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Tail dependence models for distributions attracted to a max-stable law are fitted using observations above a high threshold. To cope with spatial, high-dimensional data, a rank-based M-estimator is proposed relying on bivariate margins…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-12 John Einmahl , Anna Kiriliouk , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg

This article investigates the phenomenon of maximal rigidity in spatial processes, where perfect interpolation of the process is possible from partial information, specifically, from its restriction to a strict subdomain, often resulting in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Raphaël Lachièze-Rey

Taking one-dimensional random transverse Ising model (RTIM) with the double-Gaussian disorder for example, we investigated the spin autocorrelation function (SAF) and associated spectral density at high temperature by the recursion method.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-08 Zhong-Qiang Liu , Xiang-Mu Kong , Su-Rong Jiang , Ying-Jun Li

We prove convergence of the full extremal process of the two-dimensional scale-inhomogeneous discrete Gaussian free field in the weak correlation regime. The scale-inhomogeneous discrete Gaussian free field is obtained from the 2d discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-05 Maximilian Fels , Lisa Hartung

Motivated by numerous questions in random geometry, given a smooth manifold $M$, we approach a systematic study of the differential topology of Gaussian random fields (GRF) $X:M\to \mathbb{R}^k$, that we interpret as random variables with…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Antonio Lerario , Michele Stecconi

We reconsider a classical, well-studied problem from applied probability. This is the max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums, and the originality is because we manage to include interdependence among the primary random variables, as…

In this short note we study the asymptotic behaviour of the minima over compact intervals of Gaussian processes, whose paths are not necessarily smooth. We show that, beyond the logarithmic large deviation Gaussian estimates, this problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Zhixin Wu , Arijit Chakrabarty , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We study the asymptotic behavior of the marginal expected shortfall when the two random variables are asymptotic independent but positive associated, which is modeled by the so-called tail dependent coefficient. We construct an estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Juan-Juan Cai , Eni Musta

In this paper we consider the distribution of the maximum of a Gaussian field defined on non locally convex sets. Adler and Taylor or Aza\"\i s and Wschebor give the expansions in the locally convex case. The present paper generalizes their…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-25 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Viet-Hung Pham

This work is concerned with fractional Gaussian fields, i.e. Gaussian fields whose covariance operator is given by the inverse fractional Laplacian $(-\Delta)^{-s}$ (where, in particular, we include the case $s >1$). We define a lattice…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Nicola De Nitti , Florian Schweiger

Let $\{X(t):t\in[0,\infty)\}$ be a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and variance function $\sigma^2_X(t)$. We study the exact asymptotics of ${\mathbb{P}}(\sup_{t\in[0,T]}X(t)>u)$ as $u\to\infty$, where $T$ is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-16 Marek Arendarczyk , Krzysztof Dȩbicki

In this paper, we study the tail behavior of $\max_{i\leq N}\sup_{s>0}\left(W_i(s)+W_A(s)-\beta s\right)$ as $N\to\infty$, with $(W_i,i\leq N)$ i.i.d. Brownian motions and $W_A$ an independent Brownian motion. This random variable can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Dennis Schol , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

The asymptotic tail behaviour of sums of independent subexponential random variables is well understood, one of the main characteristics being the principle of the single big jump. We study the case of dependent subexponential random…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Andrew Richards

We consider a model for multivariate data with heavy-tailed marginal distributions and a Gaussian dependence structure. The different marginals in the model are allowed to have non-identical tail behavior in contrast to most popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-23 Bikramjit Das

Consider $n$ i.i.d. random elements on $C[0,1]$. We show that, under an appropriate strengthening of the domain of attraction condition, natural estimators of the extreme-value index, which is now a continuous function, and the normalizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 John H. J. Einmahl , Tao Lin

Following Wiener, we consider the zeroes of Gaussian analytic functions in a strip in the complex plane, with translation-invariant distribution. We show that the variance of the number of zeroes in a long horizontal rectangle $[0,T]\times…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Naomi Feldheim

In this paper we present various new inequalities for tail proabilities for distributions that are elements of the most improtant exponential families. These families include the Poisson distributions, the Gamma distributions, the binomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Peter Harremoës

Consider a heavy-tailed branching process (denoted by $Z_{n}$) in random environments, under the condition which infers that $\mathbb{E}\log m(\xi_{0})=\infty$. We show that (1) there exists no proper $c_{n}$ such that $\{Z_{n}/c_{n}\}$ has…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Wenming Hong , Xiaoyue Zhang

In this paper, we will give a sufficient condition for a non-negative random variable $X$ to be heavy tailed by investigating the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the probability distribution function. We focus on the relation between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-02 Kenji Nakagawa
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