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Time series of matrix-valued data are increasingly available in various areas including economics, finance, social science, among others. These data may shed light on the inter-dynamical relationships between two sets of attributes, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Fei Wu , Kung-Sik Chan

The forecasting of multi-variate time processes through graph-based techniques has recently been addressed under the graph signal processing framework. However, problems in the representation and the processing arise when each time series…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-20 Alberto Natali , Elvin Isufi , Geert Leus

In this article, we propose a novel model for time series of counts called the hysteretic Poisson autoregressive (HPART) model with thresholds by extending the linear Poisson autoregressive model into a nonlinear model. Unlike other…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Xintong Ma , Dong Li , Howell Tong

Autoregressive models are among the best performing neural density estimators. We describe an approach for increasing the flexibility of an autoregressive model, based on modelling the random numbers that the model uses internally when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-15 George Papamakarios , Theo Pavlakou , Iain Murray

Time series of individual subjects have become a common data type in psychological research. These data allow one to estimate models of within-subject dynamics, and thereby avoid the notorious problem of making within-subjects inferences…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-16 Jonas M B Haslbeck , Laura F Bringmann , Lourens J Waldorp

Latent autoregressive models are useful time series models for the analysis of infectious disease data. Evaluation of the likelihood function of latent autoregressive models is intractable and its approximation through simulation-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-23 Xanthi Pedeli , Cristiano Varin

Regression models are popular tools in empirical sciences to infer the influence of a set of variables onto a dependent variable given an experimental dataset. In neuroscience and cognitive psychology, Generalized Linear Models (GLMs)…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-04 Vincent Adam , Alexandre Hyafil

While artificial neural networks excel in unsupervised learning of non-sparse structure, classical statistical regression techniques offer better interpretability, in particular when sparseness is enforced by $\ell_1$ regularization,…

Many recent developments in the high-dimensional statistical time series literature have centered around time-dependent applications that can be adapted to regularized least squares. Of particular interest is the lasso, which both serves to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-16 William B. Nicholson , Xiaohan Yan

This paper presents the generalized spatial autoregression (GSAR) model, a significant advance in spatial econometrics for non-normal response variables belonging to the exponential family. The GSAR model extends the logistic SAR, probit…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 N. A. Cruz , J. D. Toloza-Delgado , O. O. Melo

Both Hawkes processes and autoregressive processes rely on linear functionals of their past, while modeling different types of data. Since datasets arising from observations of the same phenomenon may be heterogeneous and sampled at…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Théo Leblanc

Linear regression on network-linked observations has been an essential tool in modeling the relationship between response and covariates with additional network structures. Previous methods either lack inference tools or rely on restrictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Can M. Le , Tianxi Li

Large-scale recurrent networks have drawn increasing attention recently because of their capabilities in modeling a large variety of real-world phenomena and physical mechanisms. This paper studies how to identify all authentic connections…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-23 Yiyuan She , Yuejia He , Dapeng Wu

In many problem settings, parameter vectors are not merely sparse but dependent in such a way that non-zero coefficients tend to cluster together. We refer to this form of dependency as "region sparsity." Classical sparse regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-28 Anqi Wu , Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Jonathan W. Pillow

Traditional graph representations are insufficient for modelling real-world phenomena involving multi-entity interactions, such as collaborative projects or protein complexes, necessitating the use of hypergraphs. While hypergraphs preserve…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Xianghe Zhu , Qiwei Yao

We present a dynamic prediction framework for binary sequences that is based on a Bernoulli generalization of the auto-regressive process. Our approach lends itself easily to variants of the standard link prediction problem for a sequence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-24 Xiaohan Yan , Avleen S. Bijral

Autoregressive modeling has been a huge success in the field of natural language processing (NLP). Recently, autoregressive models have emerged as a significant area of focus in computer vision, where they excel in producing high-quality…

We study the problem of estimating multiple linear regression equations for the purpose of both prediction and variable selection. Following recent work on multi-task learning Argyriou et al. [2008], we assume that the regression vectors…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-21 Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil , Alexandre B. Tsybakov , Sara van de Geer

Various statistical analysis methods are studied for years to extract accurate trends of network traffic and predict the future load mainly to allocate required resources. Besides, many stochastic modeling techniques are offered to…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Doğanalp Ergenç , Ertan Onur

Time series prediction with missing values is an important problem of time series analysis since complete data is usually hard to obtain in many real-world applications. To model the generation of time series, autoregressive (AR) model is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Xi Chen , Hongzhi Wang , Yanjie Wei , Jianzhong Li , Hong Gao