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In general insurance companies, a correct estimation of liabilities plays a key role due to its impact on management and investing decisions. Since the Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 and the strengthening of regulation, the focus is not only…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-17 Eduardo Ramos-Pérez , Pablo J. Alonso-González , José Javier Núñez-Velázquez

The financial crisis clearly illustrated the importance of characterizing the level of 'systemic' risk associated with an entire credit network, rather than with single institutions. However, the interplay between financial distress and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-10 Tiziano Squartini , Iman van Lelyveld , Diego Garlaschelli

A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-20 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson

This paper develops a continuous framework for analyzing financial contagion that incorporates both geographic proximity and interbank network linkages. The framework characterizes stress propagation through a master equation whose solution…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-05 Tatsuru Kikuchi

Network theory proved recently to be useful in the quantification of many properties of financial systems. The analysis of the structure of investment portfolios is a major application since their eventual correlation and overlap impact the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-09 Danilo Delpini , Stefano Battiston , Guido Caldarelli , Massimo Riccaboni

We introduce a probabilistic framework that represents stylized banking networks with the aim of predicting the size of contagion events. Most previous work on random financial networks assumes independent connections between banks, whereas…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-12 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson , Sergey Melnik

How, and to what extent, does an interconnected financial system endogenously amplify external shocks? This paper attempts to reconcile some apparently different views emerged after the 2008 crisis regarding the nature and the relevance of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-30 Gabriele Visentin , Stefano Battiston , Marco D'Errico

We study the international interbank market through a geometrical and a topological analysis of empirical data. The geometrical analysis of the time series of cross-country liabilities shows that the systematic information of the interbank…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-28 Alessandro Spelta , Tanya Araújo

The recent financial crisis have generated renewed interests in fragilities of global financial networks among economists and regulatory authorities. In particular, a potential vulnerability of the financial networks is the "financial…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-27 Bhaskar DasGupta , Lakshmi Kaligounder

The global financial system has become highly connected and complex. Has been proven in practice that existing models, measures and reports of financial risk fail to capture some important systemic dimensions. Only lately, advisory boards…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-07 Michalis Vafopoulos

Complex non-linear interactions between banks and assets we model by two time-dependent Erd\H{o}s Renyi network models where each node, representing bank, can invest either to a single asset (model I) or multiple assets (model II). We use…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-19 B. Podobnik , D. Horvatic , M. Bertella , L. Feng , X. Huang , B. Li

Statistical physics of complex systems exploits network theory not only to model, but also to effectively extract information from many dynamical real-world systems. A pivotal case of study is given by financial systems: market prediction…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Matteo Serafino , Andrea Gabrielli , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini

Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis literature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-16 T. R. Hurd

This paper develops a continuous functional framework for analyzing contagion dynamics in financial networks, extending the Navier-Stokes-based approach to network-structured spatial processes. We model financial distress propagation as a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Tatsuru Kikuchi

A community within a network is a group of vertices densely connected to each other but less connected to the vertices outside. The problem of detecting communities in large networks plays a key role in a wide range of research areas, e.g.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Pasquale De Meo , Emilio Ferrara , Giacomo Fiumara , Alessandro Provetti

This systemic risk paper introduces inhomogeneous random financial networks (IRFNs). Such models are intended to describe parts, or the entirety, of a highly heterogeneous network of banks and their interconnections, in the global financial…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-23 T. R. Hurd

We provide a framework for detecting relevant insurance companies in a systemic risk perspective. Among the alternative methodologies for measuring systemic risk, we propose a complex network approach where insurers are linked to form a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Gian Paolo Clemente , Alessandra Cornaro

This work proposes an augmented variant of DebtRank with uncertainty intervals as a method to investigate and assess systemic risk in financial networks, in a context of incomplete data. The algorithm is tested against a default contagion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-05 Stefano Gurciullo

Theory of complex networks proved successful in the description of a variety of static networks ranging from biology to computer and social sciences and to economics and finance. Here we use network models to describe the evolution of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-25 Zhen Zhu , Federica Cerina , Alessandro Chessa , Guido Caldarelli , Massimo Riccaboni

Groups of enterprises guarantee each other and form complex guarantee networks when they try to obtain loans from banks. Such secured loan can enhance the solvency and promote the rapid growth in the economic upturn period. However,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-14 Zhibin Niu , Dawei Cheng , Liqing Zhang , Jiawan Zhang