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In an electric power system, demand fluctuations may result in significant ancillary cost to suppliers. Furthermore, in the near future, deep penetration of volatile renewable electricity generation is expected to exacerbate the variability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-07-13 John N. Tsitsiklis , Yunjian Xu

This paper proposes a distributed framework for demand response and user adaptation in smart grid networks. In particular, we borrow the concept of congestion pricing in Internet traffic control and show that pricing information is very…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-08-02 Zhong Fan

The growing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) is increasing peak demand in distribution systems, which can threaten grid stability and reduce operational efficiency. Dynamic electricity pricing is a promising means of mitigating these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-27 Jiarui Yu , Zhiyu He , Wenbin Wang , Colin N. Jones , Florian Dörfler , Hanmin Cai

We study offline dynamic pricing when historical data provide incomplete coverage of the price space such that some candidate prices, including the optimal one, may be entirely unobserved. This setting is common in practice and is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-25 Zeyu Bian , Lan Wang , Zhengling Qi

Some consumers, particularly households, are unwilling to face volatile electricity prices, and they can perceive as unfair price differentiation in the same local area. For these reasons, nodal prices in distribution networks are rarely…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-09 Iacopo Savelli , Thomas Morstyn

The methodology presented provides a quantitative way to characterize investor behavior and price dynamics within a particular asset class and time period. The methodology is applied to a data set consisting of over 250,000 data points of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-22 Gunduz Caginalp , Mark DeSantis

In this paper, we study optimization problems where the cost function contains time-varying parameters that are unmeasurable and evolve according to linear, yet unknown, dynamics. We propose a solution that leverages control theoretic tools…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Shivanshu Tripathi , Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Fabio Pasqualetti

Statistical techniques play a large role in the structural health monitoring of instrumented infrastructure, such as a railway bridge constructed with an integrated network of fibre optic sensors. One possible way to reason about the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-23 Alastair Gregory , F. Din-Houn Lau , Liam Butler

This paper presents a novel non-stationary dynamic pricing algorithm design, where pricing agents face incomplete demand information and market environment shifts. The agents run price experiments to learn about each product's demand curve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-09 Po-Yi Liu , Chi-Hua Wang , Henghsiu Tsai

An increasing number of electric loads, such as hydrogen producers or data centers, can be characterized as carbon-sensitive, meaning that they are willing to adapt the timing and/or location of their electricity usage in order to minimize…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Wenqian Jiang , Olivier Huber , Michael C. Ferris , Line Roald

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

This study uses data from domestic electricity smart meters to estimate annual electricity bills for a whole year. We develop a method for back-filling data smart meter for up to six missing months for users who have less than one year of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Xianjuan Chen , Shuxiang Cai , Alan F. Smeaton

Selecting customers for demand response programs is challenging and existing methodologies are hard to scale and poor in performance. The existing methods were limited by lack of temporal consumption information at the individual customer…

Applications · Statistics 2014-09-16 Jungsuk Kwac , Ram Rajagopal

As the share of renewable energy sources in the present electric energy mix rises, their intermittence proves to be the biggest challenge to carbon free electricity generation. To address this challenge, we propose an electricity pricing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-11 Filip Tolovski

Many smart grid frameworks, such as demand response programs, require accurate information about consumers' parameters (e.g., flexibility) at the aggregator side to optimize grid operations. Existing works typically rely on perfect…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Hassan Mohamad , Chao Zhang , Samson Lasaulce , Olivier Beaude , Vineeth Satheeskumar Varma , Mounir Ghogho , Vincent Poor

This article presents a new methodology for extracting intervals when a home is vacant from low-frequency electricity consumption data. The approach combines multiple algorithms, including change point detection, classification, period…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Thomas Brilland , Guillaume Matheron , Laetitia Leduc , Yukihide Nakada

Long-term planning of a robust power system requires the understanding of changing demand patterns. Electricity demand is highly weather sensitive. Thus, the supply side variation from introducing intermittent renewable sources, juxtaposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Reshmi Ghosh , Michael Craig , H. Scott Matthews , Constantine Samaras , Laure Berti-Equille

We study a pricing setting where each customer is offered a contextualized price based on customer and/or product features. Often only historical sales data are available, so we observe whether a customer purchased a product at the price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Max Biggs , Ruijiang Gao , Wei Sun

Data-driven control approaches for the minimization of energy consumption of buildings have the potential to significantly reduce deployment costs and increase uptake of advanced control in this sector. A number of recent approaches based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-23 Yingzhao Lian , Jicheng Shi , Manuel Koch , Colin Neil Jones

Knowledge of consumers' willingness to pay (WTP) is a prerequisite to profitable price-setting. To gauge consumers' WTP, practitioners often rely on a direct single question approach in which consumers are asked to explicitly state their…

General Economics · Economics 2020-05-26 Reto Hofstetter , Klaus M. Miller , Harley Krohmer , Z. John Zhang