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System identification uses measurements of a dynamic system's input and output to reconstruct a mathematical model for that system. These can be mechanical, electrical, physiological, among others. Since most of the systems around us…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-28 Kiana Karami , David Westwick , Johan Schoukens

This paper proposes an adaptive sparse polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)-based method to quantify the impacts of uncertainties on critical clearing time (CCT) that is an important index in transient stability analysis. The proposed method can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-10 Jingyu Liu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang

The paper presents a novel methodology to build surrogate models of complicated functions by an active learning-based sequential decomposition of the input random space and construction of localized polynomial chaos expansions, referred to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields , Václav Sadílek , Miroslav Vořechovský

We propose a non-intrusive reduced-order modeling method based on proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) and polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) for stochastic representations in uncertainty quantification (UQ) analysis. Firstly, POD provides…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-07-02 Xiang Sun , Xiaomin Pan , Jung-Il Choi

We present a novel physics-constrained polynomial chaos expansion as a surrogate modeling method capable of performing both scientific machine learning (SciML) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks. The proposed method possesses a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-14 Himanshu Sharma , Lukáš Novák , Michael D. Shields

The challenge of quantifying uncertainty propagation in real-world systems is rooted in the high-dimensionality of the stochastic input and the frequent lack of explicit knowledge of its probability distribution. Traditional approaches show…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Huan Lei , Jing Li , Peiyuan Gao , Panos Stinis , Nathan Baker

Surrogate models are used to alleviate the computational burden in engineering tasks, which require the repeated evaluation of computationally demanding models of physical systems, such as the efficient propagation of uncertainties. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-28 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Gerhard Müller

Over the last few years there have been dramatic advances in our understanding of mathematical and computational models of complex systems in the presence of uncertainty. This has led to a growth in the area of uncertainty quantification as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-06-05 Maziar Raissi , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

In this contribution, we discuss the construction of Polynomial Chaos surrogates for Monte Carlo radiation transport applications via non-intrusive spectral projection. This contribution focuses on improvements with respect to the approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Gianluca Geraci , Kayla Clements , Aaron J Olson

Reliability analysis typically relies on deterministic simulators, which yield repeatable outputs for identical inputs. However, many real-world systems display intrinsic randomness, requiring stochastic simulators whose outputs are random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 A. Pires , M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

Presence of a high-dimensional stochastic parameter space with discontinuities poses major computational challenges in analyzing and quantifying the effects of the uncertainties in a physical system. In this paper, we propose a stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Anindya Bhaduri , Yanyan He , Michael D. Shields , Lori Graham-Brady , Robert M. Kirby

We propose a Dynamical generalized Polynomial Chaos (DgPC) method to solve time-dependent stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with white noise forcing. The long-time simulation of SPDE solutions by Polynomial Chaos (PC)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-16 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have seen widespread use in the context of uncertainty quantification. However, their application to structural reliability problems has been hindered by the limited performance of PCE in the tails of the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-10 S. Marelli , B. Sudret

This letter proposes a data-driven sparse polynomial chaos expansion-based surrogate model for the stochastic economic dispatch problem considering uncertainty from wind power. The proposed method can provide accurate estimations for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-20 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , Yunhe Hou , François Bouffard

This paper introduces an efficient sparse recovery approach for Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions, which promotes the sparsity by breaking the dimensionality of the problem. The proposed algorithm incrementally explores sub-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-05 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

The problem of constructing data-based, predictive, reduced models for the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation is considered, under circumstances where one has observation data only for a small subset of the dynamical variables. Accurate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Fei Lu , Kevin Lin , Alexandre J. Chorin

The effective management of stochastic characteristics of renewable power generations is vital for ensuring the stable and secure operation of power systems. This paper addresses the task of optimizing the chance-constrained…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-05 Yuanxi Wu , Zhi Wu , Yijun Xu , Huan Long , Wei Gu , Shu Zheng , Jingtao Zhao

Macroscopically heterogeneous materials, characterised mostly by comparable heterogeneity lengthscale and structural sizes, can no longer be modelled by deterministic approach instead. It is convenient to introduce stochastic approach with…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-02-07 Jan Sýkora , Anna Kučerová

Compressive sampling has been widely used for sparse polynomial chaos (PC) approximation of stochastic functions. The recovery accuracy of compressive sampling highly depends on the incoherence properties of the measurement matrix. In this…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-17 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is an increasingly popular technique for uncertainty propagation and quantification in systems and control. Based on the theory of Hilbert spaces and orthogonal polynomials, PCE allows for a unifying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-09 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Frederik Zahn , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser