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We use the law of total variance to generate multiple expansions for the posterior predictive variance. These expansions are sums of terms involving conditional expectations and conditional variances and provide a quantification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Dean Dustin , Bertrand Clarke

Integrating high-dimensional biological data into data-driven mechanistic modeling requires rigorous practical identifiability to ensure interpretability and generalizability. However, coordinate identifiability analysis often suffers from…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-25 Shun Wang , Wenrui Hao

Nonlinear systems with model uncertainty are often described by stochastic differential equations. Some techniques from random dynamical systems are discussed. They are relevant to better understanding of solution processes of stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

We establish some quantitative concentration estimates for the empirical measure of many independent variables, in transportation distances. As an application, we provide some error bounds for particle simulations in a model mean field…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-19 Francois Bolley , Arnaud Guillin , Cedric Villani

In this paper, we first provide three general norm inequalities, which are used to give new uncertainty relations of any finite observables and quantum channels via metric-adjusted skew information. The results are applicable to its special…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-27 Hui Li , Ting Gao , Fengli Yan

Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong capabilities, enabling concise, context-aware answers in question answering (QA) tasks. The lack of transparency in complex LLMs has inspired extensive research aimed at developing methods to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Yangyi Li , Mengdi Huai

Multilevel or hierarchical data structures can occur in many areas of research, including economics, psychology, sociology, agriculture, medicine, and public health. Over the last 25 years, there has been increasing interest in developing…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-08 Bernet S. Kato , Carel F. W. Peeters

When a machine learning model is deployed, its predictions can alter its environment, as better informed agents strategize to suit their own interests. With such alterations in mind, existing approaches to uncertainty quantification break.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

We introduce a geometric formulation of quantum indeterminacy from which the standard uncertainty inequalities emerge as necessary consequences. Our approach is based on convex geometry in phase space and on methods from symplectic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-29 Maurice de Gosson

Studying the geometry of sets appearing in various problems of quantum information helps in understanding different parts of the theory. It is thus worthwhile to approach quantum mechanics from the angle of geometry -- this has already…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-15 Konrad Szymański

We formulate uncertainty relations for arbitrary $N$ observables. Two uncertainty inequalities are presented in terms of the sum of variances and standard deviations, respectively. The lower bounds of the corresponding sum uncertainty…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-09-24 Bin Chen , Shao-Ming Fei

In this paper alternative formulations of the conventional uncertainty relation are studied in the context of decoherent histories. The results are given in terms of Shannon information. A variety of methods are developed to evaluate the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Bernhard Meister

In quantum mechanics, the variance-based Heisenberg-type uncertainty relations are a series of mathematical inequalities posing the fundamental limits on the achievable accuracy of the state preparations. In contrast, we construct and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Yao Yao , Xing Xiao , Xiaoguang Wang , C. P. Sun

We make two contributions to the problem of estimating the $L_1$ calibration error of a binary classifier from a finite dataset. First, we provide an upper bound for any classifier where the calibration function has bounded variation.…

This paper introduces a novel approach to uncertainty quantification for radiance fields by leveraging higher-order moments of the rendering equation. Uncertainty quantification is crucial for downstream tasks including view planning and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Parker Ewen , Hao Chen , Seth Isaacson , Joey Wilson , Katherine A. Skinner , Ram Vasudevan

Bargmann invariants have recently emerged as powerful tools in quantum information theory, with applications ranging from geometric phase characterization to quantum state distinguishability. Despite their widespread use, a complete…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-11-13 Jianwei Xu

How quantum information is scrambled in the global degrees of freedom of non-equilibrium many-body systems is a key question to understand local thermalization. Here we propose that the scaling of the mutual information between two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-01 Vincenzo Alba , Pasquale Calabrese

Inverse Uncertainty Quantification (UQ), or Bayesian calibration, is the process to quantify the uncertainties of random input parameters based on experimental data. The introduction of model discrepancy term is significant because…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-24 Xu Wu , Koroush Shirvan , Tomasz Kozlowski

The use of high-dimensional regression techniques from machine learning has significantly improved the quantitative accuracy of interatomic potentials. Atomic simulations can now plausibly target quantitative predictions in a variety of…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-03-04 Danny Perez , Aparna P. A. Subramanyam , Ivan Maliyov , Thomas D. Swinburne
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