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Dynamic simulators are computational models governed by differential equations that evolve over time. They are essential for scientific and engineering applications but remain challenging to emulate because of the unpredictable behavior of…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-12 Junoh Heo

This paper proposes a new class of real-time optimization schemes to overcome system-model mismatch of uncertain processes. This work's novelty lies in integrating derivative-free optimization schemes and multi-fidelity Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Panagiotis Petsagkourakis , Benoit Chachuat , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona

In spite of the diverse literature on nonstationary spatial modeling and approximate Gaussian process (GP) methods, there are no general approaches for conducting fully Bayesian inference for moderately sized nonstationary spatial data sets…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-01 Mark D. Risser , Daniel Turek

All discretized numerical models contain modelling errors - this reality is amplified when reduced-order models are used. The ability to accurately approximate modelling errors informs statistics on model confidence and improves…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Danny Smyl , Tyler N. Tallman , Jonathan A. Black , Andreas Hauptmann , Dong Liu

Bayesian optimization has shown to be a fundamental global optimization algorithm in many applications: ranging from automatic machine learning, robotics, reinforcement learning, experimental design, simulations, etc. The most popular and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Ruben Martinez-Cantin

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric models for function approximation with principled predictive uncertainty estimates. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multilayer generalizations of GPs that can represent complex marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-20 Qiuxian Meng , Yongyou Zhang

Stochastic spectral methods have achieved great success in the uncertainty quantification of many engineering problems, including electronic and photonic integrated circuits influenced by fabrication process variations. Existing techniques…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

This paper proposes novel noise-free Bayesian optimization strategies that rely on a random exploration step to enhance the accuracy of Gaussian process surrogate models. The new algorithms retain the ease of implementation of the classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Many computer vision and human-computer interaction applications developed in recent years need evaluating complex and continuous mathematical functions as an essential step toward proper operation. However, rigorous evaluation of this kind…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Daniel Berjón , Guillermo Gallego , Carlos Cuevas , Francisco Morán , Narciso García

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a highly flexible, nonparametric statistical model that are commonly used to fit nonlinear relationships or account for correlation between observations. However, the computational load of fitting a Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-30 Matthew J Heaton , Jacob A. Johnson

It is well known in quantum optics that any process involving the preparation of a multimode gaussian state, followed by a gaussian operation and gaussian measurements, can be efficiently simulated by classical computers. Here, we provide…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-22 Michael G. Jabbour , Leonardo Novo

Gaussian processes are a powerful class of non-linear models, but have limited applicability for larger datasets due to their high computational complexity. In such cases, approximate methods are required, for example, the recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Soham Mukherjee , Manfred Claassen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Due to their flexibility, Gaussian processes (GPs) have been widely used in nonparametric function estimation. A prior information about the underlying function is often available. For instance, the physical system (computer model output)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-21 Hassan Maatouk

This paper is centered around the approximation of dynamical systems by means of Gaussian processes. To this end, trajectories of such systems must be collected to be used as training data. The measurements of these trajectories are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-02 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Gaussian couplings of partial sum processes are derived for the high-dimensional regime $d=o(n^{1/3})$. The coupling is derived for sums of independent random vectors and subsequently extended to nonstationary time series. Our inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Fabian Mies , Ansgar Steland

We introduce a simple, efficient and accurate nonnegative preserving numerical scheme for simulating the square-root process. The novel idea is to simulate the integrated square-root process first instead of the square-root process itself.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-18 Eduardo Abi Jaber

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful non-parametric Bayesian models for regression of scalar fields, formulated under the assumption that measurement locations are perfectly known and the corresponding field measurements have Gaussian…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Kyle Volle , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Signal processing in non-Gaussian noise environment is addressed in this paper. For many real-life situations, the additive noise process present in the system is found to be dominantly non-Gaussian. The problem of detection and estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-23 Jugalkishore K. Banoth , Pradip Sircar

As we aim to control complex systems, use of a simulator in model-based reinforcement learning is becoming more common. However, it has been challenging to overcome the Reality Gap, which comes from nonlinear model bias and susceptibility…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Gilwoo Lee , Siddhartha S. Srinivasa , Matthew T. Mason