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The shocks which hit macroeconomic models such as Vector Autoregressions (VARs) have the potential to be non-Gaussian, exhibiting asymmetries and fat tails. This consideration motivates the VAR developed in this paper which uses a Dirichlet…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-29 Florian Huber , Gary Koop

This paper develops a new statistical inference theory for the precision matrix of high-frequency data in a high-dimensional setting. The focus is not only on point estimation but also on interval estimation and hypothesis testing for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Yuta Koike

In this paper we derive the asymptotic distribution of normalized residual empirical autocovariances and autocorrelations under weak assumptions on the noise. We propose new portmanteau statistics for vector autoregressive moving-average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Bruno Saussereau

In this paper, we characterize the convergence of the (rescaled logarithmic) empirical spectral distribution of wavelet random matrices. We assume a moderately high-dimensional framework where the sample size $n$, the dimension $p(n)$ and,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Patrice Abry , Gustavo Didier , Oliver Orejola , Herwig Wendt

We establish large sample approximations for an arbitray number of bilinear forms of the sample variance-covariance matrix of a high-dimensional vector time series using $ \ell_1$-bounded and small $\ell_2$-bounded weighting vectors.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Ansgar Steland , Rainer von Sachs

We consider statistical inference for a class of continuous semimartingale regression models based on high-frequency observations subject to contamination by finite-activity jumps and spike noise. By employing density-power weighting and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Shoichi Eguchi , Hiroki Masuda

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

Gaussian process models typically contain finite dimensional parameters in the covariance function that need to be estimated from the data. We study the Bayesian fixed-domain asymptotics for the covariance parameters in a universal kriging…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Cheng Li

Testing whether a probability distribution is compatible with a given Bayesian network is a fundamental task in the field of causal inference, where Bayesian networks model causal relations. Here we consider the class of causal structures…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Aditya Kela , Kai von Prillwitz , Johan Aberg , Rafael Chaves , David Gross

The frequentist variability of Bayesian posterior expectations can provide meaningful measures of uncertainty even when models are misspecified. Classical methods to asymptotically approximate the frequentist covariance of Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick

This article inspects whether a multivariate distribution is different from a specified distribution or not, and it also tests the equality of two multivariate distributions. In the course of this study, a graphical tool-kit using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-19 Pratim Guha Niyogi , Subhra Sankar Dhar

A very important property of a statistical distribution is to know whether it obeys Gaussian statistics or not. On the one hand, it is of paramount importance in the context of CMB anisotropy studies, since deviations from a Gaussian…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 N. Aghanim , O. Forni , F. R. Bouchet

In this paper we explore partial coherence as a tool for evaluating causal influence of one signal sequence on another. In some cases the signal sequence is sampled from a time- or space-series. The key idea is to establish a connection…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-09 Louis L. Scharf , Yuan Wang

The estimation of the covariance structure from a discretely observed multivariate Gaussian process under asynchronicity and noise is analysed under high-frequency asymptotics. Asymptotic lower and upper bounds are established for a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Sebastian Holtz

The asymptotic mutual information (MI) analysis for multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems over double-scattering channels has achieved engaging results, but the convergence rates of the mean, variance, and the distribution of the MI…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Xin Zhang , Shenghui Song

Sensitivity and specificity evaluated at an optimal diagnostic cut-off are fundamental measures of classification accuracy when continuous biomarkers are used for disease diagnosis. Joint inference for these quantities is challenging…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Siyan Liu , Qinglong Tian , Chunlin Wang , Pengfei Li

We study the joint distribution of SYK Hamiltonians for different systems with specified overlaps. We show that, in the large-system limit, their joint distribution converges in distribution to a mixed $q$-Gaussian system. We explain that…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Weihua Liu , Haoqi Shen

Quantile regression provides a consistent approach to investigating the association between covariates and various aspects of the distribution of the response beyond the mean. When the regression covariates are measured with errors,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-09 Roger S. Zoh , Annie Yu , Carmen Tekwe

We address high dimensional covariance estimation for elliptical distributed samples, which are also known as spherically invariant random vectors (SIRV) or compound-Gaussian processes. Specifically we consider shrinkage methods that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-20 Yilun Chen , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

We study the $\beta$ analogue of the nonintersecting Poisson random walks. We derive a stochastic differential equation of the Stieltjes transform of the empirical measure process, which can be viewed as a dynamical version of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Jiaoyang Huang