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Related papers: Model simplification and loss of irreversibility

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We present a closed-form, computable expression for the expected number of times any transition event occurs during the transient phase of a reducible Markov chain. Examples of events include time to absorption, number of visits to a state,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-09 Brian D. Ewald , Jeffrey Humpherys , Jeremy West

Model reduction of Markov processes is a basic problem in modeling state-transition systems. Motivated by the state aggregation approach rooted in control theory, we study the statistical state compression of a discrete-state Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-26 Anru Zhang , Mengdi Wang

In this study, a new extension of the Markov Renewal theory is introduced by allowing time to evolve in multiple dimensions. The resulting chains are referred to as multi-time Markov Renewal chains and since this extension is new, the state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Leonidas Kordalis , Samis Trevezas

As a fundamental thermodynamic principle, speed limits reveal the lower bound of entropy production (EP) required for a system to transition from a given initial state to a final state. While various speed limits have been developed for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-08 Sangyun Lee , Jae Sung Lee , Jong-Min Park

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

Mostof the existing literature on supervised machine learning problems focuses on the case when the training data set is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many practical problems are characterized by temporal dependence and strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-23 Nikola Sandrić , Stjepan Šebek

We survey information-theoretic approaches to the reduction of Markov chains. Our survey is structured in two parts: The first part considers Markov chain coarse graining, which focuses on projecting the Markov chain to a process on a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Bernhard C. Geiger

The irreversibility in a statistical system is traced to its probabilistic evolution, and the molecular chaos assumption is not its unique consequence as is commonly believed. Under the assumption that the rate of change of the each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-03-10 P. D. Gujrati

We consider a Markov process in continuous time with a finite number of discrete states. The time-dependent probabilities of being in any state of the Markov chain are governed by a set of ordinary differential equations, whose dimension…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Fernando Lopez-Caamal , Tatiana T. Marquez-Lago

We present a sufficient condition for a non-injective function of a Markov chain to be a second-order Markov chain with the same entropy rate as the original chain. This permits an information-preserving state space reduction by merging…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-12-20 Bernhard C. Geiger , Christoph Temmel

We study the large deviations of Markov chains under the sole assumption that the state space is discrete. In particular, we do not require any of the usual irreducibility and exponential tightness assumptions. Using subadditive arguments,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Léo Daures

Time reversal of vast classes of phenomena has direct implications with predictability, causality and the second principle of thermodynamics. We analyze in detail time reversibility of a paradigmatic dissipative nonlinear dynamical system,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-06-26 Constantino Tsallis , Ernesto P. Borges

We consider a simple but important class of metastable discrete time Markov chains, which we call perturbed Markov chains. Basically, we assume that the transition matrices depend on a parameter $\varepsilon$, and converge as $\varepsilon$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Volker Betz , Stéphane Le Roux

Renewal processes are broadly used to model stochastic behavior consisting of isolated events separated by periods of quiescence, whose durations are specified by a given probability law. Here, we identify the minimal sufficient statistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-19 Sarah Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

We investigate the mixing properties of a model of reversible Markov chains in random environment, which notably contains the simple random walk on the superposition of a deterministic graph and a second graph whose vertex set has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Bastien Dubail

Sampling from learned high-dimensional distributions is a foundational computational problem. We introduce U-turn chains: Markov chains obtained by iterating short forward-backward steps of a diffusion model, in which each step proposes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Hyunmo Kang , Noam Itzhak Levi , Corinna Elena Wegner , Daniel J. Korchinski , Matthieu Wyart

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We state and prove a generalized adiabatic theorem for Markov chains and provide examples and applications related to Glauber dynamics of Ising model over Z^d/nZ^d. The theorems derived in this paper describe a type of adiabatic dynamics…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Kyle Bradford , Yevgeniy Kovchegov

We introduce a dynamic model where the state space is the set of contractible cubical sets in the Euclidian space. The permissible state transitions, that is addition and removal of a cube to/from the set, are closest to Eden model with…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Yuliy Baryshnikov , Efe Onaran

Motivated by recent progresses in nonequilibrium Fluctuation Relations, we present a generalized time reversal for stochastic master equation systems with discrete states that is defined as a splitting of the rate matrix into irreversible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-28 Fei Liu , Hong Lei