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Biological systems commonly exhibit complex spatiotemporal patterns whose underlying generative mechanisms pose a significant analytical challenge. Traditional approaches to spatiodynamic inference rely on dimensionality reduction through…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-01 Jun Won Park , Kangyu Zhao , Sanket Rane

Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models is an important and active research area because such models allow a parsimonious representation of multivariate stochastic volatility. Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-27 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , David Nott

We develop a new Bayesian modelling framework for the class of higher-order, variable-memory Markov chains, and introduce an associated collection of methodological tools for exact inference with discrete time series. We show that a version…

Gene expression is a stochastic process in which cells produce biomolecules essential to the function of life. Modern experimental methods allow for the measurement of biomolecules at single-cell and single-molecule resolution over time.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-01 Zachary R Fox

We introduce and demonstrate a new approach to inference in expressive probabilistic programming languages based on particle Markov chain Monte Carlo. Our approach is simple to implement and easy to parallelize. It applies to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Frank Wood , Jan Willem van de Meent , Vikash Mansinghka

A recent burst of dynamic single-cell growth-division data makes it possible to characterize the stochastic dynamics of cell division control in bacteria. Different modeling frameworks were used to infer specific mechanisms from such data,…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-22 Jacopo Grilli , Matteo Osella , Andrew S. Kennard , Marco Cosentino Lagomarsino

Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

Cellular differentiation is governed by gene regulatory networks, the high-dimensional stochastic biochemical systems that determine the transcriptional landscape and mediate cellular responses to signals and perturbations. Although…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-29 Suryanarayana Maddu , Victor Chardès , Michael J. Shelley

The increasing availability of experimental data has intensified interest in calibrating stochastic models, raising fundamental questions about parameter identifiability. Structural identifiability determines whether parameters can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Arianna Ceccarelli , Alexander P. Browning , Ruth E. Baker

The advances in variational inference are providing promising paths in Bayesian estimation problems. These advances make variational phylogenetic inference an alternative approach to Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for approximating the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-12 Amine M. Remita , Golrokh Vitae , Abdoulaye Baniré Diallo

Predicting how a dynamical unit evolves over time - how an individual ages, an epidemic spreads, or a physical system degrades - typically requires dense longitudinal tracking. When only extremely sparse or entirely cross-sectional data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Christian Lagemann , Kai Lagemann , Steven L. Brunton , Sach Mukherjee

Protein structure prediction is one of the most important problems in computational biology. The most successful computational approach, also called template-based modeling, identifies templates with solved crystal structures for the query…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-20 Jian Peng

Combined inference for heterogeneous high-dimensional data is critical in modern biology, where clinical and various kinds of molecular data may be available from a single study. Classical genetic association studies regress a single…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hélène Ruffieux , Anthony C. Davison , Jörg Hager , Irina Irincheeva

Segmenting tree structures is common in several image processing applications. In medical image analysis, reliable segmentations of airways, vessels, neurons and other tree structures can enable important clinical applications. We present a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Raghavendra Selvan , Jens Petersen , Jesper H. Pedersen , Marleen de Bruijne

This paper introduces methodology for performing Bayesian inference sequentially on a sequence of posteriors on spaces of different dimensions. We show how this may be achieved through the use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers (Del…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-02 Richard G Everitt , Richard Culliford , Felipe Medina-Aguayo , Daniel J Wilson

Single-particle traces of the diffusive motion of molecules, cells, or animals are by-now routinely measured, similar to stochastic records of stock prices or weather data. Deciphering the stochastic mechanism behind the recorded dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-14 Henrik Seckler , Janusz Szwabinski , Ralf Metzler

A central statistical problem in population genetics is to infer evolutionary and biological parameters such as the strength of natural selection and allele age from DNA samples extracted from a contemporary population. That all samples…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-19 Jaromir Sant , Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Dario Spano

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

Networks are ubiquitous in biology and computational approaches have been largely investigated for their inference. In particular, supervised machine learning methods can be used to complete a partially known network by integrating various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-25 Marie Schrynemackers , Louis Wehenkel , M. Madan Babu , Pierre Geurts

Network inference has been attracting increasing attention in several fields, notably systems biology, control engineering and biomedicine. To develop a therapy, it is essential to understand the connectivity of biochemical units and the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Junyang Jin , Ye Yuan , Jorge Goncalves