Related papers: Harmonic Bayesian prediction under alpha-divergenc…
We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…
We consider the problem of estimating the mean vector $\theta$ of a $d$-dimensional spherically symmetric distributed $X$ based on balanced loss functions of the forms: {\bf (i)} $\omega \rho(\|\de-\de_{0}\|^{2}) +(1-\omega)\rho(\|\de -…
In this paper, we focus on a new wave equation described wave propagation in the attenuation medium. In the first part of this paper, based on the time-domain space fractional wave equation, we formulate the frequency-domain equation named…
Time-varying parameter (TVP) models are very flexible in capturing gradual changes in the effect of a predictor on the outcome variable. However, in particular when the number of predictors is large, there is a known risk of overfitting and…
Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…
A Bayesian approach is developed for the inference of an eddy-diffusivity field from Lagrangian trajectory data. The motion of Lagrangian particles is modelled by a stochastic differential equation associated with the advection-diffusion…
A common way of characterizing minimax estimators in point estimation is by moving the problem into the Bayesian estimation domain and finding a least favorable prior distribution. The Bayesian estimator induced by a least favorable prior,…
We show that rate-adaptive multivariate density estimation can be performed using Bayesian methods based on Dirichlet mixtures of normal kernels with a prior distribution on the kernel's covariance matrix parameter. We derive sufficient…
For a sample of absolutely bounded i.i.d. random variables with a continuous density the cumulative distribution function of the sample variance is represented by a univariate integral over a Fourier series. If the density is a polynomial…
Let $X,U,Y$ be spherically symmetric distributed having density $$\eta^{d +k/2} \, f\left(\eta(\|x-\theta|^2+ \|u\|^2 + \|y-c\theta\|^2 ) \right)\,,$$ with unknown parameters $\theta \in \mathbb{R}^d$ and $\eta>0$, and with known density…
For two vast families of mixture distributions and a given prior, we provide unified representations of posterior and predictive distributions. Model applications presented include bivariate mixtures of Gamma distributions labelled as…
Shrinkage estimation is a fundamental tool of modern statistics, pioneered by Charles Stein upon his discovery of the famous paradox involving the multivariate Gaussian. A large portion of the subsequent literature only considers the…
This review traces the evolution of theory that started when Charles Stein in 1955 [In Proc. 3rd Berkeley Sympos. Math. Statist. Probab. I (1956) 197--206, Univ. California Press] showed that using each separate sample mean from $k\ge3$…
Model-assisted estimation with complex survey data is an important practical problem in survey sampling. When there are many auxiliary variables, selecting significant variables associated with the study variable would be necessary to…
Shape restrictions such as monotonicity on functions often arise naturally in statistical modeling. We consider a Bayesian approach to the problem of estimation of a monotone regression function and testing for monotonicity. We construct a…
We investigate shrinkage priors on power spectral densities for complex-valued circular-symmetric autoregressive processes. We construct shrinkage predictive power spectral densities, which asymptotically dominate (i) the Bayesian…
Parameter shrinkage applied optimally can always reduce error and projection variances from those of maximum likelihood estimation. Many variables that actuaries use are on numerical scales, like age or year, which require parameters at…
Generalised Bayesian inference updates prior beliefs using a loss function, rather than a likelihood, and can therefore be used to confer robustness against possible mis-specification of the likelihood. Here we consider generalised Bayesian…
The vast majority of statistical theory on binary classification characterizes performance in terms of accuracy. However, accuracy is known in many cases to poorly reflect the practical consequences of classification error, most famously in…
When using complex Bayesian models to combine information, the checking for consistency of the information being combined is good statistical practice. Here a new method is developed for detecting prior-data conflicts in Bayesian models…