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We provide a computationally and statistically efficient method for estimating the parameters of a stochastic covariance model observed on a regular spatial grid in any number of dimensions. Our proposed method, which we call the Debiased…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-27 Arthur P. Guillaumin , Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Frederik J. Simons

Wind-generated waves are often treated as stochastic processes. There is particular interest in their spectral density functions, which are often expressed in some parametric form. Such spectral density functions are used as inputs when…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-26 Jake P. Grainger , Adam M. Sykulski , Philip Jonathan , Kevin Ewans

Ocean buoy data in the form of high frequency multivariate time series are routinely recorded at many locations in the world's oceans. Such data can be used to characterise the ocean wavefield, which is important for numerous socio-economic…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-25 Jake P. Grainger , Adam M. Sykulski , Kevin Ewans , Hans F. Hansen , Philip Jonathan

The estimation of parameters in the frequency spectrum of a seasonally persistent stationary stochastic process is addressed. For seasonal persistence associated with a pole in the spectrum located away from frequency zero, a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-09-04 Emma J. McCoy , Sofia C. Olhede , David A. Stephens

Understanding the processes that influence groundwater levels is crucial for forecasting and responding to hazards such as groundwater droughts. Mixed models, which combine a fixed mean, expressed using independent predictors, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Jakub J. Pypkowski , Adam M. Sykulski , James S. Martin , Ben P. Marchant

Bayesian inference for stationary random fields is computationally demanding. Whittle-type likelihoods in the frequency domain based on the fast Fourier Transform (FFT) have several appealing features: i) low computational complexity of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-30 Thomas Goodwin , Arthur Guillaumin , Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

Empirical likelihood approach is one of non-parametric statistical methods, which is applied to the hypothesis testing or construction of confidence regions for pivotal unknown quantities. This method has been applied to the case of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Fumiya Akashi , Yan Liu , Masanobu Taniguchi

We propose a new class of univariate nonstationary time series models, using the framework of modulated time series, which is appropriate for the analysis of rapidly-evolving time series as well as time series observations with missing…

Welch's method provides an estimator of the power spectral density that is statistically consistent. This is achieved by averaging over periodograms calculated from overlapping segments of a time series. For a finite length time series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-12 Lachlan C. Astfalck , Adam M. Sykulski , Edward J. Cripps

Based on a novel dynamic Whittle likelihood approximation for locally stationary processes, a Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the time-varying spectral density is proposed. This dynamic frequency-domain based likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

In distributed second order optimization, a standard strategy is to average many local estimates, each of which is based on a small sketch or batch of the data. However, the local estimates on each machine are typically biased, relative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-06 Michał Dereziński , Burak Bartan , Mert Pilanci , Michael W. Mahoney

The Whittle likelihood is widely used for Bayesian nonparametric estimation of the spectral density of stationary time series. However, the loss of efficiency for non-Gaussian time series can be substantial. On the other hand, parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-19 Claudia Kirch , Matthew C. Edwards , Alexander Meier , Renate Meyer

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Ising models originated in statistical physics and are widely used in modeling spatial data and computer vision problems. However, statistical inference of this model remains challenging due to intractable nature of the normalizing constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-06 Minwoo Kim , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

An exact form of the local Whittle likelihood is studied with the intent of developing a general-purpose estimation procedure for the memory parameter (d) that does not rely on tapering or differencing prefilters. The resulting exact local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Katsumi Shimotsu , Peter C. B. Phillips

We consider distributed optimization problems where forming the Hessian is computationally challenging and communication is a significant bottleneck. We develop unbiased parameter averaging methods for randomized second order optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-18 Burak Bartan , Mert Pilanci

When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-30 Andreas Svensson , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

For given computational resources, the accuracy of plasma simulations using particles is mainly held back by the noise due to limited statistical sampling in the reconstruction of the particle distribution function. A method based on…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-09-03 Romain Nguyen van yen , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Kai Schneider , Marie Farge , Guangye Chen

Improved performance in higher-order spectral density estimation is achieved using a general class of infinite-order kernels. These estimates are asymptotically less biased but with the same order of variance as compared to the classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arthur Berg , Dimitris Politis
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