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We propose a Machine Learning approach for optimal macroeconomic density forecasting in a high-dimensional setting where the underlying model exhibits a known group structure. Our approach is general enough to encompass specific forecasting…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-18 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

Computational models are powerful tools for understanding human cognition and behavior. They let us express our theories clearly and precisely, and offer predictions that can be subtle and often counter-intuitive. However, this same…

Optimum designs for parameter estimation in generalized regression models are standardly based on the Fisher information matrix (cf. Atkinson et al (2014) for a recent exposition). The corresponding optimality criteria are related to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Katarína Burclová , Andrej Pázman

Optimal designs for generalized linear models require a prior knowledge of the regression parameters. At certain values of the parameters we propose particular assumptions which allow to derive a locally optimal design for a model without…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Osama Idais

We propose a Bayesian variable selection method in the framework of modal regression for heavy-tailed responses. An efficient expectation-maximization algorithm is employed to expedite parameter estimation. A test statistic is constructed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Jiasong Duan , Hongmei Zhang , Xianzheng Huang

We present a method for computing A-optimal sensor placements for infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by PDEs with irreducible model uncertainties. Here, irreducible uncertainties refers to uncertainties in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Karina Koval , Alen Alexanderian , Georg Stadler

We consider minimax-optimal designs for the prediction of individual parameters in random coefficient regression models. We focus on the minimax-criterion, which minimizes the "worst case" for the basic criterion with respect to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-09 Maryna Prus

We introduce a framework for Bayesian experimental design (BED) with implicit models, where the data-generating distribution is intractable but sampling from it is still possible. In order to find optimal experimental designs for such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-11 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann

In Bayesian nonparametric models, Gaussian processes provide a popular prior choice for regression function estimation. Existing literature on the theoretical investigation of the resulting posterior distribution almost exclusively assume a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-06 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Guang Cheng

The state of the art related to parameter correlation in two-parameter models has been reviewed in this paper. The apparent contradictions between the different authors regarding the ability of D--optimality to simultaneously reduce the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Edgar Benitez , Jesús López-Fidalgo

Optimal experimental design (OED) is the general formalism of sensor placement and decisions about the data collection strategy for engineered or natural experiments. This approach is prevalent in many critical fields such as battery…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Ahmed Attia , Emil Constantinescu

We propose a MAP Bayesian approach to perform and evaluate a co-clustering of mixed-type data tables. The proposed model infers an optimal segmentation of all variables then performs a co-clustering by minimizing a Bayesian model selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Aichetou Bouchareb , Marc Boullé , Fabrice Rossi , Fabrice Clérot

The regression discontinuity (RD) design is a popular approach to causal inference in non-randomized studies. This is because it can be used to identify and estimate causal effects under mild conditions. Specifically, for each subject, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-11 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

For linear models with a diverging number of parameters, it has recently been shown that modified versions of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) can identify the true model consistently. However, in many cases there is little…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-26 Heng Lian

Regression models are used in a wide range of applications providing a powerful scientific tool for researchers from different fields. Linear, or simple parametric, models are often not sufficient to describe complex relationships between…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet

We study the problem of selecting $k$ experiments from a larger candidate pool, where the goal is to maximize mutual information (MI) between the selected subset and the underlying parameters. Finding the exact solution is to this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Fengyi Li , Ayoub Belhadji , Youssef Marzouk

Optimal experimental design (OED) provides a systematic approach to quantify and maximize the value of experimental data. Under a Bayesian approach, conventional OED maximizes the expected information gain (EIG) on model parameters.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-08 Shijie Zhong , Wanggang Shen , Tommie Catanach , Xun Huan

We propose a new approach for identifying the support points of a locally optimal design when the model is a nonlinear model. In contrast to the commonly used geometric approach, we use an approach based on algebraic tools. Considerations…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-05 Min Yang , John Stufken

In this paper, we revisit the parameter learning problem, namely the estimation of model parameters for Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs). DBNs are directed graphical models of stochastic processes that encompasses and generalize Hidden…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-14 E. Benhamou , J. Atif , R. Laraki

A simple yet efficient computational algorithm for computing the continuous optimal experimental design for linear models is proposed. An alternative proof the monotonic convergence for $D$-optimal criterion on continuous design spaces are…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-10 Jiangtao Duan , Wei Gao , Hon Keung Tony Ng