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Minimizing the Mean Squared Error (MSE) is a key objective in machine learning and is commonly used for imputing missing values. While this approach provides accurate point estimates, it introduces systematic biases in downstream analyses.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Stef van Buuren

We derive explicit bounds for the computation of normalizing constants $Z$ for log-concave densities $\pi = \exp(-U)/Z$ with respect to the Lebesgue measure on $\mathbb{R}^d$. Our approach relies on a Gaussian annealing combined with recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-01 Nicolas Brosse , Alain Durmus , Éric Moulines

This article shows that increasing the observation variance at small scales can reduce the ensemble size required to avoid collapse in particle filtering of spatially-extended dynamics and improve the resulting uncertainty quantification at…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-15 Gregor Robinson , Ian Grooms , William Kleiber

A universal and optimal method for the polarimetry of light with arbitrary photon statistics is presented. The method is based on the continuous maximum-likelihood positive operator-valued measure (ML-POVM) for pure polarization states over…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-04-20 Lu Zhang , Kam Wai Clifford Chan , Pramode K. Verma

Diffusion models, typically formulated as discretizations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), have achieved state-of-the-art performance in generative tasks. However, their theoretical analysis often involves complex proofs. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Juhyeok Choi , Chenglin Fan

In this paper, we are interested in deriving non-asymptotic error bounds for the multilevel Monte Carlo method. As a first step, we deal with the explicit Euler discretization of stochastic differential equations with a constant diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-19 Benjamin Jourdain , Ahmed Kebaier

In this paper we develop a new general Bayesian methodology that simultaneously estimates parameters of interest and the marginal likelihood of the model. The proposed methodology builds on Simulated Tempering, which is a powerful algorithm…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-03 Biljana Jonoska Stojkova , David A. Campbell

Partial differential equation is a powerful tool to characterize various physics systems. In practice, measurement errors are often present and probability models are employed to account for such uncertainties. In this paper, we present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-23 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu

We consider online computation of expectations of additive state functionals under general path probability measures proportional to products of unnormalised transition densities. These transition densities are assumed to be intractable but…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-13 Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

In this paper, we propose a semi-implicit Euler scheme to discretize the stochastic nonlinear Maxwell equations with multiplicative Ito noise, which is implicit in the drift term and explicit in the diffusion term of the equations, in order…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-01 Chuchu Chen , Jialin Hong , Lihai Ji

We propose a straightforward and effective method for discretizing multi-dimensional diffusion processes as an extension of Milstein scheme. The new scheme is explicitly given and can be simulated using Gaussian variates, requiring the same…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Yuga Iguchi , Toshihiro Yamada

The particle filter is a popular Bayesian filtering algorithm for use in cases where the state-space model is nonlinear and/or the random terms (initial state or noises) are non-Gaussian distributed. We study the behavior of the error in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-29 Ziyu Liu , Shihong Wei , James C. Spall

We consider continuous-time sparse stochastic processes from which we have only a finite number of noisy/noiseless samples. Our goal is to estimate the noiseless samples (denoising) and the signal in-between (interpolation problem). By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Arash Amini , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , Emrah Bostan , Michael Unser

The mean field limits of systems of interacting diffusions (also called stochastic interacting particle systems (SIPS)) have been intensively studied since McKean \cite{mckean1966class}. The interacting diffusions pave a way to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Lukasz Szpruch , Shuren Tan , Alvin Tse

Parameter estimation in multidimensional diffusion models with only one coordinate observed is highly relevant in many biological applications, but a statistically difficult problem. In neuroscience, the membrane potential evolution in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-01 Susanne Ditlevsen , Adeline Samson

Normalizing flows are a class of generative models that enable exact likelihood evaluation. While these models have already found various applications in particle physics, normalizing flows are not flexible enough to model many of the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-09-07 Rob Verheyen

We consider a set of M images, whose pixel intensities at a common point can be treated as the components of a M-dimensional vector. We are interested in the estimation of the modulus of such a vector associated to a compact source. For…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-01-05 F. Argueso , J. L. Sanz , D. Herranz

A generative model based on a continuous-time normalizing flow between any pair of base and target probability densities is proposed. The velocity field of this flow is inferred from the probability current of a time-dependent density that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Michael S. Albergo , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

The present work introduces and investigates an explicit time discretization scheme, called the projected Euler method,to numerically approximate random periodic solutions of semi-linear SDEs under non-globally Lipschitz conditions. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Yujia Guo , Xiaojie Wang , Yue Wu

A new multiscale implementation of non-local means filtering for image denoising is proposed. The proposed algorithm also introduces a modification of similarity measure for patch comparison. The standard Euclidean norm is replaced by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2013-04-04 Zahid Hussain Shamsi , Dai-Gyoung Kim