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Bayesian Optimization (BO) is widely used for optimizing expensive black-box functions, particularly in hyperparameter tuning. However, standard BO assumes access to precise objective values, which may be unavailable, noisy, or unreliable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-07 Tunde Fahd Egunjobi

Solving optimization problems with unknown parameters often requires learning a predictive model to predict the values of the unknown parameters and then solving the problem using these values. Recent work has shown that including the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Kai Wang , Bryan Wilder , Andrew Perrault , Milind Tambe

It is now common practice in nuclear engineering to base extensive studies on numerical computer models. These studies require to run computer codes in potentially thousands of numerical configurations and without expert individual controls…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-11 François Bachoc , Jean-Marc Martinez , Karim Ammar

In this paper we propose and discuss variance reduction techniques for the estimation of quantiles of the output of a complex model with random input parameters. These techniques are based on the use of a reduced model, such as a metamodel…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 Claire Cannamela , Josselin Garnier , Bertrand Iooss

The requirement for identifying accurate system representations has not only been a challenge to fulfill, but it has compromised the scalability of formal methods, as the resulting models are often too complex for effective decision making…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Oliver Schön , Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

Collaborative Optimization (CO) is a multidisciplinary design optimization (MDO) framework that decomposes large-scale engineering problems into parallel, independently solvable subsystems coordinated by a system-level optimizer. Its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Mohamed Ali Belhafnaoui , Youssef Diouane

The field of Contextual Optimization (CO) integrates machine learning and optimization to solve decision making problems under uncertainty. Recently, a risk sensitive variant of CO, known as Conditional Robust Optimization (CRO), combines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Abhilash Chenreddy , Erick Delage

Bayesian Optimization is a popular approach for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Its key idea is to use a surrogate model to approximate the objective and, importantly, quantify the associated uncertainty that allows a sequential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-05 Haoxian Chen , Henry Lam

In this note, we present a derivative-free trust-region (TR) algorithm for reliability based optimization (RBO) problems. The proposed algorithm consists of solving a set of subproblems, in which simple surrogate models of the reliability…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-04 Tian Gao , Jinglai Li

Bayesian optimization (BO) has become an indispensable tool for autonomous decision-making across diverse applications from autonomous vehicle control to accelerated drug and materials discovery. With the growing interest in self-driving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Gary Tom , Stanley Lo , Samantha Corapi , Alan Aspuru-Guzik , Benjamin Sanchez-Lengeling

Numerical simulations are a valuable research and layout tool for fluid flow problems, yet repeated evaluations of parametrized problems, necessary to solve optimization problems, can be very costly. One option to speed up this process is…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-28 Marian Staggl , Wolfgang Sanz , Paul Pieringer

We study two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with decision-dependent information discovery (DDID) wherein (a portion of) the uncertain parameters are revealed only if an (often costly) investment is made in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Qing Jin , Angelos Georghiou , Phebe Vayanos , Grani A. Hanasusanto

Quantum variational optimization has been posed as an alternative to solve optimization problems faster and at a larger scale than what classical methods allow. In this paper we study systematically the role of entanglement, the structure…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-12-30 Pablo Díez-Valle , Diego Porras , Juan José García-Ripoll

Multi-stage stochastic optimization lies at the core of decision-making under uncertainty. As the analytical solution is available only in exceptional cases, dynamic optimization aims to efficiently find approximations but often neglects…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Anna Timonina-Farkas

The Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization (QUBO) model has gained prominence in recent years with the discovery that it unifies a rich variety of combinatorial optimization problems. By its association with the Ising problem in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Fred Glover , Gary Kochenberger , Yu Du

Stochastic and (distributionally) robust optimization problems often become computationally challenging as the number of scenarios or data points increases. Scenario reduction is therefore a key technique for improving tractability. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Kevin-Martin Aigner , Sebastian Denzler , Frauke Liers , Sebastian Pokutta , Kartikey Sharma

The computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has been improved by using surrogate models such as Gaussian processes (GP). In one such promising framework the discrepancy between the simulated and observed data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Marko Järvenpää , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

The increasing adoption of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in engineering problems calls for the development of calibration methods capable of offering robust statistical reliability guarantees. The calibration of black box AI models is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Amirmohammad Farzaneh , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Universal fault-tolerant quantum computers will require error-free execution of long sequences of quantum gate operations, which is expected to involve millions of physical qubits. Before the full power of such machines will be available,…

We present a computational framework for dimension reduction and surrogate modeling to accelerate uncertainty quantification in computationally intensive models with high-dimensional inputs and function-valued outputs. Our driving…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Helen Cleaves , Alen Alexanderian , Bilal Saad