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Related papers: PAC-Bayesian Theory Meets Bayesian Inference

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PAC-Bayes is a useful framework for deriving generalization bounds which was introduced by McAllester ('98). This framework has the flexibility of deriving distribution- and algorithm-dependent bounds, which are often tighter than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Roi Livni , Shay Moran

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have emerged as a powerful methodology with significant practical successes in fields such as computer vision and natural language processing. Recent works have demonstrated that sparsely connected DNNs with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-08 The Tien Mai

Classical PAC generalization bounds on the prediction risk of a classifier are insufficient to provide theoretical guarantees on fairness when the goal is to learn models balancing predictive risk and fairness constraints. We propose a…

We present a probabilistic model for stochastic iterative algorithms with the use case of optimization algorithms in mind. Based on this model, we present PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for functions that are defined on the trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

Analysing statistical properties of neural networks is a central topic in statistics and machine learning. However, most results in the literature focus on the properties of the neural network minimizing the training error. The goal of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Laura Tinsi , Arnak S. Dalalyan

We develop a representation of a decision maker's uncertainty based on e-variables. Like the Bayesian posterior, this *e-posterior* allows for making predictions against arbitrary loss functions that may not be specified ex ante. Unlike the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-20 Peter Grünwald

Equivariant networks capture the inductive bias about the symmetry of the learning task by building those symmetries into the model. In this paper, we study how equivariance relates to generalization error utilizing PAC Bayesian analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Arash Behboodi , Gabriele Cesa , Taco Cohen

We prove semi-empirical concentration inequalities for random variables which are given as possibly nonlinear functions of independent random variables. These inequalities describe concentration of random variable in terms of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvári

In this paper we derive a Probably Approxilmately Correct(PAC)-Bayesian error bound for linear time-invariant (LTI) stochastic dynamical systems with inputs. Such bounds are widespread in machine learning, and they are useful for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-30 Deividas Eringis , John Leth , Zheng-Hua Tan , Rafael Wisniewski , Mihaly Petreczky

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

We propose a dimension reduction technique for Bayesian inverse problems with nonlinear forward operators, non-Gaussian priors, and non-Gaussian observation noise. The likelihood function is approximated by a ridge function, i.e., a map…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Olivier Zahm , Tiangang Cui , Kody Law , Alessio Spantini , Youssef Marzouk

The dominant term in PAC-Bayes bounds is often the Kullback--Leibler divergence between the posterior and prior. For so-called linear PAC-Bayes risk bounds based on the empirical risk of a fixed posterior kernel, it is possible to minimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Gintare Karolina Dziugaite , Kyle Hsu , Waseem Gharbieh , Gabriel Arpino , Daniel M. Roy

Abstract We present PAC-Bayesian bounds for the generalisation error of the K-nearest-neighbour classifier (K-NN). This is achieved by casting the K-NN classifier into a kernel space framework in the limit of vanishing kernel bandwidth. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Thore Graepel , Ralf Herbrich

When I first encountered PAC-Bayesian concentration inequalities they seemed to me to be rather disconnected from good old-fashioned results like Hoeffding's and Bernstein's inequalities. But, at least for one flavour of the PAC-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-08 Tim van Erven

Data augmentation is often used to incorporate inductive biases into models. Traditionally, these are hand-crafted and tuned with cross validation. The Bayesian paradigm for model selection provides a path towards end-to-end learning of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-02 Pola Schwöbel , Martin Jørgensen , Sebastian W. Ober , Mark van der Wilk

Variable selection in linear regression has been a central topic in statistical research for decades. Bayesian variable selection methods, which account for uncertainty in both the regression coefficients and the noise variance, have…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Leo L Duan

The standard Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) is derived under regularity conditions which are not always satisfied by the graphical models with hidden variables. In this paper we derive the BIC score for Bayesian networks in the case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Piotr Zwiernik

Bayesian inference provides a principled probabilistic framework for quantifying uncertainty by updating beliefs based on prior knowledge and observed data through Bayes' theorem. In Bayesian deep learning, neural network weights are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yijie Zhang

Symmetries are known to improve the empirical performance of machine learning models, yet theoretical guarantees explaining these gains remain limited. Prior work has focused mainly on compact group symmetries and often assumes that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Armin Beck , Peter Ochs

We consider a PAC-Bayes type learning rule for binary classification, balancing the training error of a randomized ''posterior'' predictor with its KL divergence to a pre-specified ''prior''. This can be seen as an extension of a modified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Xiaohan Zhu , Mesrob I. Ohannessian , Nathan Srebro
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