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The movement of a particle described by Brownian motion is quantified by a single parameter, $D$, the diffusion constant. The estimation of $D$ from a discrete sequence of noisy observations is a fundamental problem in biological single…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-13 Peter K. Relich , Mark J. Olah , Patrick J. Cutler , Keith A. Lidke

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

We study evolution equations of drift-diffusion type when various parameters are random. Motivated by applications in pedestrian dynamics, we focus on the case when the total mass is, due to boundary or reaction terms, not conserved. After…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Greta Marino , Jan-Frederik Pietschmann , Alois Pichler

A dynamical system is said to undergo rate-induced tipping when it fails to track its quasi-equilibrium state due to an above-critical-rate change of system parameters. We study a prototypical model for rate-induced tipping, the saddle-node…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Paul Ritchie , Jan Sieber

The robust instability of an unstable plant subject to stable perturbations is of significant importance and arises in the study of sustained oscillatory phenomena in nonlinear systems. This paper analyzes the robust instability of linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-08 Chung-Yao Kao , Sei Zhen Khong , Shinji Hara , Yu-Jen Lin

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-25 Daira Velandia , François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Xavier Gendre , Jean-Michel Loubes

We characterize the existence of the maximum likelihood estimator for discrete exponential families. Our criterion is simple to apply as we show in various settings, most notably for exponential models of random graphs. As an application,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Krzysztof Bogdan , Michał Bosy , Tomasz Skalski

In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process whose drift coefficient depends on unknown parameters. Considering the process discretely observed at high frequency, we prove the local asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Ngoc Khue Tran

This paper addresses the problem of estimating drift parameter of the Ornstein - Uhlenbeck type process, driven by the sum of independent standard and fractional Brownian motions. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

The stationary sampling distribution of a neutral decoupled Moran or Wright-Fisher diffusion with neutral mutations is known to first order for a general rate matrix with small but otherwise unconstrained mutation rates. Using this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-07 Claus Vogl , Lynette C. Mikula , Conrad J. Burden

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

A discrete version of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution has been derived by using the general approach of discretization of a continuous distribution. Important distributional and reliability properties have been explored. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Subrata Chakraborty , Dhrubajyoti Chakravarty

Consider the mean-field spin models where the Gibbs measure of each configuration depends only on its magnetization. Based on the Stein and Laplace methods, we give a new and short proof for the scaling limit theorems with convergence rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Van Hao Can , Adrian Röllin

The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Shota Takeishi

We propose Monte Carlo calibration algorithms for three models: local volatility with stochastic interest rates, stochastic local volatility with deterministic interest rates, and finally stochastic local volatility with stochastic interest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Orcan Ogetbil , Narayan Ganesan , Bernhard Hientzsch

This paper provides insight into the estimation and asymptotic behavior of parameters in interest rate models, focusing primarily on the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process and its extension -- the more general Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-15 Sourojyoti Barick

Based on a criterion of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model has been obtained with the volatility process driven by fractional noise. Depending on whether the stochasticity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-05 R. Vilela Mendes , M. J. Oliveira , A. M. Rodrigues

Numerical stability is of great significance for discrete-time dynamic vehicle model. Among the unstable factors, low-speed singularity stands out as one of the most challenging issues, which arises from that the denominator of tire side…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-27 Guojian Zhan , Qiang Ge , Haoyu Gao , Yuming Yin , Bin Zhao , Shengbo Eben Li