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We introduce flexible robust functional regression models, using various heavy-tailed processes, including a Student $t$-process. We propose efficient algorithms in estimating parameters for the marginal mean inferences and in predicting…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-17 Chunzheng Cao , Jian Qing Shi , Youngjo Lee

The age of big data has produced data sets that are computationally expensive to analyze and store. Algorithmic leveraging proposes that we sample observations from the original data set to generate a representative data set and then…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-13 Katelyn Gao

It can be argued that optimal prediction should take into account all available data. Therefore, to evaluate a prediction interval's performance one should employ conditional coverage probability, conditioning on all available observations.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Yunyi Zhang , Dimitris N. Politis

The validity of various bootstrapping methods has been proved for the sample mean of strongly mixing data. But in many applications, there appear nonlinear statistics of processes that are not strongly mixing. We investigate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-28 Olimjon Sh. Sharipov , Martin Wendler

We study the conditional expert Kaplan-Meier estimator, an extension of the classical Kaplan--Meier estimator designed for time-to-event data subject to both right-censoring and contamination. Such contamination, where observed events may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Martin Bladt , Kristian Vilhelm Dinesen

The frequentist variability of Bayesian posterior expectations can provide meaningful measures of uncertainty even when models are misspecified. Classical methods to asymptotically approximate the frequentist covariance of Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick

Many modern estimators require bootstrapping to calculate confidence intervals because either no analytic standard error is available or the distribution of the parameter of interest is non-symmetric. It remains however unclear how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-13 Michael Schomaker , Christian Heumann

This paper is concerned with inference in threshold regression models when the practitioners do not know whether at the threshold point the true specification has a kink or a jump. We nest previous works that assume either continuity or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-15 Javier Hidalgo , Jungyoon Lee , Myung Hwan Seo

In observational studies with time-to-event outcomes, the g-formula can be used to estimate a treatment effect in the presence of confounding factors. However, the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding stochastic process is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Jasmin Rühl , Sarah Friedrich

In a unified framework, we provide estimators and confidence bands for a variety of treatment effects when the outcome of interest, typically a duration, is subjected to right censoring. Our methodology accommodates average, distributional,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-04 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

We propose a difference-based nonparametric methodology for the estimation and inference of the time-varying auto-covariance functions of a locally stationary time series when it is contaminated by a complex trend with both abrupt and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Yan Cui , Michael Levine , Zhou Zhou

The second-order dependence structure of purely nondeterministic stationary process is described by the coefficients of the famous Wold representation. These coefficients can be obtained by factorizing the spectral density of the process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-21 Jonas Krampe , Jens-Peter Kreiss , Efstathios Paparoditis

This paper proposes valid inference tools, based on self-normalization, in time series expected shortfall regressions and, as a corollary, also in quantile regressions. Extant methods for such time series regressions, based on a bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-24 Yannick Hoga , Christian Schulz

Linear mixed effects are considered excellent predictors of cluster-level parameters in various domains. However, previous work has shown that their performance can be seriously affected by departures from modelling assumptions. Since the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 Katarzyna Reluga , Stefan Sperlich

The multivariate Fay-Herriot model is quite effective in combining information through correlations among small area survey estimates of related variables or historical survey estimates of the same variable or both. Though the literature on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-29 Takumi Saegusa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Partha Lahiri

It is shown that bootstrap approximations of an estimator which is based on a continuous operator from the set of Borel probability measures defined on a compact metric space into a complete separable metric space is stable in the sense of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Andreas Christmann , Matias Salibian-Barrera , Stefan Van Aelst

The limiting distribution for M-estimates in a non-stationary autoregressive model with heavy-tailed error is computationally intractable. To make inferences based on the M-estimates, the bootstrap procedure can be used to approximate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

Generalised Bayesian inference updates prior beliefs using a loss function, rather than a likelihood, and can therefore be used to confer robustness against possible mis-specification of the likelihood. Here we consider generalised Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-12 Takuo Matsubara , Jeremias Knoblauch , François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates

We consider the double functional nonparametric regression model $Y=r(X)+\epsilon$, where the response variable $Y$ is Hilbert space-valued and the covariate $X$ takes values in a pseudometric space. The data satisfy an ergodicity criterion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-28 Johannes T. N. Krebs

In this paper, we develop uniform inference methods for the conditional mode based on quantile regression. Specifically, we propose to estimate the conditional mode by minimizing the derivative of the estimated conditional quantile function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Tao Zhang , Kengo Kato , David Ruppert