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Deriving the time-dependent expected reward function associated with a continuous-time Markov chain involves the computation of its transient deviation matrix. In this paper we focus on the special case of a finite quasi-birth-and-death…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-10 Sarah Dendievel , Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche , Peter Taylor

We propose a method based on continuous time Markov chain approximation to compute the distribution of Parisian stopping times and price Parisian options under general one-dimensional Markov processes. We prove the convergence of the method…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Gongqiu Zhang , Lingfei Li

We study the estimation of the value function for continuous-time Markov diffusion processes using a single, discretely observed ergodic trajectory. Our work provides non-asymptotic statistical guarantees for the least-squares…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Wenlong Mou

In this paper we present a rather general phenomenological theory of tick-by-tick dynamics in financial markets. Many well-known aspects, such as the L\'evy scaling form, follow as particular cases of the theory. The theory fully takes into…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Enrico Scalas , Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

In this paper, we attempt to introduce the Bellman principle for a discrete time multi-period mean-variance model. Based on this new take on the Bellman principle, we obtain a dynamic time-consistent optimal strategy and related efficient…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Shuzhen Yang

We consider the initial/boundary value problem for a diffusion equation involving multiple time-fractional derivatives on a bounded convex polyhedral domain. We analyze a space semidiscrete scheme based on the standard Galerkin finite…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-18 Bangti Jin , Raytcho Lazarov , Yikan Liu , Zhi Zhou

This paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market within a continuous time stochastic economy. The investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a stock and a riskless…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-07 Traian Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

We develop a regression based primal-dual martingale approach for solving finite time horizon MDPs with general state and action space. As a result, our method allows for the construction of tight upper and lower biased approximations of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers

In a continuous time stochastic economy, this paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market in which the representative investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-12 Traian A. Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

In this paper we introduce a simple continuous-time asset pricing framework, based on general multi-dimensional diffusion processes, that combines semi-analytic pricing with a nonlinear specification for the market price of risk. Our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-06 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Paul Schneider

A regularized vector autoregressive hidden semi-Markov model is developed to analyze multivariate financial time series with switching data generating regimes. Furthermore, an augmented EM algorithm is proposed for parameter estimation by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-19 Zekun Xu , Ye Liu

The time to converge to the steady state of a finite Markov chain can be greatly reduced by a lifting operation, which creates a new Markov chain on an expanded state space. For a class of quadratic objectives, we show an analogous behavior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-14 Guilherme França , José Bento

We consider an insurance company modelling its surplus process by a Brownian motion with drift. Our target is to maximise the expected exponential utility of discounted dividend payments, given that the dividend rates are bounded by some…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-23 Julia Eisenberg , Paul Krühner

We analyze the valuation partial differential equation for European contingent claims in a general framework of stochastic volatility models where the diffusion coefficients may grow faster than linearly and degenerate on the boundaries of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Erhan Bayraktar , Constantinos Kardaras , Hao Xing

We address the variational formulation of the risk-sensitive reward problem for non-degenerate diffusions on $\mathbb{R}^d$ controlled through the drift. We establish a variational formula on the whole space and also show that the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Ari Arapostathis , Anup Biswas , Vivek S. Borkar , K. Suresh Kumar

This report aims to characterise certain sojourn time distributions that naturally arise from semi-Markov models. To this end, it describes a family of discrete distributions that extend the geometric distribution for both finite and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-23 Kelli Francis-Staite , Langford White

We revisit the classical problem of approximating a stochastic differential equation by a discrete-time and discrete-space Markov chain. Our construction iterates Caratheodory's theorem over time to match the moments of the increments…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Francesco Cosentino , Harald Oberhauser , Alessandro Abate

Given a finite state space E, we build a universal dilation for all possible discrete time Markov chains on E, homogeneous or not: we introduce a second system (an ``environment'') and a deterministic invertible time-homogeneous global…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 M. Gregoratti

We consider a discrete time semi-Markov process where the characteristics defining the process depend on a small perturbation parameter. It is assumed that the state space consists of one finite communicating class of states and, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Mikael Petersson

We study an optimal dividend problem under a bankruptcy constraint. Firms face a trade-off between potential bankruptcy and extraction of profits. In contrast to previous works, general cash flow drifts, including Ornstein--Uhlenbeck and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-05 Max Reppen , Jean-Charles Rochet , H. Mete Soner