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Implicit probabilistic models are a flexible class of models defined by a simulation process for data. They form the basis for theories which encompass our understanding of the physical world. Despite this fundamental nature, the use of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Dustin Tran , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

The technological applications of hidden Markov models have been extremely diverse and successful, including natural language processing, gesture recognition, gene sequencing, and Kalman filtering of physical measurements. HMMs are highly…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2012-09-04 Andrew J. Critch

We formalize the problem of learning interdomain correspondences in the absence of paired data as Bayesian inference in a latent variable model (LVM), where one seeks the underlying hidden representations of entities from one domain as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-27 Louis C. Tiao , Edwin V. Bonilla , Fabio Ramos

In this paper, we propose an algorithm for estimating the parameters of a time-homogeneous hidden Markov model from aggregate observations. This problem arises when only the population level counts of the number of individuals at each time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Rahul Singh , Qinsheng Zhang , Yongxin Chen

In this project, we first study the Gaussian-based hidden Markov random field (HMRF) model and its expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. Then we generalize it to Gaussian mixture model-based hidden Markov random field. The algorithm is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2012-12-20 Quan Wang

Black box variational inference allows researchers to easily prototype and evaluate an array of models. Recent advances allow such algorithms to scale to high dimensions. However, a central question remains: How to specify an expressive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-01 Rajesh Ranganath , Dustin Tran , David M. Blei

Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) is a particular type of random neural network models modeling vector data based on the assumption of Bernoulli distribution. For multi-dimensional and non-binary data, it is necessary to vectorize and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Simeng Liu , Yanfeng Sun , Yongli Hu , Junbin Gao , Baocai Yin

Background: Hidden Markov models are widely employed by numerous bioinformatics programs used today. Applications range widely from comparative gene prediction to time-series analyses of micro-array data. The parameters of the underlying…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-18 Tin Yin Lam , Irmtraud M. Meyer

We consider finite state space stationary hidden Markov models (HMMs) in the situation where the number of hidden states is unknown. We provide a frequentist asymptotic evaluation of Bayesian analysis methods. Our main result gives…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-27 Elisabeth Gassiat , Judith Rousseau

This research focuses on the algorithms and approaches for learning Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and compares HMM learning methods and algorithms. HMM is a statistical Markov model in which the system being modeled is assumed to be a Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Taha Mansouri , Mohamadreza Sadeghimoghadam , Iman Ghasemian Sahebi

Variational inference (VI) is a method to approximate the computationally intractable posterior distributions that arise in Bayesian statistics. Typically, VI fits a simple parametric distribution to the target posterior by minimizing an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-18 Chirag Modi , Charles Margossian , Yuling Yao , Robert Gower , David Blei , Lawrence Saul

Hidden Markov models (HMM) have been widely used by scientists to model stochastic systems: the underlying process is a discrete Markov chain and the observations are noisy realizations of the underlying process. Determining the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-18 Yang Chen , Cheng-Der Fuh , Chu-Lan Michael Kao

Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wenlong Chen

Variational inference offers scalable and flexible tools to tackle intractable Bayesian inference of modern statistical models like Bayesian neural networks and Gaussian processes. For largely over-parameterized models, however, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Simone Rossi , Sebastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) are expressive latent variable models that can be used to learn complex probability distributions from training data. However, the quality of the resulting model crucially relies on the expressiveness of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Lars Mescheder , Sebastian Nowozin , Andreas Geiger

Current methods for learning graphical models with latent variables and a fixed structure estimate optimal values for the model parameters. Whereas this approach usually produces overfitting and suboptimal generalization performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Hagai Attias

Bayesian hierarchical linear models provide a natural framework to analyze nested and clustered data. Classical estimation with Markov chain Monte Carlo produces well calibrated posterior distributions but becomes computationally expensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Cristian Parra-Aldana , Juan Sosa

The Support Vector Machine (SVM) of Vapnik (1998) has become widely established as one of the leading approaches to pattern recognition and machine learning. It expresses predictions in terms of a linear combination of kernel functions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Christopher M. Bishop , Michael Tipping

We derive and present explicit algorithms to facilitate streamlined computing for variational inference for models containing higher level random effects. Existing literature, such as Lee and Wand (2016), is such that streamlined…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-07 Tui H. Nolan , Marianne Menictas , Matt P. Wand

We consider Markov models of stochastic processes where the next-step conditional distribution is defined by a kernel density estimator (KDE), similar to Markov forecast densities and certain time-series bootstrap schemes. The KDE Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Gustav Eje Henter , Arne Leijon , W. Bastiaan Kleijn