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We study memory dependent binary-state dynamics, focusing on the noisy-voter model. This is a non-Markovian process if we consider the set of binary states of the population as the description variables, or Markovian if we incorporate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-25 Antonio F. Peralta , Nagi Khalil , Raul Toral

We propose a stochastic model of opinion exchange in networks. A finite set of agents is organized in a fixed network structure. There is a binary state of the world and each agent receives a private signal on the state. We model beliefs as…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Emilien Macault

We study a stochastic model for the diffusion of competing opinions in a population composed of three types of agents: trend-followers, opposers, and indifferent individuals. The decision dynamics are driven by reinforcement mechanisms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Manuel González-Navarrete

The dynamical origin of opinion polarization in the real world is an interesting topic physical scientists may help to understand. To properly model the dynamics, the theory must be fully compatible with findings by social psychologists on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-09-03 H. F. Chau , C. Y. Wong , F. K. Chow , C. -H. F. Fung

In modern interconnected societies, opinions and beliefs can quickly spread across large populations, giving rise to collective behaviors such as the adoption of social norms or polarization. These phenomena have motivated many models aimed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-27 Cosimo Agostinelli , Marco Mancastroppa , Alain Barrat

The Majority Rule is applied to a topology that consists of two coupled random networks, thereby mimicking the modular structure observed in social networks. We calculate analytically the asymptotic behaviour of the model and derive a phase…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-08-31 R. Lambiotte , M. Ausloos

We introduce an agent-based model for co-evolving opinion and social dynamics, under the influence of multiplicative noise. In this model, every agent is characterized by a position in a social space and a continuous opinion state variable.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Natasa Djurdjevac Conrad , Jonas Köppl , Ana Djurdjevac

Understanding political phenomena requires measuring the political preferences of society. We introduce a model based on mixtures of spatial voting models that infers the underlying distribution of political preferences of voters with only…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-10-27 Alison Nahm , Alex Pentland , Peter Krafft

We study certain nonlinear continuous models of opinion formation derived from a kinetic description involving exchange of opinion between individual agents. These models imply that the only possible final opinions are the extremal ones,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-01-08 Giacomo Aletti , Giovanni Naldi , Giuseppe Toscani

From pedestrians to Kuramoto oscillators, interactions between agents govern how dynamical systems evolve in space and time. Discovering how these agents relate to each other has the potential to improve our understanding of the often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Yulong Yang , Bowen Feng , Keqin Wang , Naomi Ehrich Leonard , Adji Bousso Dieng , Christine Allen-Blanchette

The inference of outcomes in dynamic processes from structural features of systems is a crucial endeavor in network science. Recent research has suggested a machine learning-based approach for the interpretation of dynamic patterns emerging…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-15 Aruane M. Pineda , Caroline L. Alves , Colm Connaughton , Francisco A. Rodrigues

We here discuss a model of continuous opinion dynamics in which agents adjust continuous opinions as a result of random binary encounters whenever their difference in opinion is below a given threshold. We concentrate on the version of the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Gerard Weisbuch , Guillaume Deffuant , Frederic Amblard

An approximation method is presented for probabilistic inference with continuous random variables. These problems can arise in many practical problems, in particular where there are "second order" probabilities. The approximation, based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Ross D. Shachter

Referring to a standard context of voting theory, and to the classic notion of voting situation, here we show that it is possible to observe any arbitrary set of elections' outcomes, no matter how paradoxical it may appear. On this purpose…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Spizzichino

We propose and investigate different kinetic models for opinion formation, when the opinion formation process depends on an additional independent variable, e.g. a leadership or a spatial variable. More specifically, we consider:(i) opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-05 Bertram Düring , Marie-Therese Wolfram

Understanding the social conditions that tend to increase or decrease polarization is important for many reasons. We study a network-structured agent-based model of opinion dynamics, extending a model previously introduced by Flache and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-03 Matthew A. Turner , Paul E. Smaldino

We study the stationary states of variants of the noisy voter model, subject to fluctuating parameters or external environments. Specifically, we consider scenarios in which the herding-to-noise ratio switches randomly and on different time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-01 Annalisa Caligiuri , Tobias Galla

A model for continuous-opinion dynamics is proposed and studied by taking advantage of its similarities with a mono-dimensional granular gas. Agents interact as in the Deffuant model, with a parameter $\alpha$ controlling the persuasibility…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-07 Nagi Khalil

This paper studies a class of consensus dynamics where the interactions between agents are affected by a time-varying unknown scaling factor. This situation is encountered in the control of robotic fleets over a wireless network or in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-14 Zoltan Nagy , Irinel-Constantin Morarescu , Lucian Busoniu

We study a stochastic model for the coevolution of a process of opinion formation in a population of agents and the network which underlies their interaction. Interaction links can break when agents fail to reach an opinion agreement. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Santiago Gil , Damian H. Zanette
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