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In supervised learning, understanding an input's proximity to the training data can help a model decide whether it has sufficient evidence for reaching a reliable prediction. While powerful probabilistic models such as Gaussian Processes…
Accurate modeling and prediction of complex physical systems often rely on data assimilation techniques to correct errors inherent in model simulations. Traditional methods like the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) and its variants as well as…
Although deep neural networks have demonstrated significant success due to their powerful expressiveness, most models struggle to meet practical requirements for uncertainty estimation. Concurrently, the entangled nature of deep neural…
Classical representation systems such as Fourier series, wavelets, and fixed dictionaries provide analytically tractable basis expansions, but they are not intrinsically adapted to the empirical structure of modern high-dimensional data.…
Solving high-dimensional PDE-governed inverse problems is often challenging due to complex non-Gaussian posterior distributions, expensive forward model evaluations, and misspecified prior information. To address these issues, we propose a…
Deep neural networks (DNNs), despite their impressive ability to generalize over-capacity networks, often rely heavily on malignant bias as shortcuts instead of task-related information for discriminative tasks. To address this problem,…
Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of particle filtering methods that use neural networks to construct and learn parametric state-space models. In real-world applications, both the state dynamics and measurements can…
Deep belief networks are used extensively for unsupervised stochastic learning on large datasets. Compared to other deep learning approaches their layer-by-layer learning makes them highly scalable. Unfortunately, the principles by which…
Learning representations of underlying environmental dynamics from partial observations is a critical challenge in machine learning. In the context of Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs), state representations are often…
Learning to sample from intractable distributions over discrete sets without relying on corresponding training data is a central problem in a wide range of fields, including Combinatorial Optimization. Currently, popular deep learning-based…
Discrete Markov random fields are undirected graphical models that capture complex conditional dependencies between discrete variables. Conducting exact posterior inference in these models is often computationally challenging because…
Deep neural networks have achieved impressive results on a wide variety of tasks. However, quantifying uncertainty in the network's output is a challenging task. Bayesian models offer a mathematical framework to reason about model…
Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of models that combine sequential Monte Carlo techniques with the flexibility of neural networks to perform state space inference. This paper concerns the case where the system may…
Bayesian inference is known to provide a general framework for incorporating prior knowledge or specific properties into machine learning models via carefully choosing a prior distribution. In this work, we propose a new type of prior…
Variational mean field approximations tend to struggle with contemporary overparametrized deep neural networks. Where a Bayesian treatment is usually associated with high-quality predictions and uncertainties, the practical reality has been…
With several new large-scale surveys on the horizon, including LSST, TESS, ZTF, and Evryscope, faster and more accurate analysis methods will be required to adequately process the enormous amount of data produced. Deep learning, used in…
Unsupervised learning of feature representations is a challenging yet important problem for analyzing a large collection of multimedia data that do not have semantic labels. Recently proposed neural network-based unsupervised learning…
There has been much recent, exciting work on combining the complementary strengths of latent variable models and deep learning. Latent variable modeling makes it easy to explicitly specify model constraints through conditional independence…
The Markov modulated (switching) state space is an important model paradigm in applied statistics. In this article, we specifically consider Markov modulated nonlinear state-space models and address the online Bayesian inference problem for…
Recent advances in deep learning frameworks have established valuable tools for analyzing the long-timescale behavior of complex systems such as proteins. Especially the inclusion of physical constraints, e.g. time-reversibility, was a…