, but nonetheless applies to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Samuel Lanthaler , Nicholas H. Nelsen

The linear regression model cannot be fitted to high-dimensional data, as the high-dimensionality brings about empirical non-identifiability. Penalized regression overcomes this non-identifiability by augmentation of the loss function by a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 Wessel N. van Wieringen

We consider a heteroscedastic regression model in which some of the regression coefficients are zero but it is not known which ones. Penalized quantile regression is a useful approach for analyzing such data. By allowing different…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-23 Lan Wang , Ingrid Van Keilegrom , Adam Maidman

Heteroskedastic errors can lead to inaccurate statistical conclusions if they are not properly handled. We introduce a test for heteroskedasticity for the nonparametric regression model with multiple covariates. It is based on a suitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-21 Justin Chown , Ursula U. Müller

Quantile regression is effective in modeling and inferring the conditional quantile given some predictors and has become popular in risk management due to wide applications of quantile-based risk measures. When forecasting risk for economic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Liang Peng , Yongcheng Qi

Regression models usually tend to recover a noisy signal in the form of a combination of regressors, also called features in machine learning, themselves being the result of a learning process.The alignment of the prior covariance feature…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-25 Cyril Furtlehner

Specifications that impose constant treatment effects are common but biased, while fully flexible alternatives can be imprecise or infeasible. Under a bound on treatment effect heterogeneity, we propose a generalized ridge estimator,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-07 Soonwoo Kwon , Liyang Sun

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to detect heteroskedasticity in regression models with regressors contaminated by measurement error. Specifically, inspired by the integrated conditional moment (ICM) approach, we construct test…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Xiaojun Song , Jichao Yuan

In this paper, we consider nonparametric estimation over general Dirichlet metric measure spaces. Unlike the more commonly studied reproducing kernel Hilbert space, whose elements may be defined pointwise, a Dirichlet space typically only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Prem Talwai , David Simchi-Levi

We consider $L^2$-regularized linear (ridge) regression over a finite data sample $X$ with bounded covariance and linear prediction targets $y$ with additive isotropic noise of finite variance. We present an iterative procedure to compute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jack Timmermans , Sergio A. Alvarez

Meta-learning involves training models on a variety of training tasks in a way that enables them to generalize well on new, unseen test tasks. In this work, we consider meta-learning within the framework of high-dimensional multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-01 Yanhao Jin , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Debashis Paul

General ridge estimators are typical linear estimators in a general linear model. The class of them includes some shrinkage estimators in addition to classical linear unbiased estimators such as the ordinary least squares estimator and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Hirai Mukasa , Koji Tsukuda

Conformal prediction, and split conformal prediction as a specific implementation, offer a distribution-free approach to estimating prediction intervals with statistical guarantees. Recent work has shown that split conformal prediction can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-01 Nicolas Dewolf , Bernard De Baets , Willem Waegeman

The generalized Ridge penalty is a powerful tool for dealing with overfitting and for high-dimensional regressions. The generalized Ridge regression can be derived as the mean of a posterior distribution with a Normal prior and a given…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-10 Said Obakrim , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet , Nicolas Raillard

We propose a new formulation of robust regression by integrating all realizations of the uncertainty set and taking an averaged approach to obtain the optimal solution for the ordinary least squares regression problem. We show that this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Dimitris Bertsimas , Yu Ma

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

Regularization is an essential element of virtually all kernel methods for nonparametric regression problems. A critical factor in the effectiveness of a given kernel method is the type of regularization that is employed. This article…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-31 Lee H. Dicker , Dean P. Foster , Daniel Hsu

From benign overfitting in overparameterized models to rich power-law scalings in performance, simple ridge regression displays surprising behaviors sometimes thought to be limited to deep neural networks. This balance of phenomenological…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Alexander Atanasov , Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan