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The belief that numbers offer a single, objective description of reality overlooks a crucial truth: data does not speak for itself. Every dataset results from choices-what to measure, how, when, and with whom-which inevitably reflect…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-07-08 Arthur Charpentier

This paper revisits the foundations of mathematical proof through the lens of Aristotle's threefold conception of truth: sensory evidence, axiomatic definition, and syllogistic deduction. I argue that modern mathematics has too often…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Paul J. Jorion

The 20th century has revealed two important limitations of scientific knowledge. On the one hand, the combination of Poincar\'e's nonlinear dynamics and Heisenberg's uncertainty principle leads to a world picture where physical reality is,…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2013-04-10 Fernando Sols

Corroboration or confirmation is a prominent philosophical debate of the 20th century. Many philosophers have been involved in this debate most notably the proponents of confirmation led by Hempel and its most powerful criticism by the…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2015-11-04 Roman Lukyanenko

There has not been an established mathematical measure of evidence. Some Bayesians have argued that probability can be an objectively correct measure of ``rational degrees of belief,'' which we do not distinguish from evidence. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Christopher D. Fiorillo , Min Sheo Choi , Jaime Gomez-Ramirez

Although information theory resolves inconsistencies (known under the form of famous enigmas) of the traditional approach of thermostatistics, its place in the corresponding literature is not what it deserves. This article supports the idea…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-08 D. Lairez

Even when completely and consistently formulated, a fundamental theory of physics and cosmological boundary conditions may not give unambiguous and unique predictions for the universe we observe; indeed inflation, string/M theory, and…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-10-07 Anthony Aguirre , Max Tegmark

We reconsider the Decoherent Histories approach to Quantum Mechanics and we analyze some problems related to its interpretation which, according to us, have not been adequately clarified by its proponents. We put forward some assumptions…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Angelo Bassi , GianCarlo Ghirardi

Despite attempts to apply the lessons of causal modelling to the observed correlations typical of entangled bipartite quantum systems, Wood and Spekkens argue that any causal model purporting to explain these correlations must be fine…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-02 Peter W. Evans

This article solves the Hume's problem of induction using a probabilistic approach. From the probabilistic perspective, the core task of induction is to estimate the probability of an event and judge the accuracy of the estimation.…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Xuezhi Yang

We provide a novel semantics for belief using simplicial complexes. In our framework, belief satisfies the \textsf{KD45} axioms and rules as well as the ``knowledge implies belief'' axiom ($K\phi \lthen B\phi$); in addition, we adopt the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Philip Sink , Adam Bjorndahl

Recent work by Faizal et al. (2025) claims that G\"odelian undecidability of non-algorithmic truths in our universe imply the impossibility of a formal, algorithmic simulation of the universe. This paper clarifies the distinction between…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2025-12-16 Evan Redden

The logic of abduction involves a collision between deduction and induction, where empirical surprises violate expectations and scientists innovate to resolve them. Here we reformulate abduction as a social process, occurring not only…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-29 Eamon Duede , James Evans

Consistent confirmations obtained independently of each other lend credibility to a scientific result. We refer to results satisfying this consistency as reproducible and assume that reproducibility is a desirable property of scientific…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-06-19 Berna Devezer , Luis G. Nardin , Bert Baumgaertner , Erkan Buzbas

In the philosophical literature, symmetries of physical theories are most often interpreted within the general doctrine called 'Sophistication'. Roughly speaking, it says that models related by symmetries can peacefully co-exist while…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2024-06-12 Henrique Gomes

The computational complexity of reasoning within the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is one of the main points of criticism this formalism has to face. To overcome this difficulty various approximation algorithms have been suggested that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Mathias Bauer

Modern scientific cosmology pushes the boundaries of knowledge and the knowable. This is prompting questions on the nature of scientific knowledge. A central issue is what defines a 'good' model. When addressing global properties of the…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2018-12-12 Martin Sahlén

Bell's inequality is derived from three assumptions: measurement independence, outcome independence, and parameter independence. Among these, measurement independence, often taken for granted, holds that hidden variables are statistically…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-10-06 Yuichiro Kitajima

The basic question in the long-standing debate about free will (FW) is not whether FW can be demonstrated to exist nor even whether it exists, but instead how to define it scientifically. If FW is not dismissed as an illusion nor identified…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-02-23 Chetan S. Mandayam Nayakar , S. Omkar , R. Srikanth

In this paper, we argue that while the concept of a set-theoretic paradox (or paradoxical set) can be relatively well-defined within a formal setting, the concept of a set-theoretic hypodox (or hypodoxical set) remains significantly less…

Logic · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Timotej Šujan