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We consider a problem of simple hypothesis testing using a randomized test via a tunable loss function proposed by Liao \textit{et al}. In this problem, we derive results that correspond to the Neyman--Pearson lemma, the Chernoff--Stein…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Akira Kamatsuka

In this paper, under some weaker conditions, we give three laws of large numbers under sublinear expectations (capacities), which extend Peng's law of large numbers under sublinear expectations in [8] and Chen's strong law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Feng Hu

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu

Motivated by problems of anomaly detection, this paper implements the Neyman-Pearson paradigm to deal with asymmetric errors in binary classification with a convex loss. Given a finite collection of classifiers, we combine them and obtain a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-03-01 Philippe Rigollet , Xin Tong

When faced with a small sample from a large universe of possible outcomes, scientists often turn to the venerable Good--Turing estimator. Despite its pedigree, however, this estimator comes with considerable drawbacks, such as the need to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Yanjun Han , Jonathan Niles-Weed , Yandi Shen , Yihong Wu

We introduce estimation and test procedures through divergence optimization for discrete or continuous parametric models. This approach is based on a new dual representation for divergences. We treat point estimation and tests for simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Michel Broniatowski , Amor Keziou

The main purpose of this paper is to provide an asymptotically optimal test. The proposed statistic is of Neyman-Pearson-type when the parameters are estimated with a particular kind of estimators. It is shown that the proposed estimators…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-04 Tewfik Lounis

We consider coherent sublinear expectations on a measurable space, without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure. By considering a decomposition of the space in terms of the supports of the measures representing our…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Samuel N. Cohen

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

Particle physics experiments rely on the (generalised) likelihood ratio test (LRT) for searches and measurements, which consist of composite hypothesis tests. However, this test is not guaranteed to be optimal, as the Neyman-Pearson lemma…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-11-21 James Carzon , Aishik Ghosh , Rafael Izbicki , Ann Lee , Luca Masserano , Daniel Whiteson

We consider a family of conditional nonlinear expectations defined on the space of bounded random variables and indexed by the class of all the sub-sigma-algebras of a given underlying sigma-algebra. We show that if this family satisfies a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-04 Edoardo Berton , Alessandro Doldi , Marco Maggis

We analyze hypotheses tests using classical results on large deviations to compare two models, each one described by a different H\"older Gibbs probability measure. One main difference to the classical hypothesis tests in Decision Theory is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-28 Hermes H. Ferreira , Artur O. Lopes , Silvia R. C. Lopes

The Neyman-Pearson strategy for hypothesis testing can be employed for goodness of fit if the alternative hypothesis is selected from data by exploring a rich parametrised family of models, while controlling the impact of statistical…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-05-15 Gaia Grosso , Marco Letizia , Maurizio Pierini , Andrea Wulzer

The remarkable generalization performance of large-scale models has been challenging the conventional wisdom of the statistical learning theory. Although recent theoretical studies have shed light on this behavior in linear models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Tomoya Wakayama

In several interesting applications one is faced with the problem of simultaneous binary hypothesis testing and parameter estimation. Although such joint problems are not infrequent, there exist no systematic analysis in the literature that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-25 George V. Moustakides

In fields that are mainly nonexperimental, such as economics and finance, it is inescapable to compute test statistics and confidence regions that are not probabilistically independent from previously examined data. The Bayesian and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-20 Benjamin Holcblat , Steffen Grønneberg

We address the following question in this paper: "What are the most robust statistical methods for social choice?'' By leveraging the theory of uniformly least favorable distributions in the Neyman-Pearson framework to finite models and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Lirong Xia

We study the training dynamics of neural classifiers through the lens of binary hypothesis testing. We re-formalize classification as a collection of binary tests between class-conditional distributions induced by learned representations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Kadircan Aksoy , Protim Bhattacharjee , Peter Jung

We study mixture of linear regression (random coefficient) models, which capture population heterogeneity by allowing the regression coefficients to follow an unknown distribution $G^*$. In contrast to common parametric methods that fix the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Hansheng Jiang , Adityanand Guntuboyina

We consider a sequence of i.i.d. random variables $\{\xi_k\}$under a sublinear expectation $\mathbb{E}=\sup_{P\in\Theta}E_P$. We first give a new proof to the fact that, under each $P\in\Theta$, any cluster point of the empirical averages…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Yongsheng Song