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Statistical inference with nonresponse is quite challenging, especially when the response mechanism is nonignorable. In this case, the validity of statistical inference depends on untestable correct specification of the response model. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosuke Morikawa , Keisuke Takahata

We consider a semiparametric generalized linear model and study estimation of both marginal and quantile effects in this model. We propose an approximate maximum likelihood estimator, and rigorously establish the consistency, the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Seong-ho Lee , Yanyuan Ma , Elvezio Ronchetti

Complex networks theory has commonly been used for modelling and understanding the interactions taking place between the elements composing complex systems. More recently, the use of generative models has gained momentum, as they allow…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-19 Massimiliano Zanin , Marco Correia , Pedro A. C. Sousa , Jorge Cruz

Behavioural economics provides labels for patterns in human economic behaviour. Probability weighting is one such label. It expresses a mismatch between probabilities used in a formal model of a decision (i.e. model parameters) and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-05-04 Ole Peters , Alexander Adamou , Mark Kirstein , Yonatan Berman

In this paper, we introduce a new model of selection behavior under risk that describes an essential cognitive process for comparing values of objects and making a selection decision. This model is constructed by the quantum-like approach…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-18 Masanari Asano , Irina Basieva , Andrei Khrennikov , Masanori Ohya , Yoshiharu Tanaka

A general Boltzmann machine with continuous visible and discrete integer valued hidden states is introduced. Under mild assumptions about the connection matrices, the probability density function of the visible units can be solved for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Daniel Krefl , Stefano Carrazza , Babak Haghighat , Jens Kahlen

Probabilistic Regression refers to predicting a full probability density function for the target conditional on the features. We present a nonparametric approach to this problem which combines base classifiers (typically gradient boosted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Brian Lucena

Retrosynthesis -- the process of identifying a set of reactants to synthesize a target molecule -- is of vital importance to material design and drug discovery. Existing machine learning approaches based on language models and graph neural…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-12-10 Ruoxi Sun , Hanjun Dai , Li Li , Steven Kearnes , Bo Dai

Energy-based models (EBMs) are flexible generative architectures inspired by statistical physics, but their learning and generative properties remain poorly understood. Here, we analyze a solvable EBM in the high-dimensional limit: the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Thomas Tulinski , Simona Cocco , Rémi Monasson , Jorge Fernandez-De-Cossio-Diaz

Models for learning probability distributions such as generative models and density estimators behave quite differently from models for learning functions. One example is found in the memorization phenomenon, namely the ultimate convergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-03 Hongkang Yang , Weinan E

We present a quantum-like (QL) model in that contexts (complexes of e.g. mental, social, biological, economic or even political conditions) are represented by complex probability amplitudes. This approach gives the possibility to apply the…

General Physics · Physics 2016-11-23 Andrei Khrennikov

Probabilistic graphical models combine the graph theory and probability theory to give a multivariate statistical modeling. They provide a unified description of uncertainty using probability and complexity using the graphical model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-11-30 Yang Zhou

When agents devise plans for execution in the real world, they face two important forms of uncertainty: they can never have complete knowledge about the state of the world, and they do not have complete control, as the effects of their…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Ron Davidson , Michael R. Fehling

Probabilistic generative models can be used for compression, denoising, inpainting, texture synthesis, semi-supervised learning, unsupervised feature learning, and other tasks. Given this wide range of applications, it is not surprising…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-26 Lucas Theis , Aäron van den Oord , Matthias Bethge

It has recently been shown that an unbinned distance-based statistic, the energy, can be used to construct an extremely powerful nonparametric multivariate two sample goodness-of-fit test. An extension to this method that makes it possible…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-10-11 Mike Williams

Probabilistic model checking for systems with large or unbounded state space is a challenging computational problem in formal modelling and its applications. Numerical algorithms require an explicit representation of the state space, while…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti , David Schnoerr

A system responding to a stochastic driving signal can be interpreted as computing, by means of its dynamics, an implicit model of the environmental variables. The system's state retains information about past environmental fluctuations,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-09 Susanne Still , David A. Sivak , Anthony J. Bell , Gavin E. Crooks

The statistical problem of the distribution of $s$ quanta of equal energy $\epsilon_0$ and total energy $E$ among $N$ distinguishable particles is resolved using the conventional theory based on Boltzmann's principle of equal probabilities…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-11-18 Michalis Psimopoulos , Emilie Dafflon

When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-30 Andreas Svensson , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

Probabilistic Graphical Models are often used to understand dynamics of a system. They can model relationships between features (nodes) and the underlying distribution. Theoretically these models can represent very complex dependency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Harsh Shrivastava , Urszula Chajewska
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