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Parameter learning for high-dimensional, partially observed, and nonlinear stochastic processes is a methodological challenge. Spatiotemporal disease transmission systems provide examples of such processes giving rise to open inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-05 Ning Ning , Edward L. Ionides

To accurately reproduce measurements from the real world, simulators need to have an adequate model of the physical system and require the parameters of the model be identified. We address the latter problem of estimating parameters through…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Eric Heiden , Christopher E. Denniston , David Millard , Fabio Ramos , Gaurav S. Sukhatme

We derive a parallel sampling algorithm for computational inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a vector of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Darko Volkov

In simulations of fluid motion time accuracy has proven to be elusive. We seek highly accurate methods with strong enough stability properties to deal with the richness of scales of many flows. These methods must also be easy to implement…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Victor DeCaria , Sigal Gottlieb , Zachary J. Grant , William J. Layton

Most learning-based approaches to complex physical reasoning sidestep the crucial problem of parameter identification (e.g., mass, friction) that governs scene dynamics, despite its importance in real-world applications such as collision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Anoop Cherian , Radu Corcodel , Siddarth Jain , Diego Romeres

Effectively modeling non-stationary dynamics in probabilistic multivariate time series(MTS) forecasting requires balancing expressiveness with robustness. Existing parametric approaches benefit from strong inductive biases but lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jinglin Li , Jun Tan , QI Fang , Ning Gui

Identifying control-friendly models of nonlinear systems remains one of the major challenges at the intersection of system identification and control. The Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) framework offers a promising solution, but existing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-13 Roel Drenth , Jan H. Hoekstra , Maarten Schoukens , Roland Tóth

This paper addresses the challenging problem of parameter estimation in bilinear systems under colored noise. A novel approach, termed B-PF-RLS, is proposed, combining a particle filter (PF) with a recursive least squares (RLS) estimator.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-20 Khalid Abd El Mageed Hag Elamin

Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (pMCMC) is now a popular method for performing Bayesian statistical inference on challenging state space models (SSMs) with unknown static parameters. It uses a particle filter (PF) at each iteration of an…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-19 Christopher Drovandi , Richard G Everitt , Andrew Golightly , Dennis Prangle

This paper focuses on designing a particle filter for randomly delayed measurements with an unknown latency probability. A generalized measurement model is adopted which includes measurements that are delayed randomly by an arbitrary but…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-03-22 Ranjeet Kumar Tiwari , Shovan Bhaumik , Paresh Date

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

Integer linear programming (ILP) is an elegant approach to solve linear optimization problems, naturally described using integer decision variables. Within the context of physics-inspired machine learning applied to chemistry, we…

Fine-tuning all parameters of Large Language Models (LLMs) is computationally expensive. Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (PEFT) methods address this by selectively fine-tuning specific parameters. Most of the parameter efficient fine-tuning…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Ming Dong , Kang Xue , Bolong Zheng , Tingting He

Fitting probabilistic models to data is often difficult, due to the general intractability of the partition function and its derivatives. Here we propose a new parameter estimation technique that does not require computing an intractable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Peter Battaglino , Michael R. DeWeese

Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF), combined with EM, is commonly used as an algorithm for likelihood maximization in undirected graphical models. In this paper, we present two iterative algorithms that generalize upon IPF. The first one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Wim Wiegerinck , Tom Heskes

The main feature of large-scale multi-objective optimization problems (LSMOP) is to optimize multiple conflicting objectives while considering thousands of decision variables at the same time. An efficient LSMOP algorithm should have the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Haokai Hong , Kai Ye , Min Jiang , Donglin Cao , Kay Chen Tan

This paper develops an approach for multi-step forecasting of dynamical systems by integrating probabilistic input forecasting with physics-informed output prediction. Accurate multi-step forecasting of time series systems is important for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Mahdi Nasiri , Johanna Kortelainen , Simo Särkkä

The Kalman filter is an established tool for the analysis of dynamic systems with normally distributed noise, and it has been successfully applied in numerous application areas. It provides sequentially calculated estimates of the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-26 S. Eichstädt , N. Makarava , C. Elster

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

This paper proposes DiffPF, a differentiable particle filter that leverages diffusion models for state estimation in dynamic systems. Unlike conventional differentiable particle filters, which require importance weighting and typically rely…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Ziyu Wan , Lin Zhao
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