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Computing the variance of a conditional expectation has often been of importance in uncertainty quantification. Sun et al. has introduced an unbiased nested Monte Carlo estimator, which they call $1\frac{1}{2}$-level simulation since the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-09 Takashi Goda

We use kinetic Monte Carlo simulations to investigate current fluctuations in boundary driven generalized exclusion processes, in different dimensions. Simulation results are in full agreement with predictions based on the additivity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-01 T. Becker , K. Nelissen , B. Cleuren

In molecular simulations, efficient methods for investigating equilibration and slow relaxation in dense systems are crucial yet challenging. This study focuses on the diffusional characteristics of monodisperse hard disk systems at…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-10-21 Daigo Mugita , Masaharu Isobe

We consider the development of unbiased estimators, to approximate the stationary distribution of Mckean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MVSDEs). These are an important class of processes, which frequently appear in applications…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra

Diffusion processes with small noise conditioned to reach a target set are considered. The AMS algorithm is a Monte Carlo method that is used to sample such rare events by iteratively simulating clones of the process and selecting…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Frédéric Cérou , Sofiane Martel , Mathias Rousset

The hardcore-Bose-Hubbard model with random chemical potential is investigated using quantum Monte Carlo simulation. We consider two cases of random distribution of the chemical potential: a uniformly random distribution and a correlated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-03-17 Mitsuaki Tsukamoto , Makoto Tsubota

We propose an unbiased Monte-Carlo estimator for $\mathbb{E}[g(X_{t_1}, \cdots, X_{t_n})]$, where $X$ is a diffusion process defined by a multi-dimensional stochastic differential equation (SDE). The main idea is to start instead from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Pierre Henry-Labordere , Xiaolu Tan , Nizar Touzi

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Random-walk Monte Carlo simulations are widely used to predict the optical properties of complex, disordered materials. In presence of large heterogeneities (e.g., spatially-extended nonscattering regions in a turbid environment), an…

Optics · Physics 2025-04-10 Loïc Tran , Benjamin Askenazi , Kevin Vynck

There is an increasing interest in estimating expectations outside of the classical inference framework, such as for models expressed as probabilistic programs. Many of these contexts call for some form of nested inference to be applied. In…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-06 Tom Rainforth , Robert Cornish , Hongseok Yang , Frank Wood

We study an optimal control problem under uncertainty, where the target function is the solution of an elliptic partial differential equation with random coefficients, steered by a control function. The robust formulation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Philipp A. Guth , Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Claudia Schillings , Ian H. Sloan

Many statistical models can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are used to infer properties of these models from data. Traditionally these methods approximate the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-03 George Papamakarios , Iain Murray

We present an overview of the variational and diffusion quantum Monte Carlo methods as implemented in the CASINO program. We particularly focus on developments made in the last decade, describing state-of-the-art quantum Monte Carlo…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-12-24 R. J. Needs , M. D. Towler , N. D. Drummond , P. Lopez Rios , J. R. Trail

In this paper, we prove a result of equivalence in law between a diffusion conditioned with respect to partial observations and an auxiliary process. By partial observations we mean coordinates (or linear transformation) of the process at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-10 Jean-Louis Marchand

In this paper, we suggest a novel sampling method for Monte Carlo molecular simulations. In order to perform efficient sampling of molecular systems, it is advantageous to avoid extremely high energy configurations while also retaining the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-07-18 Katsuhiro Endo , Daisuke Yuhara , Kenji Yasuoka

We present novel Monte Carlo (MC) and multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods to determine the unbiased covariance of random variables using h-statistics. The advantage of this procedure lies in the unbiased construction of the estimator's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Sharana Kumar Shivanand

We independently develop a simulation code following the previous dynamical Monte Carlo simulation of the diffusive shock acceleration under the isotropic scattering law during the scattering process, and the same results are obtained.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 Xin Wang , Yihua Yan

In statistical modeling of computer experiments sometimes prior information is available about the underlying function. For example, the physical system simulated by the computer code may be known to be monotone with respect to some or all…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-17 Shirin Golchi , Derek R. Bingham , Hugh Chipman , David A. Campbell

Computer simulations of photon transport through an absorbing and/or scattering medium form an important research tool in astrophysics. Nearly all software codes performing such simulations for three-dimensional geometries employ the Monte…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-25 Peter Camps , Maarten Baes

We investigate the inclusion of variable spins in electronic structure quantum Monte Carlo, with a focus on diffusion Monte Carlo with Hamiltonians that include spin-orbit interactions. Following our previous introduction of fixed-phase…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-07-27 Cody A. Melton , M. Chandler Bennett , Lubos Mitas