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This mini-project models propagation of shocks, in time point, through links in connected banks. In particular, financial network of 100 banks out of which 15 are shocked to default (that is, 85.00% of the banks are solvent) is modelled…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-26 Sunday Akukodi Ugwu

Since the beginning of the new millennium, stock markets went through every state from long-time troughs, trade suspensions to all-time highs. The literature on asset pricing hence assumes random processes to be underlying the movement of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Tanya Araújo , Maximilian Göbel

The field of Financial Networks is a paramount example of the novel applications of Statistical Physics that have made possible by the present data revolution. As the total value of the global financial market has vastly outgrown the value…

Community detection is a commonly used technique for identifying groups in a network based on similarities in connectivity patterns. To facilitate community detection in large networks, we recast the network to be partitioned into a smaller…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-14 Natalie Stanley , Roland Kwitt , Marc Niethammer , Peter J. Mucha

We analyse the importance of international relations between countries on the financial stability. The contagion effect in the network is tested by implementing an epidemiological model, comprising a number of European countries and using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-23 Olena Kostylenko , Helena Sofia Rodrigues , Delfim F. M. Torres

We employ the mathematical programming approach in conjunction with the graph theory to study the structure of correspondent banking networks. Optimizing the network requires decisions to be made to onboard, terminate or restrict the bank…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Nima Safaei , Ivan A. Sergienko

Despite the tremendous advancements in the field of network theory, very few studies have taken weights in the interactions into consideration that emerge naturally in all real world systems. Using random matrix analysis of a weighted…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-25 Camellia Sarkar , Sarika Jalan

We introduce a general model for the balance-sheet consistent valuation of interbank claims within an interconnected financial system. Our model represents an extension of clearing models of interdependent liabilities to account for the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-03 Paolo Barucca , Marco Bardoscia , Fabio Caccioli , Marco D'Errico , Gabriele Visentin , Guido Caldarelli , Stefano Battiston

Based on an empirical analysis of the network structure of the Austrian inter-bank market, we study the flow of funds through the banking network following exogenous shocks to the system. These shocks are implemented by stochastic changes…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Michael Boss , Martin Summer , Stefan Thurner

In this study, we introduce an analytics framework, the Bank Risk Interlinkage with Dynamic Graph and Event Simulations (BRIDGES), to capture the systemic risks associated with the growing economic influence of the BRICS nations. This…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-16 Haibo Wang

International trade has been increasingly organized in the form of global value chains (GVCs) where different stages of production are located in different countries. This recent phenomenon has substantial consequences for both trade policy…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-02-20 Zhen Zhu , Greg Morrison , Michelangelo Puliga , Alessandro Chessa , Massimo Riccaboni

Extraction of interaction networks from multi-variate time-series is one of the topics of broad interest in complex systems. Although this method has a wide range of applications, most of the previous analyses have focused on the pairwise…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-01 Amir Hossein Shirazi , Abbas Ali Saberi , Ali Hosseiny , Ehsan Amirzadeh , Pourya Toranj Simin

We provide an overview of the relationship between financial networks and systemic risk. We present a taxonomy of different types of systemic risk, differentiating between direct externalities between financial organizations (e.g.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-24 Matthew O. Jackson , Agathe Pernoud

The past decade has seen tremendous growth in the field of Complex Social Networks. Several network generation models have been extensively studied to develop an understanding of how real world networks evolve over time. Two important…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-01-23 Muhammad Qasim Pasta , Faraz Zaidi

Organizations interact with the environment and with other organizations, and these interactions constitute an important way of learning and evolution. To overcome the problems that they face during their existence, organizations must…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-05 Paula Lopes , Pedro Campos , Luis Meira-Machado

We address a fundamental problem that is systematically encountered when modeling complex systems: the limitedness of the information available. In the case of economic and financial networks, privacy issues severely limit the information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-07 Giulio Cimini , Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli , Andrea Gabrielli

The 2008 economic crisis was not forecastable by at that time existing models of macroeconomics. Thus macroeconomics needs new tools. We introduce a model based on National Accounts that shows how macroeconomic sectors are interconnected.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-22 Matti Estola , Kristian Vepsäläinen

Systemic liquidity risk, defined by the IMF as "the risk of simultaneous liquidity difficulties at multiple financial institutions", is a key topic in macroprudential policy and financial stress analysis. Specialized models to simulate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-08 V. Macchiati , G. Brandi , G. Cimini , G. Caldarelli , D. Paolotti , T. Di Matteo

In this article we propose a novel measure of systemic risk in the context of financial networks. To this aim, we provide a definition of systemic risk which is based on the structure, developed at different levels, of clustered neighbours…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-30 Roy Cerqueti , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi

Blame games tend to follow major disruptions, be they financial crises, natural disasters or terrorist attacks. To study how the blame game evolves and shapes the dominant crisis narratives is of great significance, as sense-making…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Shuailong Liang , Olivia Nicol , Yue Zhang