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Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are a powerful tool for sampling equilibrium configurations in complex systems. One problem these methods often face is slow convergence over large energy barriers. In this work, we propose a novel method…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-05-29 Luigi Sbailò , Manuel Dibak , Frank Noé

There are multiple ways in which a stochastic system can be out of statistical equilibrium. It might be subject to time-varying forcing; or be in a transient phase on its way towards equilibrium; it might even be in equilibrium without us…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Péter Koltai , Hao Wu , Frank Noé , Christof Schütte

The promise of self-assembly to enable bottom-up formation of materials with prescribed architectures and functions has driven intensive efforts to uncover rational design principles for maximizing the yield of a target structure. Yet,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-01-04 Anthony Trubiano , Michael F. Hagan

Markov state models (MSMs) are a powerful tool to analyze and coarse-grain complex dynamical data into interpretable kinetic processes. This capability is particularly important in heterogeneous catalysis, where a medley of reactants and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-11 Caitlin A. McCandler , Chatipat Lorpaiboon , Timothy C. Berkelbach , Jutta Rogal

We present a maximum-caliber method for inferring transition rates of a Markov State Model (MSM) with perturbed equilibrium populations, given estimates of state populations and rates for an unperturbed MSM. It is similar in spirit to…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-26 Vincent A. Voelz , Guangfeng Zhou , Hongbin Wan

Markov state models (MSMs) have been widely used to analyze computer simulations of various biomolecular systems. They can capture conformational transitions much slower than an average or maximal length of a single molecular dynamics (MD)…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-14 Anton V. Sinitskiy , Vijay S. Pande

The definition of metastable states is an ubiquitous task in the design and analysis of molecular simulations, and is a crucial input in a variety of acceleration methods for the sampling of long configurational trajectories. Although…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-16 Noé Blassel , Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz

We present a formalism to describe slowly decaying systems in the context of finite Markov chains obeying detailed balance. We show that phase space can be partitioned into approximately decoupled regions, in which one may introduce…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Hernan Larralde , Francois Leyvraz , David P. Sanders

Markov State Modeling has recently emerged as a key technique for analyzing rare events in thermal equilibrium molecular simulations and finding metastable states. Here we export this technique to the study of friction, where strongly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-09 F. Pellegrini , F. P. Landes , A. Laio , S. Prestipino , E. Tosatti

This paper studies how to find compact state embeddings from high-dimensional Markov state trajectories, where the transition kernel has a small intrinsic rank. In the spirit of diffusion map, we propose an efficient method for learning a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Yifan Sun , Yaqi Duan , Hao Gong , Mengdi Wang

Markov State Models (MSMs) are a powerful framework to reproduce the long-time conformational dynamics of biomolecules using a set of short Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations. However, precise kinetics predictions of MSMs heavily rely on…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-27 Qihua Chen , Jiangyan Feng , Shriyaa Mittal , Diwakar Shukla

We are interested in the connection between a metastable continuous state space Markov process (satisfying e.g. the Langevin or overdamped Langevin equation) and a jump Markov process in a discrete state space. More precisely, we use the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-08 Giacomo Di Gesù , Tony Lelièvre , Dorian Le Peutrec , Boris Nectoux

Markov state models (MSMs) have been demonstrated to be a powerful method for computationally studying intramolecular processes such as protein folding and macromolecular conformational changes. In this article, we present a new approach to…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Matthew R. Perkett , Michael F. Hagan

Markov state models represent a popular means to interpret molecular dynamics trajectories in terms of memoryless transitions between metastable conformational states. To provide a mechanistic understanding of the considered biomolecular…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-08 Daniel Nagel , Sofia Sartore , Gerhard Stock

Markov state models (MSMs) are a widely used method for approximating the eigenspectrum of the molecular dynamics propagator, yielding insight into the long-timescale statistical kinetics and slow dynamical modes of biomolecular systems.…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-30 Robert T. McGibbon , Vijay S. Pande

A state-space model is a time-series model that has an unobserved latent process from which we take noisy measurements over time. The observations are conditionally independent given the latent process and the latent process itself is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Paul Fearnhead , Chris Sherlock

Markov state models (MSMs) have been broadly adopted for analyzing molecular dynamics trajectories, but the approximate nature of the models that results from coarse-graining into discrete states is a long-known limitation. We show…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-31 John D. Russo , Jeremy Copperman , David Aristoff , Gideon Simpson , Daniel M. Zuckerman

A goal in the kinetic characterization of a macromolecular system is the description of its slow relaxation processes, involving (i) identification of the structural changes involved in these processes, and (ii) estimation of the rates or…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-15 Guillermo Perez-Hernandez , Fabian Paul , Toni Giorgino , Gianni de Fabritiis , Frank Noé

It is known that state-dependent, multi-step Lyapunov bounds lead to greatly simplified verification theorems for stability for large classes of Markov chain models. This is one component of the "fluid model" approach to stability of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-18 Serdar Yüksel , Sean P. Meyn

This paper provides an overview of the research on the metastable behavior of the Ising model. We analyze the transition times from the set of metastable states to the set of the stable states by identifying the critical configurations that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-13 Vanessa Jacquier