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In this paper we derive the asymptotic properties of the least squares estimator (LSE) of autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models with regime changes under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-11 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Landy Rabehasaina

Many theoretical results for the lasso require the samples to be iid. Recent work has provided guarantees for the lasso assuming that the time series is generated by a sparse Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) model with Gaussian innovations.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Kam Chung Wong , Zifan Li , Ambuj Tewari

We study the problem of robust time series analysis under the standard auto-regressive (AR) time series model in the presence of arbitrary outliers. We devise an efficient hard thresholding based algorithm which can obtain a consistent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Kush Bhatia , Prateek Jain , Parameswaran Kamalaruban , Purushottam Kar

Advances in sensing technology have made it possible to collect large volumes of high-dimensional time-series data. In fields like genetics and neuroscience, key questions concern whether directed relationships between variables can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Sarah E. Heaps , Ian H. Jermyn , Yujiang Wang , Darren J. Wilkinson

The problem of consistently estimating the sparsity pattern of a vector $\betastar \in \real^\mdim$ based on observations contaminated by noise arises in various contexts, including subset selection in regression, structure estimation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright

So-called sparse estimators arise in the context of model fitting, when one a priori assumes that only a few (unknown) model parameters deviate from zero. Sparsity constraints can be useful when the estimation problem is under-determined,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-22 Jean Daunizeau

This paper proposes a multi-stage projection-based Lasso procedure for the semiparametric sample selection model in high-dimensional settings under a weak nonparametric restriction on the selection correction. In particular, the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-13 Ying Zhu

From a numerical analysis perspective, assessing the robustness of l1-minimization is a fundamental issue in compressed sensing and sparse regularization. Yet, the recovery guarantees available in the literature usually depend on a priori…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-10 Simone Brugiapaglia , Ben Adcock , Richard K. Archibald

For estimating the unknown parameters in an unstable autoregressive AR(p), the paper proposes sequential least squares estimates with a special stopping time defined by the trace of the observed Fisher information matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-07 Leonid Galtchouk , Victor Konev

This paper studies the distributed adaptiveestimation problems for stochastic large regression modelswith an infinite number of parameters. By constructing a re-cursive local cost function, we propose a novel distributedrecursive least…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-29 Die Gan , Siyu Xie , Zhixin Liu , Xuebo Zhang

We propose an online learning algorithm for a class of machine learning models under a separable stochastic approximation framework. The essence of our idea lies in the observation that certain parameters in the models are easier to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Min Gan , Xiang-xiang Su , Guang-yong Chen , Jing Chen

A general asymptotic theory is given for the panel data AR(1) model with time series independent in different cross sections. The theory covers the cases of stationary process, nearly non-stationary process, unit root process, mildly…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-15 Jianfei Shen , Tianxiao Pang

In this work, we study the problem of learning a nonlinear dynamical system by parameterizing its dynamics using basis functions. We assume that disturbances occur at each time step with an arbitrary probability $p$, which models the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Haixiang Zhang , Baturalp Yalcin , Javad Lavaei , Eduardo D. Sontag

We are interested in the implications of a linearly autocorrelated driven noise on the asymptotic behavior of the usual least squares estimator in a stable autoregressive process. We show that the least squares estimator is not consistent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-14 Frédéric Proïa

Recently, high dimensional vector auto-regressive models (VAR), have attracted a lot of interest, due to novel applications in the health, engineering and social sciences. The presence of temporal dependence poses additional challenges to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

Weak consistency and asymptotic normality of the ordinary least-squares estimator in a linear regression with adaptive learning is derived when the crucial, so-called, `gain' parameter is estimated in a first step by nonlinear least squares…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-11 Alexander Mayer

We consider model selection and estimation for partial spline models and propose a new regularization method in the context of smoothing splines. The regularization method has a simple yet elegant form, consisting of roughness penalty on…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Guang Cheng , Hao Helen Zhang , Zuofeng Shang

In system identification, estimating parameters of a model using limited observations results in poor identifiability. To cope with this issue, we propose a new method to simultaneously select and estimate sensitive parameters as key model…

We consider high-dimensional distribution estimation through autoregressive networks. By combining the concepts of sparsity, mixtures and parameter sharing we obtain a simple model which is fast to train and which achieves state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-28 Marc Goessling , Yali Amit

We derive fundamental sample complexity bounds for recovering sparse and structured signals for linear and nonlinear observation models including sparse regression, group testing, multivariate regression and problems with missing features.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-17 Cem Aksoylar , George Atia , Venkatesh Saligrama