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The standard conditional probability definition formula is derived as a consequence of the Insufficient Reason Principle expressed as the Maximum Relative Divergence Principle for grading (order-comonotonic) functions on a totally ordered…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-14 Alexander Dukhovny

We study the problem of conditional two-sample testing, which aims to determine whether two populations have the same distribution after accounting for confounding factors. This problem commonly arises in various applications, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Seongchan Lee , Suman Cha , Ilmun Kim

One-dimensional run-and-tumble processes may converge towards some localized non-equilibrium steady state when the two velocities and/or the two switching rates are space-dependent. A long dynamical trajectory can be then analyzed via the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-23 Cecile Monthus

We study existence of random elements with partially specified distributions. The technique relies on the existence of a positive extension for linear functionals accompanied by additional conditions that ensure the regularity of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Raphael Lachieze-Rey , Ilya Molchanov

We obtain large deviations theorems for nonconventional sums with underlying process being a Markov process satisfying the Doeblin condition or a dynamical system such as subshift of finite type or hyperbolic or expanding transformation.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-21 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

We study convergence rates of variational posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We formulate general conditions on prior, likelihood, and variational class that characterize the convergence rates. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

We show an extension of Sanov's theorem on large deviations, controlling the tail probabilities of i.i.d. random variables with matching concentration and anti-concentration bounds. This result has a general scope, applies to samples of any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Akshay Balsubramani

In this short note we consider semi-Markov processes satisfying the condition of direction-time independence (Markov renewal processes). We derive large deviation principles and fluctuation theorems for the empirical current and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-19 A. Faggionato

We prove a large deviation principle for a sequence of point processes defined by Gibbs probability measures on a Polish space. This is obtained as a consequence of a more general Laplace principle for the non-normalized Gibbs measures. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-08 David García-Zelada

We consider a collection of weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale locally periodic environment. We study the large deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-03 Zachary Bezemek , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Since the pioneering works of Jakobson and Benedicks & Carleson and others, it has been known that a positive measure set of quadratic maps admit invariant probability measures absolutely continuous with respect to Lebesgue. These measures…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Yong Moo Chung , Hiroki Takahasi

We consider a family of positive operator valued measures associated with representations of compact connected Lie groups. For many independent copies of a single state and a tensor power representation we show that the observed probability…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-09-04 Alonso Botero , Matthias Christandl , Péter Vrana

A large deviations principle is established for the joint law of the empirical measure and the flow measure of a renewal Markov process on a finite graph. We do not assume any bound on the arrival times, allowing heavy tailed distributions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Mauro Mariani , Lorenzo Zambotti

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

We study an analogue of the large deviation principle for mixed measures associated with a class of $\log$-concave probability measures whose densities depend on the gauge function of a convex body. For convex bodies in $\mathbb{R}^n$, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Malak Lafi , Artem Zvavitch

Models based on assumptions of multivariate regular variation and hidden regular variation provide ways to describe a broad range of extremal dependence structures when marginal distributions are heavy tailed. Multivariate regular variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Janet E. Heffernan , Sidney I. Resnick

A rigorous connection between large deviations theory and Gamma-convergence is established. Applications include representations formulas for rate functions, a contraction principle for measurable maps, a large deviations principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-02 Mauro Mariani

Let $Z=\{Z(t): t\in \mathbb R\}$ be a stochastic process with trajectories in space $\mathbb D (\mathbb R)$. It is assumed that there exists an essentially smooth function $A:\mathbb R\to (-\infty, \infty] $ such that, for all $\alpha \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 A. A. Borovkov , K. A. Borovkov

The definition of the conditional probability is very important in the theory of the probability. This definition is based on the fact, that random events can be simultaneously measurable. This paper deal with the problem of conditioning…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Olga Nanasiova

Two high-level "pictures" of probability theory have emerged: one that takes as central the notion of random variable, and one that focuses on distributions and probability channels (Markov kernels). While the channel-based picture has been…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Dario Stein