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Established frameworks to understand problems with reproducibility in science begin with the relationship between our understanding of the prior probability of a claim and the statistical certainty that should be demanded of it, and explore…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-05-30 Maria Chikina , Wesley Pegden

In 2015 the Open Science Collaboration (OSC) (Nosek et al 2015) published a highly influential paper which claimed that a large fraction of published results in the psychological sciences were not reproducible. In this article we review…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-18 Anthony Almudevar , Jacob Almudevar

Reproducibility is an important feature of science; experiments are retested, and analyses are repeated. Trust in the findings increases when consistent results are achieved. Despite the importance of reproducibility, significant work is…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Akhil Pandey Akella , Hamed Alhoori , David Koop

A recent study of the replicability of key psychological findings is a major contribution toward understanding the human side of the scientific process. Despite the careful and nuanced analysis reported in the paper, mass and social media…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-01 Jeffrey T. Leek , Prasad Patil , Roger D. Peng

Large-scale replication studies like the Reproducibility Project: Psychology (RP:P) provide invaluable systematic data on scientific replicability, but most analyses and interpretations of the data fail to agree on the definition of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Kenneth Hung , William Fithian

Reproducibility, the ability to recompute results, and replicability, the chances other experimenters will achieve a consistent result, are two foundational characteristics of successful scientific research. Consistent findings from…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-23 Jeffrey T. Leek , Roger D. Peng

Researchers are more likely to share notable findings. As a result, published findings tend to overstate the magnitude of real-world phenomena. This bias is a natural concern for asset pricing research, which has found hundreds of return…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-22 Andrew Y. Chen , Tom Zimmermann

Some empirical results are more likely to be published than others. Such selective publication leads to biased estimates and distorted inference. This paper proposes two approaches for identifying the conditional probability of publication…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-11-30 Isaiah Andrews , Maximilian Kasy

The high fraction of published results that turn out to be incorrect is a major concern of today's science. This paper contributes to the understanding of this problem in two independent directions. First, Johnson's recent claim that…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-07 Jean-Christophe Mourrat

Many published research results are false, and controversy continues over the roles of replication and publication policy in improving the reliability of research. Addressing these problems is frustrated by the lack of a formal framework…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-08-27 Richard McElreath , Paul E. Smaldino

Assessment of replicability is critical to ensure the quality and rigor of scientific research. In this paper, we discuss inference and modeling principles for replicability assessment. Targeting distinct application scenarios, we propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-11 Yi Zhao , Xiaoquan Wen

The field of psychological sciences has been grappling with the replicability crisis. Various issues have been identified as potential sources of this problem. We bring to light a potential source that has largely been overlooked and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Yoav Zeevi , Sofi Astashenko , Liad Mudrik , Yoav Benjamini

Reproducibility, the ability to reproduce the results of published papers or studies using their computer code and data, is a cornerstone of reliable scientific methodology. Studies where results cannot be reproduced by the scientific…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-03 Xin Xiong , Ivor Cribben

Several systematic studies have suggested that a large fraction of published research is not reproducible. One probable reason for low reproducibility is insufficient sample size, resulting in low power and low positive predictive value. It…

General Economics · Economics 2020-07-01 Oliver Braganza

The explosive growth of scientists, scientific journals, articles and findings in recent years exponentially increases the difficulty scientists face in navigating prior knowledge. This challenge is exacerbated by uncertainty about the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Alexander V. Belikov , Andrey Rzhetsky , James Evans

A leading explanation for widespread replication failures is publication bias. I show in a simple model of selective publication that, contrary to common perceptions, the replication rate is unaffected by the suppression of insignificant…

General Economics · Economics 2022-07-04 Patrick Vu

The reproducibility of published research has become an important topic in science policy. A number of large-scale replication projects have been conducted to gauge the overall reproducibility in specific academic fields. Here, we present…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-09 Michael Gordon , Domenico Viganola , Anna Dreber , Magnus Johannesson , Thomas Pfeiffer

Replication studies are increasingly conducted but there is no established statistical criterion for replication success. We propose a novel approach combining reverse-Bayes analysis with Bayesian hypothesis testing: a sceptical prior is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-15 Samuel Pawel , Leonhard Held

Scientists in some fields are concerned that many, or even most, published results are false. A high rate of false positives might arise accidentally, from shoddy research practices. Or it might be the inevitable result of institutional…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-03 Alexander J. Stewart , Joshua B. Plotkin

Open science is increasingly recognised worldwide, with preprint posting emerging as a key strategy. This study explores the factors influencing researchers' adoption of preprint publication, particularly the perceived effectiveness of this…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Pablo Dorta-González , María Isabel Dorta-González
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