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Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

The linear fractional stable motion (LFSM) extends the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) by considering $\alpha$-stable increments. We propose a method to forecast future increments of the LFSM from past discrete-time observations, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Matthieu Garcin , Karl Sawaya , Thomas Valade

Based on a novel dynamic Whittle likelihood approximation for locally stationary processes, a Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the time-varying spectral density is proposed. This dynamic frequency-domain based likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

Hypothesis testing for the slope function in functional linear regression is of both practical and theoretical interest. We develop a novel test for the nullity of the slope function, where testing the slope function is transformed into…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Yinan Lin , Zhenhua Lin

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

The bootstrap is a widely used procedure for statistical inference because of its simplicity and attractive statistical properties. However, the vanilla version of bootstrap is no longer feasible computationally for many modern massive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-16 Yingying Ma , Chenlei Leng , Hansheng Wang

We introduce a new Gaussian process, a generalization of both fractional and subfractional Brownian motions, which could serve as a good model for a larger class of natural phenomena. We study its main stochastic properties and some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Mounir Zili

Multivariate locally stationary functional time series provide a flexible framework for modeling complex data structures exhibiting both temporal and spatial dependencies while allowing for time-varying data generating mechanism. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Lujia Bai , Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

Bootstrap methods, initially developed for solving statistical and quantum field theories, have recently been shown to capture the discrete spectrum of quantum mechanical problems, such as the single particle Schr\"odinger equation with an…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-12-15 Serguei Tchoumakov , Serge Florens

New goodness-of-fit tests for Markovian models in time series analysis are developed which are based on the difference between a fully nonparametric estimate of the one-step transition distribution function of the observed process and that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Michael H. Neumann , Efstathios Paparoditis

The analysis of high-frequency financial data is often impeded by the presence of noise. This article is motivated by intraday return data in which market microstructure noise appears to be rough, that is, best captured by a continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Guoying Li

In this paper, we show how to estimate the asymptotic (conditional) covariance matrix, which appears in central limit theorems in high-frequency estimation of asset return volatility. We provide a recipe for the estimation of this matrix by…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij , Nopporn Thamrongrat , Bezirgen Veliyev

We propose a novel test statistic for testing exogeneity in the functional linear regression model. In contrast to Hausman-type tests in finite dimensional linear regression setups, a direct extension to the functional linear regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Manuela Dorn , Melanie Birke , Carsten Jentsch

This paper applies the functional sieve bootstrap (FSB) to estimate the distribution of the partial sum process for time series stemming from a weakly stationary functional process. Consistency of the FSB procedure under weak assumptions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Efstathios Paparoditis , Lea Wegner , Martin Wendler

The consistency of a bootstrap or resampling scheme is classically validated by weak convergence of conditional laws. However, when working with stochastic processes in the space of bounded functions and their weak convergence in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-05 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic

The bootstrap is a method for estimating the distribution of an estimator or test statistic by re-sampling the data or a model estimated from the data. Under conditions that hold in a wide variety of econometric applications, the bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-12 Joel L. Horowitz

Researchers frequently test and improve model fit by holding a sample constant and varying the model. We propose methods to test and improve sample fit by holding a model constant and varying the sample. Much as the bootstrap is a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-15 Gabriel Okasa , Kenneth A. Younge

We study the problem of parameter estimation for the homogenization limit of multiscale systems involving fractional dynamics. In the case of stochastic multiscale systems driven by Brownian motion, it has been shown that in order for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Pablo Ramses Alonso-Martin , Horatio Boedihardjo , Anastasia Papavasiliou