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This paper proposes a new Bayesian machine learning model that can be applied to large datasets arising in macroeconomics. Our framework sums over many simple two-component location mixtures. The transition between components is determined…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-05 Florian Huber

This article develops flexible methodology to study the association between scalar outcomes and functional predictors observed over time, at many instances, in longitudinal studies. We propose a parsimonious modeling framework to study…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-25 Md Nazmul Islam , Ana-Maria Staicu , Eric van Heugten

The conventional historical functional linear model relates the current value of the functional response at time t to all past values of the functional covariate up to time t. Motivated by situations where it is more reasonable to assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Xiaolei Xun , Jiguo Cao

Most estimates for penalised linear regression can be viewed as posterior modes for an appropriate choice of prior distribution. Bayesian shrinkage methods, particularly the horseshoe estimator, have recently attracted a great deal of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-06 Zemei Xu , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic , Guoqi Qian , John L. Hopper

Challenging research in various fields has driven a wide range of methodological advances in variable selection for regression models with high-dimensional predictors. In comparison, selection of nonlinear functions in models with additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-05 Fabian Scheipl , Thomas Kneib , Ludwig Fahrmeir

In supervised learning, the output variable to be predicted is often represented as a function, such as a spectrum or probability distribution. Despite its importance, functional output regression remains relatively unexplored. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-19 Minoru Kusaba , Megumi Iwayama , Ryo Yoshida

Functional linear regression analysis aims to model regression relations which include a functional predictor. The analog of the regression parameter vector or matrix in conventional multivariate or multiple-response linear regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Yichao Wu , Jianqing Fan , Hans-Georg Müller

In this paper, a functional partial quantile regression approach, a quantile regression analog of the functional partial least squares regression, is proposed to estimate the function-on-function linear quantile regression model. A partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-14 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang , Aylin Alin

Estimation and inference with modern longitudinal data from wearable devices, which consist of biological signals at high-frequency time points, is burdened by massive computational costs. We propose a distributed estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Emily C. Hector

Tensor regression methods have been widely used to predict a scalar response from covariates in the form of a multiway array. In many applications, the regions of tensor covariates used for prediction are often spatially connected with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Shuoli Chen , Kejun He , Shiyuan He , Yang Ni , Raymond K. W. Wong

In this paper a new Bayesian model for sparse linear regression with a spatio-temporal structure is proposed. It incorporates the structural assumptions based on a hierarchical Gaussian process prior for spike and slab coefficients. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

A new sparse semiparametric model is proposed, which incorporates the influence of two functional random variables in a scalar response in a flexible and interpretable manner. One of the functional covariates is included through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Silvia Novo , Philippe Vieu , Germán Aneiros

We consider a spatial functional linear regression, where a scalar response is related to a square integrable spatial functional process. We use a smoothing spline estimator for the functional slope parameter and establish a finite sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-07 Stéphane Bouka , Sophie Dabo-Niang , Guy Martial Nkiet

Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson

The paper describes the use of Bayesian regression for building time series models and stacking different predictive models for time series. Using Bayesian regression for time series modeling with nonlinear trend was analyzed. This approach…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-07 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Sparse functional data frequently arise in real-world applications, posing significant challenges for accurate classification. To address this, we propose a novel classification method that integrates functional principal component analysis…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-17 Ahmad Talafha

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The paper considers functional linear regression, where scalar responses $Y_1,\ldots,Y_n$ are modeled in dependence of i.i.d. random functions $X_1,\ldots,X_n$. We study a generalization of the classical functional linear regression model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Alois Kneip , Dominik Poß , Pascal Sarda

Bayesian methods are developed for the multivariate nonparametric regression problem where the domain is taken to be a compact Riemannian manifold. In terms of the latter, the underlying geometry of the manifold induces certain symmetries…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jean-François Angers , Peter T. Kim