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We analyse the performance of a recursive Monte Carlo method for the Bayesian estimation of the static parameters of a discrete--time state--space Markov model. The algorithm employs two layers of particle filters to approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-31 Dan Crisan , Joaquin Miguez

Equilibrium sampling of the configuration space in disordered systems requires algorithms that bypass the glassy slowing down of the physical dynamics. Irreversible Monte Carlo algorithms breaking detailed balance successfully accelerate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-07-15 Federico Ghimenti , Ludovic Berthier , Frédéric van Wijland

We present an algorithm for multivariate integration over cubes that is unbiased and has optimal order of convergence (in the randomized sense as well as in the worst case setting) for all Sobolev spaces $H^{r, mix}([0,1]^d)$ and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-02 David Krieg , Erich Novak

We analyse a multilevel Monte Carlo method for the approximation of distribution functions of univariate random variables. Since, by assumption, the target distribution is not known explicitly, approximations have to be used. We provide an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Mike B. Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Klaus Ritter

We study sampling from a target distribution $\nu_* = e^{-f}$ using the unadjusted Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) algorithm when the potential $f$ satisfies a strong dissipativity condition and it is first-order smooth with a Lipschitz…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-09 Murat A. Erdogdu , Rasa Hosseinzadeh , Matthew S. Zhang

This paper investigates quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) integration of Lebesgue integrable functions with respect to a density function over $\mathbb{R}^s$. We extend the construction-free median QMC rule proposed by Goda and L'ecuyer (SIAM J. Sci.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Ziyang Ye , Josef Dick , Xiaoqun Wang

The Monte Carlo method is a thriving and mathematically beautiful numerical technique used extensively, nowadays, to deal with many demanding problems in diverse fields. Here, we present an iterative Monte Carlo algorithm to work out very…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-08-02 Martín Chávez-Páez , Enrique González-Tovar , Guillermo Iván Guerrero-García

We study the integration of functions with respect to an unknown density. We compare the simple Monte Carlo method (which is almost optimal for a certain large class of inputs) and compare it with the Metropolis algorithm (based on a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Mathe , Erich Novak

This article considers the popular MCMC method of unadjusted Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) and provides a non-asymptotic analysis of its sampling error in 2-Wasserstein distance. The proof is based on a refinement of mean-square analysis in Li…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Ruilin Li , Hongyuan Zha , Molei Tao

Quantiles and expected shortfalls are usually used to measure risks of stochastic systems, which are often estimated by Monte Carlo methods. This paper focuses on the use of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) method, whose convergence rate is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-07 Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

In a previous paper, an implementable algorithm was introduced to compute discrete solutions of sweeping processes (i.e. specific first order differential inclusions). The convergence of this numerical scheme was proved thanks to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-31 Frederic Bernicot , Juliette Venel

A technique for reducing the number of integrals in a Monte Carlo calculation is introduced. For integrations relying on classical or mean-field trajectories with local weighting functions, it is possible to integrate analytically at least…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-17 Jarod Tall , Steven Tomsovic

We present two Monte Carlo sampling algorithms for probabilistic inference that guarantee polynomial-time convergence for a larger class of network than current sampling algorithms provide. These new methods are variants of the known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Malcolm Pradhan , Paul Dagum

The multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method is highly efficient for estimating expectations of a functional of a solution to a stochastic differential equation (SDE). However, MLMC estimators may be unstable and have a poor (noncanonical)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Christian Bayer , Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Raul Tempone

Monte Carlo approximations for random linear elliptic PDE constrained optimization problems are studied. We use empirical process theory to obtain best possible mean convergence rates $O(n^{-\frac{1}{2}})$ for optimal values and solutions,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Werner Römisch , Thomas M. Surowiec

We study a generalized clock model on the simple cubic lattice. The parameter of the model can be tuned such that the amplitude of the leading correction to scaling vanishes. In the main part of the study we simulate the model with $Z_8$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-09 Martin Hasenbusch

Exact approximations of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a general emerging class of sampling algorithms. One of the main ideas behind exact approximations consists of replacing intractable quantities required to run standard…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-30 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

We study multivariate numerical integration of smooth functions in weighted Sobolev spaces with dominating mixed smoothness $\alpha\geq 2$ defined over the $s$-dimensional unit cube. We propose a new quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC)-based quadrature…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Josef Dick , Takashi Goda , Takehito Yoshiki

QMC rules are equal weight quadrature rules for approximating integrals over $[0,1]^s$. One line of research studies the integration error of functions in the unit ball of so-called Korobov spaces, which are Hilbert spaces of periodic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-11-12 Josef Dick , Peter Kritzer , Gunther Leobacher , Friedrich Pillichshammer