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Building on our previously introduced Multi-cell Monte Carlo (MC)^2 method for modeling phase coexistence, this paper provides important improvements for efficient determination of phase equilibria in solids. The (MC)^2 method uses multiple…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-07-01 Edwin Antillon , Maryam Ghazisaeidi

Stochastic systems often exhibit multiple viable metastable states that are long-lived. Over very long timescales, fluctuations may push the system to transition between them, drastically changing its macroscopic configuration. In realistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-14 Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio

Interest in equilibrium-based sampling methods has grown with recent advances in computational hardware and Markov state modeling (MSM) methods, yet outstanding questions remain that hinder widespread adoption. Namely, how do sampling…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-15 Maxwell I. Zimmerman , Justin R. Porter , Xianqiang Sun , Roseane R. Silva , Gregory R. Bowman

Numerical N-body simulations are commonly used to explore stability regions around exoplanets, offering insights into the possible existence of satellites and ring systems. This study aims to utilize Machine Learning (ML) techniques to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-22 Tiago F. L. L. Pinheiro , Rafael Sfair , Giovana Ramon

We propose a novel flexible-step model predictive control algorithm for unknown linear time-invariant discrete-time systems. The goal is to asymptotically stabilize the system without relying on a pre-collected dataset that describes its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Markus Pietschner , Christian Ebenbauer , Bahman Gharesifard , Raik Suttner

The problem of metastability for a stochastic dynamics with a parallel updating rule is addressed in the Freidlin--Wentzel regime, namely, finite volume, small magnetic field, and small temperature. The model is characterized by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Emilio N. M. Cirillo , Cristian Spitoni , Francesca R. Nardi

State-space models (SSMs) are commonly used to model time series data where the observations depend on an unobserved latent process. However, inference on the model parameters of an SSM can be challenging, especially when the likelihood of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-08 Mary Llewellyn , Ruth King , Víctor Elvira , Gordon Ross

We study Max-Product and Max-Plus Systems with Markovian Jumps and focus on stochastic stability problems. At first, a Lyapunov function is derived for the asymptotically stable deterministic Max-Product Systems. This Lyapunov function is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-09 Ioannis Kordonis , Petros Maragos , George P. Papavassilopoulos

Markov chains are the de facto finite-state model for stochastic dynamical systems, and Markov decision processes (MDPs) extend Markov chains by incorporating non-deterministic behaviors. Given an MDP and rewards on states, a classical…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Laurent Doyen

A Markov state model of the dynamics of a protein-like chain immersed in an implicit hard sphere solvent is derived from first principles for a system of monomers that interact via discontinuous potentials designed to account for local…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Jeremy Schofield , Hanif Bayat

Motivated by techniques developed in recent progress on lower bounds for sublinear time algorithms (Behnezhad, Roghani and Rubinstein, STOC 2023, FOCS 2023, and STOC 2024) we introduce and study a new class of randomized algorithmic…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Amir Azarmehr , Soheil Behnezhad , Alma Ghafari , Madhu Sudan

A computational framework is presented for the sampling of the energy surface of magnetic systems via the systematic identification of first-order saddle points that determine connectivity of metastable states and define the mechanisms of…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-12-09 Hendrik Schrautzer , Tim Drevelow , Hannes Jónsson , Pavel F. Bessarab

We consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) in which the transition probabilities and rewards belong to an uncertainty set parametrized by a collection of random variables. The probability distributions for these random parameters are…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

Modeling unknown systems from data is a precursor of system optimization and sequential decision making. In this paper, we focus on learning a Markov model from a single trajectory of states. Suppose that the transition model has a small…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Ziwei Zhu , Xudong Li , Mengdi Wang , Anru Zhang

Particle Marginal Metropolis-Hastings (PMMH) is a general approach to Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable, but can be estimated unbiasedly. Our article develops an efficient PMMH method that scales up better to higher…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-10 David Gunawan , Pratiti Chatterjee , Robert Kohn

Rate processes are often modeled using Markov-State Models (MSM). Suppose you know a prior MSM, and then learn that your prediction of some particular observable rate is wrong. What is the best way to correct the whole MSM? For example,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-09 Purushottam D. Dixit , Ken A. Dill

A massively parallel method to build large transition rate matrices from temperature accelerated molecular dynamics trajectories is presented. Bayesian Markov model analysis is used to estimate the expected residence time in the known state…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-05-30 Thomas D Swinburne , Danny Perez

Often one has a preference order among the different systems that satisfy a given specification. Under a probabilistic assumption about the possible inputs, such a preference order is naturally expressed by a weighted automaton, which…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-04-15 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Thomas A. Henzinger , Barbara Jobstmann , Rohit Singh

We establish metastability in the sense of Lebowitz and Penrose under practical and simple hypothesis for (families of) Markov chains on finite configuration space in some asymptotic regime, including the case of configuration space size…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Alexandre Gaudillière

We use Markov state models (MSMs) to analyze the dynamics of a $\beta$-hairpin-forming peptide in Monte Carlo (MC) simulations with interacting protein crowders, for two different types of crowder proteins [bovine pancreatic trypsin…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-02-07 Daniel Nilsson , Sandipan Mohanty , Anders Irbäck
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