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Place an active particle at the root of a $d$-ary tree and a single dormant particle at each non-root site. In discrete time, active particles move towards the root with probability $p$ and, otherwise, away from the root to a uniformly…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Emma Bailey , Matthew Junge , Jiaqi Liu

We consider a Brownian motion with linear drift that splits at fixed time points into a fixed number of branches, which may depend on the branching point. For this process, which we shall refer to as the Brownian decision tree, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Pavel Ievlev , Nikolai Kriukov

We analyze the Brownian Motion limit of a prototypical unit step reinforced random-walk on the half line. A reinforced random walk is one which changes the weight of any edge (or vertex) visited to increase the frequency of return visits.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-02 Jerome K. Percus , Ora E. Percus

We consider a non-Markovian discrete-time random walk on $\mathbb{Z}$ with unbounded memory called the elephant random walk (ERW). We prove a strong invariance principle for the ERW. More specifically, we prove that, under a suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Cristian F. Coletti , Renato Gava , Gunter M. Schütz

We consider reversible random walks in random environment obtained from symmetric long--range jump rates on a random point process. We prove almost sure transience and recurrence results under suitable assumptions on the point process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-30 P. Caputo , A. Faggionato , A. Gaudilliere

It has been conjectured since the work of Lalley and Sellke (1987) that the branching Brownian motion seen from its tip (e.g. from its rightmost particle) converges to an invariant point process. Very recently, it emerged that this can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-01 E. Aïdékon , J. Berestycki , É. Brunet , Z. Shi

The value of a continuous character evolving on a phylogenetic tree is commonly modelled as the location of a particle moving under one-dimensional Brownian motion with constant rate. The Brownian motion model is best suited to characters…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-02-21 Michael G. Elliot , Arne O. Mooers

We study the escape of Brownian motion from the domain of attraction $\Omega$ of a stable focus with a strong drift. The boundary $\partial \Omega$ of $\Omega$ is an unstable limit cycle of the drift and the focus is very close to the limit…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-11-25 K. Dao Duc , Z. Schuss , D. Holcman

We consider a diffusion process $X$ in a random potential $\V$ of the form $\V_x = \S_x -\delta x$ where $\delta$ is a positive drift and $\S$ is a strictly stable process of index $\alpha\in (1,2)$ with positive jumps. Then the diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Arvind Singh

We consider a fractional Brownian motion with unknown linear drift such that the drift coefficient has a prior normal distribution and construct a sequential test for the hypothesis that the drift is positive versus the alternative that it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Alexey Muravlev , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

Non-homogeneous Poisson processes are used in a wide range of scientific disciplines, ranging from the environmental sciences to the health sciences. Often, the central object of interest in a point process is the underlying intensity…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-11 Tin Lok James Ng , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

It has been conjectured that the critical density of the Activated Random Walk model is strictly less than one for any value of the sleeping rate. We prove this conjecture on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ when $d \geq 3$ and, more generally, on graphs…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Lorenzo Taggi

Let $\xi_1$, $\xi_2,\ldots$ be i.i.d. random variables of zero mean and finite variance and $\eta_1$, $\eta_2,\ldots$ positive i.i.d. random variables whose distribution belongs to the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Alexander Iksanov , Andrey Pilipenko , Ben Povar

We consider a walker that at each step keeps the same direction with a probabilitythat depends on the time already spent in the direction the walker is currently moving. In this paper, we study some asymptotic properties of this persistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Peggy Cénac , Basile De Loynes , Arnaud Le Ny , Yoann Offret

We consider the interlacement Poisson point process on the space of doubly-infinite Z^d-valued trajectories modulo time-shift, tending to infinity at positive and negative infinite times. The set of vertices and edges visited by at least…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-19 Balázs Ráth , Artëm Sapozhnikov

Rough volatility models are becoming increasingly popular in quantitative finance. In this framework, one considers that the behavior of the log-volatility process of a financial asset is close to that of a fractional Brownian motion with…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-17 Eyal Neuman , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Place one active particle at the root of a graph and a Poisson-distributed number of dormant particles at the other vertices. Active particles perform simple random walk. Once the number of visits to a site reaches a random threshold, any…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-22 Matthew Junge , Zoe McDonald , Jean Pulla , Lily Reeves

We study the distribution of the positive sojourn time $$ A_t:= \int_0^t \mathbf 1\{ X_s>0 \}ds $$ of an arbitrary L\'evy process $X:= (X_t)_{t\geq 0}$. For an exponential random variable $E^{(q)}$ of rate $q>0$ independent of $X$ we show…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Helmut H. Pitters

Brownian motion whose infinitesimal variance changes according to a three-state continuous time Markov Chain is studied. This Markov Chain can be viewed as a telegraph process with one on state and two off states. We first derive the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-25 Vladimir Pozdnyakov , L. Mark Elbroch , Chaoran Hu , Thomas Meyer , Jun Yan

We consider the intensity-based approach for the modeling of default times of one or more companies. In this approach the default times are defined as the jump times of a Cox process, which is a Poisson process conditional on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Vincent Leijdekker , Peter Spreij