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For a stochastic process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ we establish conditions under which the inverse first-passage time problem has a solution for any random variable $\xi >0$. For Markov processes we give additional conditions under which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-19 Alexander Klump , Mladen Savov

We develop a method based on martingales to study first-passage problems of time-additive observables exiting an interval of finite width in a Markov process. In the limit that the interval width is large, we derive generic expressions for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-14 Izaak Neri

Motivated by network resilience and insurance premiums in the context of cyber security, we derive universal upper bounds for the first and second moments of the size of bond percolation clusters on finite regular graphs. Thinking of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-04 Nicolas Lanchier , Axel La Salle

We show bounds on total variation and $L^{\infty}$ mixing times, spectral gap and magnitudes of the complex valued eigenvalues of a general (non-reversible non-lazy) Markov chain with a minor expansion property. This leads to the first…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-04-03 Ravi Montenegro

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

For random walks on networks (graphs), it is a theoretical challenge to explicitly determine the mean first-passage time (MFPT) between two nodes averaged over all pairs. In this paper, we study the MFPT of random walks in the famous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-27 Zhongzhi Zhang , Yuan Lin , Shuigeng Zhou , Bin Wu , Jihong Guan

We prove a refined version of the Aldous and Brown's exponential approximation of stationary hitting times. These are valid for all reversible Markov chains. We then specialise our estimates for vertex-transitive graphs, where we obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-08 Nathanaël Berestycki , Jonathan Hermon , Lucas Teyssier

We present a novel computational method of first-passage times between a starting site and a target site of regular bounded lattices. We derive accurate expressions for all the moments of this first-passage time, validated by numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 S Condamin , O. Benichou , M. Moreau

Consider standard first-passage percolation on $\mathbb Z^d$. We study the lower-tail large deviations of the rescaled random metric $\widehat{\mathbf T}_n$ restricted to a box. If all exponential moments are finite, we prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Julien Verges

We consider the first passage percolation model on $\mathbf{Z}^2$. In this model, we assign independently to each edge $e$ a passage time $t(e)$ with a common distribution $F$. Let $T(u,v)$ be the passage time from $u$ to $v$. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Yu Zhang

In the classic model of first passage percolation, for pairs of vertices separated by a Euclidean distance $L$, geodesics exhibit deviations from their mean length $L$ that are of order $L^\chi$, while the transversal fluctuations, known as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-14 Alexander P. Kartun-Giles , Marc Barthelemy , Carl P. Dettmann

We study Markov processes where the "time" parameter is replaced by paths in a directed graph from an initial vertex to a terminal one. Along each directed path the process is Markov and has the same distribution as the one along any other…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-16 Krzysztof Burdzy , Soumik Pal

We introduce a new first passage percolation model in a Poissonian environment on $\mathbb{R}^{2}$. In this model, the action of a path depends on the geometry of the path and the travel time. We prove that the transversal fluctuation…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Yuri Bakhtin , Wei Wu

For first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with i.i.d. bounded edge weights, we consider the upper tail large deviation event; i.e., the rare situation where the first passage time between two points at distance $n$, is macroscopically…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly , Allan Sly

We study the large-deviation properties of minimum spanning trees for two ensembles of random graphs with $N$ nodes. First, we consider complete graphs. Second, we study Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi (ER) random graphs with edge probability $p=c/N$…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-12-16 Mahdi Sarikhani , Alexander K. Hartmann

We consider the first passage percolation model on the ${\bf Z}^d$ lattice. In this model, we assign independently to each edge $e$ a non-negative passage time $t(e)$ with a common distribution $F$. Let $a_{0,n}$ be the passage time from…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-25 Yu Zhang

Proving a 2009 conjecture of Itai Benjamini, we show: For any C there is an $\varepsilon>0$ such that for any simple graph $G$ on $V$ of size $n$, and $X_0,\ldots$ an ordinary random walk on $G$, $P(\{X_0,\dots, X_{Cn}\}= V) <…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Quentin Dubroff , Jeff Kahn

We consider a simple discrete-time Markov chain with values in $[0,\infty)^{Z^d}$. The Markov chain describes various interesting examples such as oriented percolation, directed polymers in random environment, time discretizations of binary…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-26 Nobuo Yoshida

Fractal phenomena may be widely observed in a great number of complex systems. In this paper, we revisit the well-known Vicsek fractal, and study some of its structural properties for purpose of understanding how the underlying topology…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Fei Ma , Xiaomin Wang , Ping Wang , Xudong Luo

Let $E$ be the set of edges of the $d$-dimensional cubic lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$, with $d\geq2$, and let $t(e),e\in E$, be nonnegative values. The passage time from a vertex $v$ to a vertex $w$ is defined as $\inf_{\pi:v\rightarrow…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-11 Jacob van den Berg , Demeter Kiss