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Since many environmental processes such as heat waves or precipitation are spatial in extent, it is likely that a single extreme event affects several locations and the areal modelling of extremes is therefore essential if the spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-28 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Éyi-Minko , Mathieu Ribatet

Let $\{X(t), t\geq0\}$ be a stationary Gaussian process with zero-mean and unit variance. A deep result derived in Piterbarg (2004), which we refer to as Piterbarg's max-discretisation theorem gives the joint asymptotic behaviour ($T\to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Z. Tan , E. Hashorva

Max-stable processes play an important role as models for spatial extreme events. Their complex structure as the pointwise maximum over an infinite number of random functions makes simulation highly nontrivial. Algorithms based on finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-16 Clément Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

This paper is devoted to the prediction problem in extreme value theory. Our main result is an explicit expression of the regular conditional distribution of a max-stable (or max-infinitely divisible) process $\{\eta(t)\}_{t\in T}$ given…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

The seminal papers of Pickands [1,2] paved the way for a systematic study of high exceedance probabilities of both stationary and non-stationary Gaussian processes. Yet, in the vector-valued setting, due to the lack of key tools including…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Longmin Wang

We consider the persistence probability, the occupation-time distribution and the distribution of the number of zero crossings for discrete or (equivalently) discretely sampled Gaussian Stationary Processes (GSPs) of zero mean. We first…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 George M. C. A. Ehrhardt , Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray

We study the XXZ Heisenberg model in a longitudinal magnetic field using a tensor renormalization method. Built into the tensor representation of the XXZ model is the U(1) symmetry, which is systematically maintained at each renormalization…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2020-03-10 Mykhailo V. Rakov , Michael Weyrauch

With any max-stable random process $\eta$ on $\mathcal{X}=\mathbb{Z}^d$ or $\mathbb{R}^d$, we associate a random tessellation of the parameter space $\mathcal{X}$. The construction relies on the Poisson point process representation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Clément Dombry , Z. Kabluchko

Discrete stability extends the classical notion of stability to random elements in discrete spaces by defining a scaling operation in a randomised way: an integer is transformed into the corresponding binomial distribution. Similarly…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-10 Youri Davydov , Ilya Molchanov , Sergei Zuyev

We deal with some extensions of the space-fractional diffusion equation, which is satisfied by the density of a stable process (see Mainardi, Luchko, Pagnini (2001)): the first equation considered here is obtained by adding an exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Luisa Beghin

For a given stationary max-stable random field $X(t),t\in Z^d$ the corresponding generalised Pickands constant coincides with the classical extremal index $\theta$ which always exists. In this contribution we discuss necessary and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-07 E. Hashorva

We propose a way how to generate a max-stable process in $C[0,1]$ from a max-stable random vector in $\mathbb R^d$ by generalizing the \emph{max-linear model} established by \citet{wansto11}. It turns out that if the random vector follows…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-06 Michael Falk , Martin Hofmann , Maximilian Zott

Proofs of localization for random Schr\"odinger operators with sufficiently regular distribution of the potential can take advantage of the fractional moment method introduced by Aizenman-Molchanov, or use the classical Wegner estimate as…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-05-30 Omar Hurtado

We construct stationary max-infinitely divisible (max-id) processes from systems of randomly time-changed L\'evy particles. Classical examples without time change, such as the Brown-Resnick process, are, up to marginal transformations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Ioan Scheffel

Aulbach et al. (2013) introduced a max-domain of attraction approach for extreme value theory in C[0,1] based on functional distribution functions, which is more general than the approach based on weak convergence in de Haan and Lin (2001).…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Stefan Aulbach , Michael Falk , Martin Hofmann , Maximilian Zott

Statistical modeling of multivariate and spatial extreme events has attracted broad attention in various areas of science. Max-stable distributions and processes are the natural class of models for this purpose, and many parametric families…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-09 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

In this manuscript we analyse the long-term probability density function of non-stationary dynamical processes which are enclosed inward the Feller class of processes with time varying exponents for multiplicative noise. The update in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-03-21 Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

We extend the celebrated Rothschild and Stiglitz (1970) definition of Mean-Preserving Spreads to a dynamic framework. We adapt the original integral conditions to transition probability densities, and give sufficient conditions for their…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-26 Jean-Louis Arcand , Max-Olivier Hongler , Daniele Rinaldo

We propose fractional Fokker-Planck equation for the kinetic description of relaxation and superdiffusion processes in constant magnetic and random electric fields. We assume that the random electric field acting on a test charged particle…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Chechkin , V. Gonchar , M. Szydlowski