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For controlled discrete-time stochastic processes we introduce a new class of dynamic risk measures, which we call process-based. Their main features are that they measure risk of processes that are functions of the history of a base…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Jingnan Fan , Andrzej Ruszczynski

We develop a conservative continuous-time stochastic control framework for treatment optimization from irregularly sampled patient trajectories. The unknown patient dynamics are modeled as a controlled stochastic differential equation with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Nora Schneider , Georg Manten , Niki Kilbertus

We study a continuous-time portfolio optimization problem under an explicit constraint on the Deviation Conditional Value-at-Risk (DCVaR), defined as the difference between the CVaR and the expected terminal wealth. While the mean-CVaR…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Jérôme Lelong , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , William Thevenot

This paper proposes a distributed algorithm to find the Nash equilibrium in a class of non-cooperative convex games with partial-decision information. Our method employs a distributed projected gradient play approach alongside consensus…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Duong Thuy Anh Nguyen , Duong Tung Nguyen , Angelia Nedić

This paper investigates the investment problem of constructing an optimal no-short sequential portfolio strategy in a market with a latent dependence structure between asset prices and partly unobservable side information, which is often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Duy Khanh Lam

Previous literature shows that prevalent risk measures such as Value at Risk or Expected Shortfall are ineffective to curb excessive risk-taking by a tail-risk-seeking trader with S-shaped utility function in the context of portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-09 John Armstrong , Damiano Brigo , Alex S. L. Tse

Robust estimation for modern portfolio selection on a large set of assets becomes more important due to large deviation of empirical inference on big data. We propose a distributionally robust methodology for high-dimensional mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang , Han Lin Shang , Huanjun Zhu

Invariant measures encode the long-time behaviour of a dynamical system. In this work, we propose an optimization-based method to discover invariant measures directly from data gathered from a system. Our method does not require an explicit…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Jason J. Bramburger , Giovanni Fantuzzi

Distributed Nash equilibrium seeking of aggregative games is investigated and a continuous-time algorithm is proposed. The algorithm is designed by virtue of projected gradient play dynamics and distributed average tracking dynamics, and is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Shu Liang , Peng Yi , Yiguang Hong , Kaixiang Peng

Dual control explicitly addresses the problem of trading off active exploration and exploitation in the optimal control of partially unknown systems. While the problem can be cast in the framework of stochastic dynamic programming, exact…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-12 Elena Arcari , Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

We propose a fast and flexible method to scale multivariate return volatility predictions up to high-dimensions using a dynamic risk factor model. Our approach increases parsimony via time-varying sparsity on factor loadings and is able to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-15 Bruno P. C. Levy , Hedibert F. Lopes

Classical portfolio optimization methods typically determine an optimal capital allocation through the implicit, yet critical, assumption of statistical time-invariance. Such models are inadequate for real-world markets as they employ…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-02 Bruno Scalzo , Alvaro Arroyo , Ljubisa Stankovic , Danilo P. Mandic

Time-consistency is an essential requirement in risk sensitive optimal control problems to make rational decisions. An optimization problem is time consistent if its solution policy does not depend on the time sequence of solving the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-26 Yinlam Chow , Marco Pavone

Instead of controlling "symmetric" risks measured by central moments of investment return or terminal wealth, more and more portfolio models have shifted their focus to manage "asymmetric" downside risks that the investment return is below…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-17 Jianjun Gao , Ke Zhou , Duan Li , Xiren Cao

Throughout this paper, we focused our aim on the problem of optimal control under a risk-sensitive performance functional, where the system is given by a fully coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equation with jump. The risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Rania Khallout , Adel Chala

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

We obtain the first probabilistic proof of continuous differentiability of time-dependent optimal boundaries in optimal stopping problems. The underlying stochastic dynamics is a one-dimensional, time-inhomogeneous diffusion. The gain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Tiziano De Angelis , Damien Lamberton

We develop a novel multivariate semi-parametric framework for joint portfolio Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) forecasting. Unlike existing univariate semi-parametric approaches, the proposed framework explicitly models the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-23 Giuseppe Storti , Chao Wang

We study continuous-time portfolio selection under monotone mean-variance (MMV) preferences in a jump-diffusion model, presenting an explicit solution different from that under classical mean-variance (MV) preferences in dynamic settings…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-14 Yuchen Li , Zongxia Liang , Shunzhi Pang

In this paper, we develop the numerical theory of decoupled modified characteristic finite element method with different subdomain time steps for the mixed stabilized formulation of nonstationary dual-porosity-Navier-Stokes model. Based on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-19 Luling Cao , Yinnian He , Jian Li
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