Related papers: Extreme Value Laws for sequences of intermittent m…
Let $X_1,...,X_n$ be iid random vectors and $f\ge 0$ be a non-negative function. Let also $k(n) = {\rm Argmax}_{i=1,...,n} f(X_i)$. We are interested in the distribution of $X_{k(n)}$ and their limit theorems. In other words, what is the…
I formulate an entropy-rate maximization problem at the observable level for stochastic processes observed through an information-reducing observation map. For a visible stationary law, the map determines an observational fiber of hidden…
We introduce the concept of geometric extremal graphical models, which are defined through the gauge function of the limit set obtained from suitably scaled random vectors in light-tailed margins. For block graphs, we prove results relating…
Multivariate extreme value analysis quantifies the probability and magnitude of joint extreme events. River discharges from the upper Danube River basin provide a challenging dataset for such analysis because the data, which is measured on…
Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…
Classification tasks usually assume that all possible classes are present during the training phase. This is restrictive if the algorithm is used over a long time and possibly encounters samples from unknown classes. The recently introduced…
Using the superstatistics method, we propose an extension of the random matrix theory to cover systems with mixed regular-chaotic dynamics. Unlike most of the other works in this direction, the ensembles of the proposed approach are basis…
nsEVDx is an open-source Python package for fitting stationary and nonstationary Extreme Value Distributions (EVDs) to extreme value data. It can be used to model extreme events in fields like hydrology, climate science, finance, and…
General Central limit theorem deals with weak limits (in type) of sums of row-elements of array random variables. In some situations as in the invariance principle problem, the sums may include only parts of the row-elements. For strictly…
Extremal dependence between international stock markets is of particular interest in today's global financial landscape. However, previous studies have shown this dependence is not necessarily stationary over time. We concern ourselves with…
We examine the stationary distribution of random walks on directed graphs. In particular, we focus on the {\em principal ratio}, which is the ratio of maximum to minimum values of vertices in the stationary distribution. We give an upper…
We consider a class of chance-constrained programs in which profit needs to be maximized while enforcing that a given adverse event remains rare. Using techniques from large deviations and extreme value theory, we show how the optimal value…
We show that extremal dynamics is very well modelled by the "Linear Fractional Stable Motion" (LFSM), a stochastic process entirely defined by two exponents that take into account spatio-temporal correlations in the distribution of active…
This paper introduces a novel approach employing extreme value theory to analyze queue lengths within a corridor controlled by adaptive controllers. We consider the maximum queue lengths of a signalized corridor consisting of nine…
Recently, Horv\'ath, Song, and Terlaky [\emph{A novel unified approach to invariance condition of dynamical system, submitted to Applied Mathematics and Computation}] proposed a novel unified approach to study, i.e., invariance conditions,…
This paper is about statistical properties of quasistatic dynamical systems. These are a class of non-stationary systems that model situations where the dynamics change very slowly over time due to external influence. We focus on the case…
Accurate estimation of the frequency and magnitude of successive extreme events in energy demand is critical for strategic resource planning. Traditional approaches based on extreme value theory (EVT) are typically limited to modelling…
In this thesis, we study three physically relevant models of strongly correlated random variables: trapped fermions, random matrices and random walks. In the first part, we show several exact mappings between the ground state of a trapped…
Entropy notions for $\varepsilon$-incremental practical stability and incremental stability of deterministic nonlinear systems under disturbances are introduced. The entropy notions are constructed via a set of points in state space which…
We extend the Erd\H os-R\' enyi law of large numbers to the averaging setup both in discrete and continuous time cases. We consider both stochastic processes and dynamical systems as fast motions whenever they are fast mixing and satisfy…