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This study considers an optimal reinsurance, investment, and dividend strategy control problem for insurance companies in a regulated Markov regime-switching environment, intending to maximize long-run average reward. Unlike existing single…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Lingjia Zeng , Manman Li

Semi-Markov model is one of the most general models for stochastic dynamic systems. This paper deals with a two-person zero-sum game for semi-Markov processes. We focus on the expected discounted payoff criterion with state-action-dependent…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Zhihui Yu , Xianping Guo , Li Xia

We present an arbitrage free theoretical framework for modeling bid and ask prices of dividend paying securities in a discrete time setup using theory of dynamic acceptability indices. In the first part of the paper we develop the theory of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-31 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Tao Chen

We study zero-sum stochastic games for controlled discrete time Markov chains with risk-sensitive average cost criterion with countable state space and Borel action spaces. The payoff function is nonnegative and possibly unbounded. Under a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-12 Mrinal K. Ghosh , Subrata Golui , Chandan Pal , Somnath Pradhan

We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday return are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov process and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-24 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

In this paper we propose a semi-Markov modulated model of interest rates. We assume that the switching process is a semi-Markov process with finite state space E and the modulated process is a diffusive process. We derive recursive…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-12 Guglielmo D'Amico , Raimondo Manca , Giovanni Salvi

This article extends, in a stochastic environment, the Yagil (1987) model which establishes, in a deterministic dividend discount model, a range for the exchange ratio in a stock-for-stock merger agreement. Here, we generalize Yagil's work…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-01 Alessandra Mainini , Enrico Moretto

This paper considers the optimal dividend payment problem in piecewise-deterministic compound Poisson risk models. The objective is to maximize the expected discounted dividend payout up to the time of ruin. We provide a comparative study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-02 Runhuan Feng , Hans Volkmer , Shuaiqi Zhang , Chao Zhu

We consider the valuation problem of an (insurance) company under partial information. Therefore we use the concept of maximizing discounted future dividend payments. The firm value process is described by a diffusion model with constant…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-16 Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Stefan Thonhauser

This paper aims to provide a simple modelling of speculative bubbles and derive some quantitative properties of its dynamical evolution. Starting from a description of individual speculative behaviours, we build and study a second order…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Sébastien Gadat , Laurent Miclo , Fabien Panloup

In this paper we introduce a new approach to discrete-time semi-Markov decision processes based on the sojourn time process. Different characterizations of discrete-time semi-Markov processes are exploited and decision processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Giacomo Ascione , Salvatore Cuomo

This paper studies a portfolio optimization problem in a discrete-time Markovian model of a financial market, in which asset price dynamics depend on an external process of economic factors. There are transaction costs with a structure that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Jan Palczewski , Lukasz Stettner

We introduce a general framework for measuring risk in the context of Markov control processes with risk maps on general Borel spaces that generalize known concepts of risk measures in mathematical finance, operations research and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-27 Yun Shen , Wilhelm Stannat , Klaus Obermayer

Computing smoothing distributions, the distributions of one or more states conditional on past, present, and future observations is a recurring problem when operating on general hidden Markov models. The aim of this paper is to provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Randal Douc , Aurélien Garivier , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson

The finite state semi-Markov process is a generalization over the Markov chain in which the sojourn time distribution is any general distribution. In this article we provide a sufficient stochastic maximum principle for the optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-14 Amogh Deshpande

This paper develops a method to derive optimal portfolios and risk premia explicitly in a general diffusion model for an investor with power utility and a long horizon. The market has several risky assets and is potentially incomplete.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-08 Paolo Guasoni , Scott Robertson

This paper studies a general L\'evy process model of the bail-out optimal dividend problem with an exponential time horizon, and further extends it to the regime-switching model. We first show the optimality of a double barrier strategy in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Dante Mata López , Kei Noba , José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We present several models to describe the stochastic evolution of stocks that show some strong resistance at some level and generalize to this situation the evolution based upon geometric Brownian motion. If volatility and drift are related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Javier Villarroel

We consider a piecewise deterministic Markov decision process, where the expected exponential utility of total (nonnegative) cost is to be minimized. The cost rate, transition rate and post-jump distributions are under control. The state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Xin Guo , Yi Zhang

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu