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We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

We provide a comprehensive semi-parametric study of Bayesian partially identified econometric models. While the existing literature on Bayesian partial identification has mostly focused on the structural parameter, our primary focus is on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Yuan Liao , Anna Simoni

Metriplectic systems are learned from data in a way that scales quadratically in both the size of the state and the rank of the metriplectic data. Besides being provably energy conserving and entropy stable, the proposed approach comes with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Anthony Gruber , Kookjin Lee , Haksoo Lim , Noseong Park , Nathaniel Trask

This paper studies sequence modeling for prediction tasks with long range dependencies. We propose a new formulation for state space models (SSMs) based on learning linear dynamical systems with the spectral filtering algorithm (Hazan et…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Naman Agarwal , Daniel Suo , Xinyi Chen , Elad Hazan

We develop a novel data-driven approach to the inverse problem of classical statistical mechanics: given experimental data on the collective motion of a classical many-body system, how does one characterise the free energy landscape of that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-01 Peter Yatsyshin , Serafim Kalliadasis , Andrew B. Duncan

The paper moves a step towards the full integration of statistical mechanics and information theory. Starting from the assumption that the thermodynamical system is composed by particles whose quantized energies can be modelled as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-01 Arnaldo Spalvieri

We introduce a probabilistic model of early visual processing, beginning with the interaction between a light wavefront and the retina. We argue that perception originates not with deterministic transduction, but with probabilistic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-31 Jayanth R Taranath , Salim M'Jahad

We demonstrate and characterize a first-principles approach to modeling the mass action dynamics of metabolism. Starting from a basic definition of entropy expressed as a multinomial probability density using Boltzmann probabilities with…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-07-10 William R. Cannon , Samuel Britton , Mikahl Banwarth-Kuhn , Mark Alber

In this paper we study binary interaction schemes with uncertain parameters for a general class of Boltzmann-type equations with applications in classical gas and aggregation dynamics. We consider deterministic (i.e., a priori averaged) and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Andrea Tosin , Mattia Zanella

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

Graphical models are powerful tools for modeling high-dimensional data, but learning graphical models in the presence of latent variables is well-known to be difficult. In this work we give new results for learning Restricted Boltzmann…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Surbhi Goel , Adam Klivans , Frederic Koehler

We introduce state-space models where the functionals of the observational and the evolutionary equations are unknown, and treated as random functions evolving with time. Thus, our model is nonparametric and generalizes the traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-24 Anurag Ghosh , Soumalya Mukhopadhyay , Sandipan Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Recent advances in power system State Estimation (SE) have included equivalent circuit models for representing measurement data that allows incorporation of both PMU and RTU measurements within the state estimator. In this paper, we…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-12-13 Martin R. Wagner , Marko Jereminov , Larry Pileggi

Greater direct electrification of end-use sectors with a higher share of renewables is one of the pillars to power a carbon-neutral society by 2050. However, in contrast to conventional power plants, renewable energy is subject to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Jonathan Dumas , Antoine Wehenkel Damien Lanaspeze , Bertrand Cornélusse , Antonio Sutera

Energy landscapes are a useful aid for the understanding of dynamical systems, and a valuable tool for their analysis. For a broad class of rate models of neural networks, we derive a global Lyapunov function which provides an energy…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-24 R. R. Deza , J. I. Deza , N. Martinez , J. F. Mejias , H. S. Wio

The Boltzmann distribution predicts the collective behavior of systems at thermodynamic equilibrium as a function of their constituent parts. Yet most systems in nature are not at equilibrium, and a unified theory of their behavior does not…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-16 Milo M. Lin

A multicanonical formalism is applied to the problem of statistical equilibrium in a complex system with a hierarchy of dynamical structures. At the small scales the system is in quasi-equilibrium and follows a Maxwell-Boltzmann…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-08-29 G. L. Vasconcelos , D. S. P. Salazar

We reconsider the structure-based route to coarse graining in which the coarse-grained model is defined in such a way to reproduce some distributions functions of the original system as accurately as possible. We consider standard…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-06-28 Giuseppe D'Adamo , Andrea Pelissetto , Carlo Pierleoni

Energy-based models (EBMs) offer a flexible framework for probabilistic modelling across various data domains. However, training EBMs on data in discrete or mixed state spaces poses significant challenges due to the lack of robust and fast…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-03 Tobias Schröder , Zijing Ou , Yingzhen Li , Andrew B. Duncan

Energy-based learning is a powerful learning paradigm that encapsulates various discriminative and generative approaches. An energy-based model (EBM) is typically formed of inner-model(s) that learn a combination of the different features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Firas Laakom , Jenni Raitoharju , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj