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This paper presents an innovative online portfolio selection model, situated within a meta-learning framework, that leverages a mixture policies strategy. The core idea is to simulate a fund that employs multiple fund managers, each skilled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Jiayu Shen , Jia Liu , Zhiping Chen

In this paper, asymptotic results in a long-term growth rate portfolio optimization model under both fixed and proportional transaction costs are obtained. More precisely, the convergence of the model when the fixed costs tend to zero is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-07 Sören Christensen , Albrecht Irle , Andreas Ludwig

Stock trading strategies play a critical role in investment. However, it is challenging to design a profitable strategy in a complex and dynamic stock market. In this paper, we propose an ensemble strategy that employs deep reinforcement…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Hongyang Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu , Shan Zhong , Anwar Walid

In black-box optimization, a central question is which algorithm to use to solve a given, previously unseen, problem. Selecting a single algorithm, however, entails inherent risks: inaccuracies in the selector may lead to poor choices, and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Catalin-Viorel Dinu , Diederick Vermetten , Carola Doerr

This paper examines the implementation of a statistical arbitrage trading strategy based on co-integration relationships where we discover candidate portfolios using multiple factors rather than just price data. The portfolio selection…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-13 Wenbin Zhang , Zhen Dai , Bindu Pan , Milan Djabirov

Zero-shot imitation learning algorithms hold the promise of reproducing unseen behavior from as little as a single demonstration at test time. Existing practical approaches view the expert demonstration as a sequence of goals, enabling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Thomas Rupf , Marco Bagatella , Nico Gürtler , Jonas Frey , Georg Martius

We propose a deep learning approach to probabilistic forecasting of macroeconomic and financial time series. Being able to learn complex patterns from a data rich environment, our approach is useful for a decision making that depends on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-15 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

We present a novel online ensemble learning strategy for portfolio selection. The new strategy controls and exploits any set of commission-oblivious portfolio selection algorithms. The strategy handles transaction costs using a novel…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-05-31 Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

Dynamic portfolio optimization is the process of sequentially allocating wealth to a collection of assets in some consecutive trading periods, based on investors' return-risk profile. Automating this process with machine learning remains a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Pengqian Yu , Joon Sern Lee , Ilya Kulyatin , Zekun Shi , Sakyasingha Dasgupta

We study the extent to which standard machine learning algorithms rely on exchangeability and independence of data by introducing a monotone adversarial corruption model. In this model, an adversary, upon looking at a "clean" i.i.d.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Kasper Green Larsen , Chirag Pabbaraju , Abhishek Shetty

This paper investigates the problem of ensembling multiple strategies for sequential portfolios to outperform individual strategies in terms of long-term wealth. Due to the uncertainty of strategies' performances in the future market, which…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-07 Duy Khanh Lam

We study the problem of pure exploration in matching markets under uncertain preferences, where the goal is to identify a stable matching with confidence parameter $\delta$ and minimal sample complexity. Agents learn preferences via…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Tejas Pagare , Agniv Bandyopadhyay , Sandeep Juneja

We demonstrate the application of an algorithmic trading strategy based upon the recently developed dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) on portfolios of financial data. The method is capable of characterizing complex dynamical systems, in this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-20 Jordan Mann , J. Nathan Kutz

Consider learning a policy from example expert behavior, without interaction with the expert or access to reinforcement signal. One approach is to recover the expert's cost function with inverse reinforcement learning, then extract a policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Jonathan Ho , Stefano Ermon

In personalized Federated Learning, each member of a potentially large set of agents aims to train a model minimizing its loss function averaged over its local data distribution. We study this problem under the lens of stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-02 Mathieu Even , Laurent Massoulié , Kevin Scaman

We investigate joint optimization on information acquisition and portfolio selection within a Bayesian adaptive framework. The investor dynamically controls the precision of a private signal and incurs costs while updating her belief about…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Zongxia Liang , Shu Wang , Jianming Xia

Portfolio construction traditionally relies on separately estimating expected returns and covariance matrices using historical statistics, often leading to suboptimal allocation under time-varying market conditions. This paper proposes a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Keonvin Park

We propose a Genetic Programming architecture for the generation of foreign exchange trading strategies. The system's principal features are the evolution of free-form strategies which do not rely on any prior models and the utilization of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Simone Cirillo , Stefan Lloyd , Peter Nordin

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

We consider the cyber-physical security of parallel server systems, which is relevant for a variety of engineering applications such as networking, manufacturing, and transportation. These systems rely on feedback control and may thus be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-18 Yuzhen Zhan , Li Jin