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Modern randomization methods in clinical trials are invariably adaptive, meaning that the assignment of the next subject to a treatment group uses the accumulated information in the trial. Some of the recent adaptive randomization methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-12 Alan R. Vazquez , Weng Kee Wong

This research is motivated by the need for effective classification in ice-breaking dynamic simulations, aimed at determining the conditions under which an underwater vehicle will break through the ice. This simulation is extremely…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Tian Bai , Dianpeng Wang , Kuangqi Chen , Xu He

We study the design of multi-armed parallel group clinical trials to estimate personalized treatment rules that identify the best treatment for a given patient with given covariates. Assuming that the outcomes in each treatment arm are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-13 David Azriel , Yosef Rinott , Martin Posch

Optimal treatment rules can improve health outcomes on average by assigning a treatment associated with the most desirable outcome to each individual. Due to an unknown data generation mechanism, it is appealing to use flexible models to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Lingjie Shen , Gijs Geleijnse , Maurits Kaptein

We consider adaptive designs for a trial involving N individuals that we follow along T time steps. We allow for the variables of one individual to depend on its past and on the past of other individuals. Our goal is to learn a mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Aurelien Bibaut , Maya Petersen , Nikos Vlassis , Maria Dimakopoulou , Mark van der Laan

Mid-study design modifications are becoming increasingly accepted in confirmatory clinical trials, so long as appropriate methods are applied such that error rates are controlled. It is therefore unfortunate that the important case of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-08 Dominic Magirr , Thomas Jaki , Franz Koenig , Martin Posch

Model-based experimental design is attracting increasing attention in chemical process engineering. Typically, an iterative procedure is pursued: an approximate model is devised, prescribed experiments are then performed and the resulting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Charlie Vanaret , Philipp Seufert , Jan Schwientek , Gleb Karpov , Gleb Ryzhakov , Ivan Oseledets , Norbert Asprion , Michael Bortz

Adaptive experimental designs have gained popularity in clinical trials and online experiments. Unlike traditional, fixed experimental designs, adaptive designs can dynamically adjust treatment randomization probabilities and other design…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Wenxin Zhang , Mark van der Laan

Tie-breaker designs trade off a statistical design objective with short-term gain from preferentially assigning a binary treatment to those with high values of a running variable $x$. The design objective is any continuous function of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-20 Harrison H. Li , Art B. Owen

Adaptive designs for multi-armed clinical trials have become increasingly popular recently in many areas of medical research because of their potential to shorten development times and to increase patient response. However, developing…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-16 Adam Smith , Sofia S. Villar

Efforts to develop biomarker-targeted anti-cancer therapies have progressed rapidly in recent years. Six antibodies acting on programmed death ligand 1 or programmed death 1 pathways were approved in 75 cancer indications between 2015 and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-07 Emily C. Zabor , Alexander M. Kaizer , Nathan A. Pennell , Brian P. Hobbs

Under a generalised estimating equation analysis approach, approximate design theory is used to determine Bayesian D-optimal designs. For two examples, considering simple exchangeable and exponential decay correlation structures, we compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-16 Laura Etfer , James M. S. Wason , Michael J. Grayling

We investigate adaptive protocols for the elimination or reduction of the use of medications or addictive substances. We formalize this problem as online optimization, minimizing the cumulative dose subject to constraints on well-being. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Paula Gradu , Benjamin Recht

We consider the problem of constructing optimal decision trees: given a collection of tests which can disambiguate between a set of $m$ possible diseases, each test having a cost, and the a-priori likelihood of the patient having any…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-04-24 Anupam Gupta , Viswanath Nagarajan , R. Ravi

We construct confidence sets for the regression function in nonparametric binary regression with an unknown design density. These confidence sets are adaptive in $L^2$ loss over a continuous class of Sobolev type spaces. Adaptation holds in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-04 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

We propose a novel technique for analyzing adaptive sampling called the {\em Simulator}. Our approach differs from the existing methods by considering not how much information could be gathered by any fixed sampling strategy, but how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Max Simchowitz , Kevin Jamieson , Benjamin Recht

Detectability of failures of linear programming (LP) decoding and its potential for improvement by adding new constraints motivate the use of an adaptive approach in selecting the constraints for the LP problem. In this paper, we make a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Mohammad H. Taghavi N. , Paul H. Siegel

Among the major difficulties that one may encounter when estimating parameters in a nonlinear regression model are the nonuniqueness of the estimator, its instability with respect to small perturbations of the observations and the presence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-29 Andrej Pázman , Luc Pronzato

In the group testing problem the aim is to identify a small set of $k\sim n^\theta$ infected individuals out of a population size $n$, $0<\theta<1$. We avail ourselves of a test procedure capable of testing groups of individuals, with the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Amin Coja-Oghlan , Oliver Gebhard , Max Hahn-Klimroth , Philipp Loick

The problem of computing an exact experimental design that is optimal for the least-squares estimation of the parameters of a regression model is considered. We show that this problem can be solved via mixed-integer linear programming…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-18 Radoslav Harman , Samuel Rosa