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Modern data science applications often involve complex relational data with dynamic structures. An abrupt change in such dynamic relational data is typically observed in systems that undergo regime changes due to interventions. In such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Peng Zhao , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

We introduce a class of semiparametric time series models by assuming a quasi-likelihood approach driven by a latent factor process. More specifically, given the latent process, we only specify the conditional mean and variance of the time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Gisele O. Maia , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Fernando S. Bastos , Hernando Ombao

This paper extends quantile factor analysis to a probabilistic variant that incorporates regularization and computationally efficient variational approximations. We establish through synthetic and real data experiments that the proposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-16 Dimitris Korobilis , Maximilian Schröder

The multi-factor model is a widely used model in quantitative investment. The success of a multi-factor model is largely determined by the effectiveness of the alpha factors used in the model. This paper proposes a new evolutionary…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-07 Tianping Zhang , Yuanqi Li , Yifei Jin , Jian Li

We consider a conditional factor model for a multivariate portfolio of United States equities in the context of analysing a statistical arbitrage trading strategy. A state space framework underlies the factor model whereby asset returns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Trent Spears , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

We propose a novel method to improve estimation of asset returns for portfolio optimization. This approach first performs a monthly directional market forecast using an online decision tree. The decision tree is trained on a novel set of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Nolan Alexander , William Scherer

In the present paper, we identify several distributions from Physics and study their applicability to phenomena such as distribution of income, wealth, and expenditure. Firstly, we apply logistic distribution to these data and we find that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-29 Elvis Oltean

Pervasive cross-section dependence is increasingly recognized as a characteristic of economic data and the approximate factor model provides a useful framework for analysis. Assuming a strong factor structure where $\Lop\Lo/N^\alpha$ is…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-07 Jushan Bai , Serena Ng

Asset allocation using reinforcement learning has advantages such as flexibility in goal setting and utilization of various information. However, existing asset allocation methods do not consider the following viewpoints in solving the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-07 Jungyu Ahn , Sungwoo Park , Jiwoon Kim , Ju-hong Lee

What is the best market-neutral implementation of classical Equity Factors? Should one use the specific predictability of the short-leg to build a zero beta Long-Short portfolio, in spite of the specific costs associated to shorting, or is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-07 Florent Benaych-Georges , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Stefano Ciliberti

High dimensionality comparable to sample size is common in many statistical problems. We examine covariance matrix estimation in the asymptotic framework that the dimensionality $p$ tends to $\infty$ as the sample size $n$ increases.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

In this paper, we propose a non-parametric conditional factor regression (NCFR)model for domains with high-dimensional input and response. NCFR enhances linear regression in two ways: a) introducing low-dimensional latent factors leading to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-03 Ava Bargi , Richard Yi Da Xu , Massimo Piccardi

It has been shown that for a certain special type of quantum graphs the random-matrix form factor can be recovered to at least third order in the scaled time \tau using periodic-orbit theory. Two types of contributing pairs of orbits were…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Berkolaiko

Factorial designs are frequently used in different fields of science, e.g. psychological, medical or biometric studies. Standard approaches, as the ANOVA $F$-test, make different assumptions on the distribution of the error terms, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-21 Maria Umlauft

The paper proposes a new algorithm for the high-dimensional financial data -- the Groupwise Interpretable Basis Selection (GIBS) algorithm, to estimate a new Adaptive Multi-Factor (AMF) asset pricing model, implied by the recently developed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-14 Liao Zhu , Sumanta Basu , Robert A. Jarrow , Martin T. Wells

Unidimensional factor models justify some of the most consequential summaries in science -- single scores, single ranks, and single leaderboards -- yet unidimensionality is usually assessed indirectly by fitting and evaluating models on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Michael Hardy

Factor models are widely used to reduce dimensionality in modeling high-dimensional data. However, there remains a need for models that can be reliably fit in modest sample sizes and are identifiable, interpretable, and flexible. To address…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-19 Maoran Xu , Steven Winter , Amy H. Herring , David B. Dunson

We study a general factor analysis framework where the $n$-by-$p$ data matrix is assumed to follow a general exponential family distribution entry-wise. While this model framework has been proposed before, we here further relax its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Liang Wang , Luis Carvalho

Factorization machines (FM) are a popular model class to learn pairwise interactions by a low-rank approximation. Different from existing FM-based approaches which use a fixed rank for all features, this paper proposes a Rank-Aware FM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Xiaoshuang Chen , Yin Zheng , Jiaxing Wang , Wenye Ma , Junzhou Huang

Factorial designs are widely used due to their ability to accommodate multiple factors simultaneously. The factor-based regression with main effects and some interactions is the dominant strategy for downstream data analysis, delivering…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-09 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding