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Inspired by sample splitting and the reusable holdout introduced in the field of differential privacy, we consider selective inference with a randomized response. We discuss two major advantages of using a randomized response for model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Xiaoying Tian , Jonathan E. Taylor

This article presents methods for estimating extreme probabilities, beyond the range of the observations. These methods are model-free and applicable to almost any sample size. They are grounded in order statistics theory and have a wide…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-03 Joan del Castillo , Pedro Puig

We develop a general approach to valid inference after model selection. At the core of our framework is a result that characterizes the distribution of a post-selection estimator conditioned on the selection event. We specialize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Jason D. Lee , Dennis L. Sun , Yuekai Sun , Jonathan E. Taylor

Although conceptually related, variable selection and relative importance (RI) analysis have been treated quite differently in the literature. While RI is typically used for post-hoc model explanation, this paper explores its potential for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Tien-En Chang , Argon Chen

When interpreting A/B tests, we typically focus only on the statistically significant results and take them by face value. This practice, termed post-selection inference in the statistical literature, may negatively affect both point…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-01 Alex Deng , Yicheng Li , Jiannan Lu , Vivek Ramamurthy

Considering voting rules based on evaluation inputs rather than preference rankings modifies the paradigm of probabilistic studies of voting procedures. This article proposes several simulation models for generating evaluation-based voting…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-18 Antoine Rolland , Jean-Baptiste Aubin , Irène Gannaz , Samuela Leoni

Researchers in psychology characterize decision-making as a process of eliminating options. While statistical modelling typically focuses on the eventual choice, we analyze consideration sets describing, for each survey participant, all…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-27 Dominik Kreiss , Thomas Augustin

There have been controversies among statisticians on (i) what to model and (ii) how to make inferences from models with unobservables. One such controversy concerns the difference between estimation methods for the marginal means not…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-07 Youngjo Lee , John A. Nelder

Nonparametric regression models offer a way to understand and quantify relationships between variables without having to identify an appropriate family of possible regression functions. Although many estimation methods for these models have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-07 Matias Salibian-Barrera

We propose a principal components regression method based on maximizing a joint pseudo-likelihood for responses and predictors. Our method uses both responses and predictors to select linear combinations of the predictors relevant for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Karl Oskar Ekvall

In this paper, we propose a propensity score adapted variable selection procedure to select covariates for inclusion in propensity score models, in order to eliminate confounding bias and improve statistical efficiency in observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-14 Kangjie Zhou , Jinzhu Jia

This paper proposes a multiple-membership generalized linear mixed model for ranking college football teams using only their win/loss records. The model results in an intractable, high-dimensional integral due to the random effects…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-01 Andrew T. Karl

Lasso and other regularization procedures are attractive methods for variable selection, subject to a proper choice of shrinkage parameter. Given a set of potential subsets produced by a regularization algorithm, a consistent model…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-26 Minh-Ngoc Tran

The insensitive parameter in support vector regression determines the set of support vectors that greatly impacts the prediction. A data-driven approach is proposed to determine an approximate value for this insensitive parameter by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Jinran Wu , You-Gan Wang

Additive models belong to the class of structured nonparametric regression models that do not suffer from the curse of dimensionality. Finding the additive components that are nonzero when the true model is assumed to be sparse is an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Suneel Babu Chatla , Abhijit Mandal

This paper studies human preference learning based on partially revealed choice behavior and formulates the problem as a generalized Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) ranking model that accounts for heterogeneous preferences. Specifically, we assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Jianqing Fan , Hyukjun Kwon , Xiaonan Zhu

Providing users with alternatives to choose from is an essential component in many online platforms, making the accurate prediction of choice vital to their success. A renewed interest in learning choice models has led to significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Nir Rosenfeld , Kojin Oshiba , Yaron Singer

We explore the interplay between random and deterministic phenomena using a representation of uncertainty based on the measure-theoretic concept of outer measure. The meaning of the analogues of different probabilistic concepts is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Jeremie Houssineau

Variable selection methods have been developed in linear regression to provide sparse solutions. Recent studies have focused on further interpretations on the sparse solutions in terms of false positive control. In this paper, we consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-25 X. Jessie Jeng , Xiongzhi Chen

We develop a simple and unified framework for nonlinear variable selection that incorporates uncertainty in the prediction function and is compatible with a wide range of machine learning models (e.g., tree ensembles, kernel methods, neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-30 Wenying Deng , Beau Coker , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Jeremiah Zhe Liu , Brent A. Coull