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We consider a last-passage directed percolation model in $Z_+^2$, with i.i.d. weights whose common distribution has a finite $(2+p)$th moment. We study the fluctuations of the passage time from the origin to the point $\big(n,n^{\lfloor a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thierry Bodineau , James B. Martin

First passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ is a model for describing the spread of an infection on the sites of the square lattice. The infection is spread via nearest neighbor sites and the time dynamic is specified by random passage…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Sven Erick Alm , Maria Deijfen

In this paper, we obtain optimal uniform lower tail estimates for the probability distribution of the properly scaled length of the longest up/right path of the last passage site percolation model considered by Johansson in [12]. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jinho Baik , Percy Deift , Ken McLaughlin , Peter Miller , Xin Zhou

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

A simple lemma bounds $\mathrm{s.d.}(T)/\mathbb{E} T$ for hitting times $T$ in Markov chains with a certain strong monotonicity property. We show how this lemma may be applied to several increasing set-valued processes. Our main result…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-22 David J. Aldous

In this paper we consider first-passage percolation on certain 1-dimensional periodic graphs, such as the $\Z\times\{0,1,\ldots,K-1\}^{d-1}$ nearest neighbour graph for $d,K\geq1$. We find that both length and weight of minimal-weight paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Daniel Ahlberg

We investigate some simple and surprising properties of a one-dimensional Brownian trajectory with diffusion coefficient $D$ that starts at the origin and reaches $X$ either: (i) at time $T$ or (ii) for the first time at time $T$. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-22 Uttam Bhat , S. Redner

We consider small-time asymptotics for diffusion processes conditioned by their initial and final positions, under the assumption that the diffusivity has a sub-Riemannian structure, not necessarily of constant rank. We show that, if the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Ismael Bailleul , Laurent Mesnager , James Norris

We consider the system of one-sided reflected Brownian motions which is in variational duality with Brownian last passage percolation. We show that it has integrable transition probabilities, expressed in terms of Hermite polynomials and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Mihai Nica , Jeremy Quastel , Daniel Remenik

The study of transversal fluctuation of the optimal path has been a crucial aspect of the Kadar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) universality class. In this paper, we establish a new probability lower bound, with optimal exponential order, for the rare…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Xiao Shen

First-passage processes are pervasive across numerous scientific fields, yet a general framework for understanding their response to external perturbations remains elusive. While the fluctuation-dissipation theorem offers a complete linear…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-05 Tommer D. Keidar , Shlomi Reuveni

We prove that the variance of the passage time from the origin to a point x in first-passage percolation on Z^d is sublinear in the distance to x when d \geq 2, obeying the bound Cx/(log x), under minimal assumptions on the edge-weight…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Michael Damron , Jack Hanson , Philippe Sosoe

We study a version of first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ where the random passage times on the edges are replaced by contact times represented by random closed sets on $\mathbb{R}$. Similarly to the contact process without…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Benedikt Jahnel , Lukas Lüchtrath , Anh Duc Vu

We study planar first-passage percolation with independent weights whose common distribution is supported in $(0,\infty)$ and is absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue measure. We prove that the passage time from $x$ to $y$ denoted…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Dor Elboim

Let $0<a<b<\infty$ be fixed scalars. Assign independently to each edge in the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^2$ the value $a$ with probability $p$ or the value $b$ with probability $1-p$. For all $u,v\in\mathbb{Z}^2$, let $T(u,v)$ denote the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. E. Yukich , Yu Zhang

The study of first passage percolation (FPP) for the random interlacements model has been initiated in arXiv:2112.12096, where it is shown that on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\geq 3$, the FPP distance is comparable to the graph distance with high…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Alexis Prévost

We study the random geometry of first passage percolation on the complete graph equipped with independent and identically distributed edge weights, continuing the program initiated by Bhamidi and van der Hofstad [9]. We describe our results…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-23 M. Eckhoff , J. Goodman , R. van der Hofstad , F. R. Nardi

We study last passage percolation in a half-quadrant, which we analyze within the framework of Pfaffian Schur processes. For the model with exponential weights, we prove that the fluctuations of the last passage time to a point on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Jinho Baik , Guillaume Barraquand , Ivan Corwin , Toufic Suidan

We study the flow of fluid in porous media in dimensions $d=2$ and 3. The medium is modeled by bond percolation on a lattice of $L^d$ sites, while the flow front is modeled by tracer particles driven by a pressure difference between two…

Consider a network embedded in the 2D plane, where a particle diffuses along the edges of the network. It is clear that over short length scales a particle moves along a single edge and thus undergoes one-dimensional diffusion. However, on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-23 D. B. Wilson , C. H. L. Beentjes