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This is Part II of our work about random tensor inequalities and tail bounds for bivariate random tensor means. After reviewing basic facts about random tensors, we first consider tail bounds with more general connection functions. Then, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Shih-Yu Chang

We study the asymptotic behaviour of widely used tests for evaluating and comparing predictive accuracy when forecast errors exhibit heavy tails. In particular, when loss differentials have infinite variance, the Diebold-Mariano test…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Jonas F. Frederiksen , Muneya Matsui , Rasmus S. Pedersen

The approach used by Kalashnikov and Tsitsiashvili for constructing upper bounds for the tail distribution of a geometric sum with subexponential summands is reconsidered. By expressing the problem in a more probabilistic light, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-18 Andrew Richards

This work introduces the minimax Laplace transform method, a modification of the cumulant-based matrix Laplace transform method developed in "User-friendly tail bounds for sums of random matrices" (arXiv:1004.4389v6) that yields both upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-22 Alex Gittens , Joel A. Tropp

We consider trawl processes, which are stationary and infinitely divisible stochastic processes and can describe a wide range of statistical properties, such as heavy tails and long memory. In this paper, we develop the first…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-31 Dan Leonte , Almut E. D. Veraart

In this paper a simple proof of the Chebyshev's inequality for random vectors obtained by Chen (arXiv:0707.0805v2, 2011) is obtained. This inequality gives a lower bound for the percentage of the population of an arbitrary random vector X…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-27 Jorge Navarro

We study the sharp bounds of $\mathbb{E}[X_1\cdots X_d]$ when the univariate marginal distributions are known, but the dependence structure between them is unspecified. Maximizing products over non-negative variables is straightforward via…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Christopher Blier-Wong , Jinghui Chen

We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

Using terminologies of information geometry, we derive upper and lower bounds of the tail probability of the sample mean. Employing these bounds, we obtain upper and lower bounds of the minimum error probability of the 2nd kind of error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Shun Watanabe , Masahito Hayashi

The masses of data now available have opened up the prospect of discovering weak signals using machine-learning algorithms, with a view to predictive or interpretation tasks. As this survey of recent results attempts to show, bringing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Stephan Clémençon , Anne Sabourin

An infinite convergent sum of independent and identically distributed random variables discounted by a multiplicative random walk is called perpetuity, because of a possible actuarial application. We give three disjoint groups of sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Dariusz Buraczewski , Piotr Dyszewski , Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych

We derive upper bounds for probabilities of the form $P(g(\mathbf{X})\geq t)$ using the southwest boundary (recently introduced in our previous work) $\partial_{\mathrm{SW}} Q(g^{-1}[t,\infty))$, where $Q$ is a reflection to the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Stephen Jordan Harrison

From mostly a measure-theoretic consideration, we show that for every nonnegative, finite, and $L^{1}$ function on a given finite measure space there is some nontrivial sequence of real numbers such that the series, obtained from summing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Yu-Lin Chou

We give rates of convergence in the almost sure invariance principle for sums of dependent random variables with semi exponential tails, whose coupling coefficients decrease at a subexponential rate. We show that the rates in the strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-23 C Cuny , J Dedecker , F Merlevède

This work prepares new probability bounds for sums of random, independent, Hermitian tensors. These probability bounds characterize large-deviation behavior of the extreme eigenvalue of the sums of random tensors. We extend Lapalace…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Shih Yu Chang

In this paper, we present a new framework to obtain tail inequalities for sums of random matrices. Compared with existing works, our tail inequalities have the following characteristics: 1) high feasibility--they can be used to study the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Chao Zhang , Min-Hsiu Hsieh , Dacheng Tao

We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Claudia Klüppelberg

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be independent normal random variables with $X_i\sim N(\mu_i,\sigma_i^2)$, and set $Z=\prod_{i=1}^n X_i$. We derive asymptotic approximations for the right tail probability $\mathbb{P}(Z>x)$ as $x\to\infty$. When at…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Džiugas Chvoinikov , Jonas Šiaulys

In this paper we develop algorithms for approximating matrix multiplication with respect to the spectral norm. Let A\in{\RR^{n\times m}} and B\in\RR^{n \times p} be two matrices and \eps>0. We approximate the product A^\top B using two…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2010-10-28 Avner Magen , Anastasios Zouzias

Despite the successes of probabilistic models based on passing noise through neural networks, recent work has identified that such methods often fail to capture tail behavior accurately, unless the tails of the base distribution are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Feynman Liang , Liam Hodgkinson , Michael W. Mahoney